I know fuck-all about chaos theory, other than the vaguest impression about butterflies and weather.rEvolutionist wrote:Chaos Theory isn't about randomness, I don't think. It's about massive complexity that can't be comprehended in normal time/effort.
But some things are prone to being chaotic and totally unpredictable, and others aren't, so it's not just the fact that one small thing can make a huge change.
Take a forest fire. You can have a million acres of forest, tinder dry, and one tiny spark can destroy it.
That's not chaos. It's a set of conditions that are predictable. But if you don't get that tiny spark, nothing will happen. So it's not really true chaos. Even though one tiny event leads to a gigantic result, the conditions were primed for it to happen.
That's what I thought chaos was about, the predictability of something, or not.
I suppose with the weather thing, there is a mixture of predictability and the unpredictable.
You can't predict it exactly, but you can statistically, given previous experience and data.