Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

MrJonno
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Re: Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

Post by MrJonno » Wed Nov 06, 2013 12:10 pm

rEvolutionist wrote:
MrJonno wrote:Presumably the military wouldn't be effected to anywhere near the same level, declare marshal law shoot a few rioters , rationing of food
Weather conditions on the whole aren't that extreme in the UK, not going to pleasant but a lot better than being nuked
:doh:

How you going to move food around if the trucks don't work? How you going to move food around if the trucks actually do work but the refineries don't? As is common with most of your comments, Jonno, you haven't thought it through and think that simplistic statements take the place of an actual reasoned argument.
The UK isnt Australia or America, you can walk across it in a week, you can walk between cities in a day.

All these disaster movies show great queues of cars trying to escape the city which is bullshit, a 1000 armed soldiers/police could pretty much close 99% of the road network in and out of cities in the UK (and most people live in cities).

I love the tv series 'Under the dome' but its amazing you still have people using personal cars in it when the first thing you do in the event of a major disaster is prevent all transport bar emergency services.

This isnt new stuff even in 1940's all transport between cities was to be shut down by soldiers in the event of evasion (ie taking troops of the front line to do so). 99.9% of fuel use is a luxury in the event of a total social breakdown and it goes to people a lot more important than you or me
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Re: Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

Post by pErvinalia » Wed Nov 06, 2013 2:15 pm

You're still not getting it. If electronics fail, then NOTHING in society works.
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Re: Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

Post by MrJonno » Wed Nov 06, 2013 3:41 pm

rEvolutionist wrote:You're still not getting it. If electronics fail, then NOTHING in society works.
Assuming most the military stuff is hardened against it, and that powered off spares can be brought in to provide some sort of emergency cover.

1st world people are extremely fat and can live on a lot less in an emergency if needed
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Re: Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

Post by pErvinalia » Wed Nov 06, 2013 4:04 pm

:fp:
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Re: Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

Post by MiM » Wed Nov 06, 2013 4:06 pm

This is really not a scenario, I would be that worried about, unless maybe if I lived in South Korea.

To wreak real continent wide havoc over the USA would take a megaton or preferably multimegaton device, blasted at more than 100 km above central USA. This is very far above any capabilities of DPRK. Anyting smaller or lower down, would reach an area of a few hundred km, max. With less and less damage the further you get from ground zero. Of course this would also be a serious disruption, but as the major infrastructure would be intact, it would be comparatively easy and fast to get emergency help and spare parts brought in from the rest of the country, and abroad. North Korea would make much more effective use of its limited resources, trying to blast them close to ground level in or above some major city(ies).

China and Russia maybe could create that kind of "all wreaking" blast, if this effect is as devastating as the scarecrow claims. A big if.

North Korea might technically be able to try an attack like this against South Korea, in the not too distant future. It would then probably be followed by a full scale invasion attempt. But then they would have to count out the possibility of counter attacks by South Korea's friends almost completely.
Last edited by MiM on Wed Nov 06, 2013 4:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

Post by laklak » Wed Nov 06, 2013 4:12 pm

You're only 48 hours from complete anarchy in the cities. Once the transport stops and the milk spoils they'll do their fucking nuts. If it ever happens I hope to hell I'm not stuck in the Atlanta airport or some other urban hellhole. If we were at the mountain house we'd be OK, but it would be tough getting there from Sarasota. I've got enough fuel stashed to make it up there, I keep that in case of a hurricane evacuation, don't want to be stuck on the major roadways looking for gas with a few million evacuees. But if the electronics are fried the fuel won't do any good. Got enough canned and dried food in both houses for a couple of months, so we would just have to ride it out if we could.
Yeah well that's just, like, your opinion, man.

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Re: Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

Post by laklak » Wed Nov 06, 2013 4:13 pm

You're only 48 hours from complete anarchy in the cities. Once the transport stops and the milk spoils they'll do their fucking nuts. If it ever happens I hope to hell I'm not stuck in the Atlanta airport or some other urban hellhole. If we were at the mountain house we'd be OK, but it would be tough getting there from Sarasota. I've got enough fuel stashed to make it up there, I keep that in case of a hurricane evacuation, don't want to be stuck on the major roadways looking for gas with a few million evacuees. But if the electronics are fried the fuel won't do any good. Got enough canned and dried food in both houses for a couple of months, so we would just have to ride it out if we could.
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Re: Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

Post by MiM » Wed Nov 06, 2013 4:20 pm

48 hours? I thought you where quite used to being snowed in for longer than that?

What you would need is a very good communication strategy. There is nothing like a common outside enemy to unite people. And yes, communication is possible without TV, radio and even the internet.
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Re: Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

Post by laklak » Wed Nov 06, 2013 4:57 pm

When you're snowed in it's a bit harder to get out and loot, and in most places where that happens people are prepared for it. I've spent up to a week unable to get down off the mountain, but we had power throughout and plenty of wine and cheese. It's different in the big cities. The 1977 New York blackout is a prime example. The power was off for two days in some places, and the city imploded. Murder, looting, arson, rape - they went apeshit. In a city with strict gun controls, so most of the population was defenseless against the predators, who predictably didn't worry about the illegality of carrying weapons. The aftermath of Katrina in New Orleans is another example. An EMP strike would be far, far worse, because the whole country would be affected. In New York they could still truck supplies in and you could leave the city if you had a car, but it was still anarchy. Imagine if there were no supplies to truck in, no cars to get out, no power, no water, no fresh food, no more toilet paper (important stuff) - it would be hell on earth in days.
Yeah well that's just, like, your opinion, man.

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Re: Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

Post by MrJonno » Wed Nov 06, 2013 6:22 pm

laklak wrote:You're only 48 hours from complete anarchy in the cities. Once the transport stops and the milk spoils they'll do their fucking nuts. If it ever happens I hope to hell I'm not stuck in the Atlanta airport or some other urban hellhole. If we were at the mountain house we'd be OK, but it would be tough getting there from Sarasota. I've got enough fuel stashed to make it up there, I keep that in case of a hurricane evacuation, don't want to be stuck on the major roadways looking for gas with a few million evacuees. But if the electronics are fried the fuel won't do any good. Got enough canned and dried food in both houses for a couple of months, so we would just have to ride it out if we could.
Most of the 1st world is urban so the only way to protect most of the human race is to concentrate on the cities, that means doing your best to make sure you don't get anarchy in the first place. Let's face if you don't live in a city you are culturally dead already
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Re: Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

Post by Seth » Wed Nov 06, 2013 6:59 pm

Brian Peacock wrote:
Seth wrote:It's not propaganda to cite facts, which is what the article does and what I do when discussing the catastrophic consequences of an EMP attack.

It wasn't propaganda when Kennedy spoke to the nation about the threat of nuclear missiles in Cuba.
Flip-flopping and goal-post shifting much? Shouldn't you really make your mind up: Jingoistic scare mongering is just the kind of propaganda tool we could with more of, but it's not propaganda because it's true?
Nope.
pro·pa·gan·da
noun \ˌprä-pə-ˈgan-də, ˌprō-\

: ideas or statements that are often false or exaggerated and that are spread in order to help a cause, a political leader, a government, etc.
Seth wrote:
Brian Peacock wrote:[...] Jingoistic fear mongering is a propaganda tool intended to elicit a common fear or dread of 'the other'.

Unfortunately, that's often what it takes to get most of the brain-dead proletariat to quit 'bating and watching Rehabilitation long enough to get them to prepare for anything at all.
It seems you are among those who always work to find a way explain their own fearfulness by arguing that it represents the only 'rational' metric by which to assess circumstances and justify action.

Fear is, as you say, an evolved response, but it's also a stress response, and the thing with prolonged stress is that the stressed come to think of it as the normal state of affairs and their reactions as the only normal and reasonable response. It's also much more comforting to maintian the narrative that there really is something waiting for us in the woodshed than just admit to others that our imagination got the better of us and we just hava an irrational fear of the dark. The point here is that just because we have an evolved capacity for fearfulness does not mean that feeling frightened is a rational response to the circumstances or a legitimising justifier for engendering fear and dread in others.
Unless it is. It's perfectly rational to fear a disaster that has catastrophic consequences. It's also perfectly rational to tell people that there is a catastrophic disaster threat, and what the nature of that threat is, so that they can make rational decisions about how to prepare for such an event. FEMA has been doing exactly that for decades. It's just as rational to describe both the consequences and proposed actions to mitigate the harm.
But I guess if that's your state of mind it's probably best that you take to your bunker with the dried rationals, boxes of ammon and a short-wave radio, if only to protect your neighbours from your own self-justifying fearful and aggressive impulses. Don't forget now, your neighbours could be planning to steal your crops and rustle your livestock, gas you in your sleep or poison your water supply, conspire with the banks to rob you of all your worldly goods, or murder your nearest and dearest. These are just the kind of 'facts' you can cite whenever you feel the need to justify your evolved capacity for fright as the most natural, reasonable, rational responses possible. And if that makes life unpleasant and difficult for everyone around you then just remind them that that's a good thing - it's their fear of you that keeps them in check.
Yes, they could be. Or, they could be oblivious to the threat and, should the threat occur, they would be unprepared to survive the aftermath and might respond as you suggest out of panic and fear. Knowledge and preparation however serve to mitigate and reduce panic and fear, which improves not only individual response to a crisis, but societal response as well. The axiom of emergency management is "in a crisis you will respond as you have been trained to respond." The corollary is "if you don't train, in a crisis, you will do nothing." Worse, in an extended crisis where you have not take the time to consider and train, you will eventually either sit down and die or become feral in a desperate attempt to survive using your most basic instincts.

Therefore, it is neither jingoistic nor propagandistic to point out the threat, point out the consequences of the threat occurring and providing information on proper planning, preparation and response to the threat. This applies to any sort of threat.

For example, I live one block away from a railroad track, just past the apex of a curve on a downhill run. The track typically runs 10 to 15 trains per day in either direction. Mostly they are coal trains, but regular freight runs on the line as well. Last year a freight train containing a car filled with hydrochloric acid sprang a leak and (fortunately) spewed a small stream of acid along the track for miles. The leak was detected as it passed within a block of my house and the car was disconnected and parked on a siding a little more than a mile outside of town while emergency responders figured out how to plug the leak and then empty the car.

In this case, the worst damage was a very slight but detectible acid odor in the air for about three day downwind of the car. It was not hazardous at that distance. However, under slightly different circumstances, had that train derailed on the curve, or the car had catastrophically failed as it passed through town, many thousands of lives would have been lost because outside of the emergency services in town, I'm probably one of the only people who has both the necessary education, knowledge and equipment available at a moment's notice to protect myself and my family. Before my fiancee left, I kept chemical suits and gas masks for each member of the family at close hand and I taught them how to don them.

Why do I do this? Well, back in the 70s I was attending college in Florida and working part-time as a sound engineer for a band. We traveled from Daytona Beach to Pensacola one weekend for a gig. Everything went fine on the trip, but when I arrived at the hotel and turned on the TV, I was deluged with a horrific story about a train derailment on the tracks that run just north of the interstate we used. At least 14 cars drove into what appeared to be fog on the highway at night, and none of them made it out because the fog was actually chlorine gas from three ruptured tank cars. When I looked at the timing of the derailment and gas cloud, I figured out that I missed driving into that cloud of gas myself by less than ten minutes.

Is keeping gas masks handy when living next to a railroad track an unreasonable response based on an irrational fear?

Nope. Not one little bit. If, that is, one wishes to take modest precautions against what is a fairly common occurrence. The investment of a few hundred dollars for masks and filters, and a few hours once a month or so practicing is a very small price to pay in return for the ability to survive and escape such a disaster.

Is an EMP strike less likely than a rail-car leak? Of course. But the point is that the consequences are not localized or easily escaped, they would be widespread and would affect everyone and everything. Having a plan for an EMP strike is merely an adjunct to proper preparation for any sort of disaster. FEMA recommends that every person and family have a disaster plan and that they be prepared to go it alone for a minimum of 72 hours by putting together a disaster kit that provides for the essentials like food, water, medication, lighting, etc.

Adding EMP preparation to that plan can be simple or complex. Simple involves properly packaging the emergency radio receiver that you should have anyway, along with some cheap walkie-talkies and any other essential electronic equipment you might deem necessary in a properly sealed metal case to prevent the EMP surge from destroying them.

In my case, because I'm a HAM, my preparations are more complex and include preparing a truck-portable EMP-proof communications pod built from a surplus military electrical equipment shelter that was specifically designed to provide EMP protection that can also act as a survival shelter, which can be either mounted on a pickup truck (if one can be found that operates) or placed in the cargo area of my Hummer, which itself is EMP-resistant. All the radios are kept sealed in redundant EMP-proof metal cases as an additional safety measure.

So, I have created not only a portable survival shelter (in case I can't get to the bunker), but I have preserved a vital communications link that will significantly improve recovery after any sort of disaster, from a blizzard to a nuclear attack, as a service to my community.

By being educated and prepared, I change my status in a disaster from that of a dependent refugee to an active member of the emergency services needed to cope with and recover from any sort of disaster. And it's all on my dime, not the taxpayer's dime.

I don't consider any of those preparations or training to be detrimental to myself, my family or my community. I consider it to be no more and no less than good citizenship.
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Re: Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

Post by Seth » Wed Nov 06, 2013 7:03 pm

MrJonno wrote:
rEvolutionist wrote:You're still not getting it. If electronics fail, then NOTHING in society works.
Assuming most the military stuff is hardened against it, and that powered off spares can be brought in to provide some sort of emergency cover.

1st world people are extremely fat and can live on a lot less in an emergency if needed
You're foolish in assuming anything. That's why I recommend you read the book, which is very well researched. The only quibble I have with it is that it ignores the several civilian-owned communications networks made up of HAMs and others who have the necessary communications equipment and skills to set up a nationwide communications network literally overnight, including people like me who take the EMP threat seriously and voluntarily choose to protect our gear using simple but effective hardening techniques.
"Seth is Grandmaster Zen Troll who trains his victims to troll themselves every time they think of him" Robert_S

"All that is required for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing." Edmund Burke

"Those who support denying anyone the right to keep and bear arms for personal defense are fully complicit in every crime that might have been prevented had the victim been effectively armed." Seth

© 2013/2014/2015/2016 Seth, all rights reserved. No reuse, republication, duplication, or derivative work is authorized.

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Re: Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

Post by MrJonno » Wed Nov 06, 2013 7:41 pm

Seth wrote:
MrJonno wrote:
rEvolutionist wrote:You're still not getting it. If electronics fail, then NOTHING in society works.
Assuming most the military stuff is hardened against it, and that powered off spares can be brought in to provide some sort of emergency cover.

1st world people are extremely fat and can live on a lot less in an emergency if needed
You're foolish in assuming anything. That's why I recommend you read the book, which is very well researched. The only quibble I have with it is that it ignores the several civilian-owned communications networks made up of HAMs and others who have the necessary communications equipment and skills to set up a nationwide communications network literally overnight, including people like me who take the EMP threat seriously and voluntarily choose to protect our gear using simple but effective hardening techniques.
No I'm just quite happy accepting the reality that applies to everyone that I'm reliant on others to keep me alive and they are a lot better at it than me
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Re: Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

Post by JimC » Wed Nov 06, 2013 8:22 pm

MrJonno wrote:

...Let's face if you don't live in a city you are culturally dead already...
So, not a big fan of country music I take it?

:hehe:
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Re: Head for the bunker and harden the electronics

Post by Jason » Wed Nov 06, 2013 8:32 pm

:yawn:

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