2012 US Election -- Round 2

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Ian
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Re: 2012 US Election -- Round 2

Post by Ian » Mon Oct 15, 2012 11:08 pm

Hey there Mr. Defensive - I was railing against Low Information Voters, not just the legions of stupid Republicans out there. I'm perfectly well aware that there are imbeciles who vote for Democrats as well. I picked the PPP survey because I'd been reminded of it recently, and I mentioned the other stuff (Obama being a muslim, etc.) because you mentioned it in the post above mine! My apologies for not going out of my way to explain that there are indeed dumb people in the D column as well.

But if you'd like to be defensive about something, maybe I could point out that people with graduate degree levels of education are voting for Obama at least 60-40, whereas people with a high school degree or less are voting for Romney by the same percentages. So nyer. :biggrin:

Astrology? WTF? :think: :roll:

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Re: 2012 US Election -- Round 2

Post by Coito ergo sum » Tue Oct 16, 2012 1:55 pm

Ian wrote:Hey there Mr. Defensive - I was railing against Low Information Voters, not just the legions of stupid Republicans out there.
You focused only on Republican low information voters, though. And, I won't argue with you about there being stupid Republicans. However, the stupidest claim one can make is that they are any more or less plentiful than stupid Democrats.
Ian wrote: I'm perfectly well aware that there are imbeciles who vote for Democrats as well.
Just as many.
Ian wrote: I picked the PPP survey because I'd been reminded of it recently, and I mentioned the other stuff (Obama being a muslim, etc.) because you mentioned it in the post above mine! My apologies for not going out of my way to explain that there are indeed dumb people in the D column as well.
It's not that you didn't do it this time, you -- and most other Democrats arguing this point -- never do. The point is constantly argued by Democrats that they are smarter than Republicans. All Republican presidents are stupid.
Ian wrote:
But if you'd like to be defensive about something, maybe I could point out that people with graduate degree levels of education are voting for Obama at least 60-40, whereas people with a high school degree or less are voting for Romney by the same percentages. So nyer. :biggrin:

Astrology? WTF? :think: :roll:
A 2011 study found that those describing themselves as holding conservative views tended to major in things that related to more immediate employment, so they tend not to stay in school until they're 28. :tea:

But, in any case, your "Democrats are smarter" routine may not bear up to close scrutiny.
Presidential Politics: More Educated Vote Republican
Contrary to Liberal Mantra, Bush (2004) and McCain (2008) Received the More Educated Vote

Based on data from the United States Census and renowned Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI), congressional districts with more educated residents are more likely to pledge their electoral votes to Republican presidential candidates. Conversely, congressional districts with less educated residents are more likely to pledge their electoral votes to Democratic presidential candidates.
As demonstrated below, there is a statistically significant positive correlation between the percentage of residents in each congressional district who are high school graduates (or higher) and support by those districts for Republican presidential candidates. Comparatively, there is a statistically significant negative correlation between the percentage of residents in each congressional district who are high school graduates (or higher) and support by those districts for Democratic presidential candidates.

As a point of probable interest, seven of the ten most educated congressional districts are partisan Republican districts and three are partisan Democratic districts. All ten of the least educated congressional districts are partisan Democratic districts.
http://voices.yahoo.com/presidential-po ... 67599.html

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Re: 2012 US Election -- Round 2

Post by Ian » Tue Oct 16, 2012 3:00 pm

Coito ergo sum wrote:
Ian wrote:Hey there Mr. Defensive - I was railing against Low Information Voters, not just the legions of stupid Republicans out there.
You focused only on Republican low information voters, though. And, I won't argue with you about there being stupid Republicans. However, the stupidest claim one can make is that they are any more or less plentiful than stupid Democrats.
Ian wrote: I'm perfectly well aware that there are imbeciles who vote for Democrats as well.
Just as many.
Ian wrote: I picked the PPP survey because I'd been reminded of it recently, and I mentioned the other stuff (Obama being a muslim, etc.) because you mentioned it in the post above mine! My apologies for not going out of my way to explain that there are indeed dumb people in the D column as well.
It's not that you didn't do it this time, you -- and most other Democrats arguing this point -- never do. The point is constantly argued by Democrats that they are smarter than Republicans. All Republican presidents are stupid.
Ian wrote:
But if you'd like to be defensive about something, maybe I could point out that people with graduate degree levels of education are voting for Obama at least 60-40, whereas people with a high school degree or less are voting for Romney by the same percentages. So nyer. :biggrin:

Astrology? WTF? :think: :roll:
A 2011 study found that those describing themselves as holding conservative views tended to major in things that related to more immediate employment, so they tend not to stay in school until they're 28. :tea:

But, in any case, your "Democrats are smarter" routine may not bear up to close scrutiny.
Presidential Politics: More Educated Vote Republican
Contrary to Liberal Mantra, Bush (2004) and McCain (2008) Received the More Educated Vote

Based on data from the United States Census and renowned Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI), congressional districts with more educated residents are more likely to pledge their electoral votes to Republican presidential candidates. Conversely, congressional districts with less educated residents are more likely to pledge their electoral votes to Democratic presidential candidates.
As demonstrated below, there is a statistically significant positive correlation between the percentage of residents in each congressional district who are high school graduates (or higher) and support by those districts for Republican presidential candidates. Comparatively, there is a statistically significant negative correlation between the percentage of residents in each congressional district who are high school graduates (or higher) and support by those districts for Democratic presidential candidates.

As a point of probable interest, seven of the ten most educated congressional districts are partisan Republican districts and three are partisan Democratic districts. All ten of the least educated congressional districts are partisan Democratic districts.
http://voices.yahoo.com/presidential-po ... 67599.html
No no no - that's a very flawed study, using a few out-of-context districts and high-school education levels. It's going to take a lot more than that to convince me that a cross-section of Democracts are dumber than a cross-section of Republicans. Peruse the comments on that page and you'll get some sense why that study you cited is crap. You're using confirmation bias and wishful thinking.

I'll stick with exit polls as a more reliable source of information. And the 2008 polls had little ambiguity to them: preference for Obama increased as education level increased. Karl Rove explains this correlation succinctly: "As people do better financially, they tend to vote Republican, unless they're highly educated." Captain Obvious to the rescue, IMO.

And if exit polls from 2008 don't convince you, just look at the damn map. Republican Presidents can count on Mississippi, Oklahoma, Kentucky, no problem. Democrats have no trouble with Massachusets, Washington, Maryland, etc. Care to discuss which states are overall more intelligent, red or blue ones? I'll be more than happy to go down that road. Surely you wouldn't contend that smarter people live in the deep South and the interior plains while the dumb ones are in the northeast and the west coast? The term "flyover states" exists for a reason. 15 of the top 20 most Democrat-leaning states are also 15 of the top 20 best educated states. Review a list of educational attainment by state populations, and then color them in red, blue and purple. The distinction is clear as day.

Plenty of intelligent, educated people vote Republican. One can be brilliant and vote Republican and one can be an idiot and vote Democratic. Those are just the exceptions to the rule these days, that's all. And it's not all that much of an exception. But it's yet another example of False Balance to claim that there are just as many dumb Democrats as there are Republicans. That's just a defense mechanism.

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Re: 2012 US Election -- Round 2

Post by Coito ergo sum » Tue Oct 16, 2012 3:38 pm

Ian wrote:
Coito ergo sum wrote: No no no - that's a very flawed study, using a few out-of-context districts and high-school education levels. It's going to take a lot more than that to convince me that a cross-section of Democracts are dumber than a cross-section of Republicans.
LOL -- Democrats must be smarter. That is why laws requiring people to have some form of identification to vote works such a major injustice on Democrats that they will lose elections because of it -- because Democrat voters are smarter. It stands to reason that they'd be smarter, because smarter people have a much harder time of it in that regard.

Ian wrote: Peruse the comments on that page and you'll get some sense why that study you cited is crap. You're using confirmation bias and wishful thinking.
I'm not. I just cited the study. But, folks making the argument that one side or the other is "smarter" overall are the ones using confirmation bias and wishful thinking -- it's "I think this way, and I'm smart, so smart people agree with me..." It's "reality has a LIberal bias" and such bollocks.

My position is that people are idiots in general, Republican, Democrat, Libertarian, Green Party, etc., and that there is no good evidence to show that any of them are by-and-large smarter than the other. I think I'm right about that. Your position has been, based our overall interactions, that you think Democrats are by and large smarter than Republicans. The evidence shown for that is scant to nonexistent,and certainly no better than the study I just cited.

Moreover, intuitively, it makes no sense. Republican counties are generally the wealthier counties, and we are told that they have the better schools. Yet they are Republican counties. Democrats have trouble getting identification cards, yet they're supposed to be smarter?
Ian wrote:
I'll stick with exit polls as a more reliable source of information.
LOL - you'll stick with whatever demonstrates your preconceived notion that Democrats are smarter.
Ian wrote: And the 2008 polls had little ambiguity to them: preference for Obama increased as education level increased. Karl Rove explains this correlation succinctly: "As people do better financially, they tend to vote Republican, unless they're highly educated." Captain Obvious to the rescue, IMO.
Stupid people must be pretty good at doing better financially.
Ian wrote:
And if exit polls from 2008 don't convince you, just look at the damn map. Republican Presidents can count on Mississippi, Oklahoma, Kentucky, no problem. Democrats have no trouble with Massachusets, Washington, Maryland, etc. Care to discuss which states are overall more intelligent, red or blue ones? I'll be more than happy to go down that road. Surely you wouldn't contend that smarter people live in the deep South and the interior plains while the dumb ones are in the northeast and the west coast? The term "flyover states" exists for a reason. 15 of the top 20 most Democrat-leaning states are also 15 of the top 20 best educated states. Review a list of educational attainment by state populations, and then color them in red, blue and purple. The distinction is clear as day.
The differences are marginal, and also highly disputed in terms of the metrics used. There are differences between education and intelligence -- those two things are not the same, etc. Being from New Jersey or New York doesn't make you smarter, and most people there, Democrats and Republicans alike, are borderline retarded, just as most people are everywhere. You can feel free to present the damning evidence that Democrats are overall smarter than Republicans by and large. I'd love to see exactly what you're relying on.

I'd also ask you to explain why they'd be disenfranchised by having to get an ID, if they're so smart, though....and, why stupid Republicans are nowhere near as likely for that to happen. One would think the big dummies voting Republican, since there are so many more of them than in the Democrat party, would be far more likely to be outfoxed by the voter ID laws, no? Or, are dumb-ass Republicans like "idiot savants" wherein they're mostly dumb all over, but they are high-functioning when it comes to navigating the Division of Motor Vehicles. LOL
Ian wrote: Plenty of intelligent, educated people vote Republican. One can be brilliant and vote Republican and one can be an idiot and vote Democratic.
Yup.
Ian wrote: Those are just the exceptions to the rule these days, that's all.
Evidence? And, let's see a study that doesn't fail for the same or similar reasons that you claim the study I cited fails.
Ian wrote: And it's not all that much of an exception. But it's yet another example of False Balance to claim that there are just as many dumb Democrats as there are Republicans. That's just a defense mechanism.
[/quote]

No -- it's just that you're making a claim without any real evidence behind it.

If you are seriously claiming that Democrats are by-and-large more educated and more intelligent a demographic than Republicans, then, once again, it would stand to reason that the Republicans would suffer more from a voter ID law than Democrats. Moreover, it would also stand to reason that Republicans would, by and large, be less financially successful than Democrats, since being successful in a career or in business is far more likely if one is more educated and/or more intelligent.
Last edited by Coito ergo sum on Tue Oct 16, 2012 3:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: 2012 US Election -- Round 2

Post by Gerald McGrew » Tue Oct 16, 2012 3:39 pm

If you don't like being called "stupid", then stop saying stupid things.

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Re: 2012 US Election -- Round 2

Post by Gerald McGrew » Tue Oct 16, 2012 3:40 pm

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/20 ... 132655.htm

Liberals and Atheists Smarter? Intelligent People Have Values Novel in Human Evolutionary History, Study Finds
ScienceDaily (Feb. 24, 2010) — More intelligent people are statistically significantly more likely to exhibit social values and religious and political preferences that are novel to the human species in evolutionary history. Specifically, liberalism and atheism, and for men (but not women), preference for sexual exclusivity correlate with higher intelligence, a new study finds.
If you don't like being called "stupid", then stop saying stupid things.

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Re: 2012 US Election -- Round 2

Post by Ian » Tue Oct 16, 2012 3:47 pm

Coito - You keep mentioning Voter ID laws, as if that trumps so many things. It's like the blind man describing the elephant by feeling its ass. Confirmation bias yet again.

Look at the goddamn map. And then look at it again. And then read about how people voted the last time a Presidential election was held. That's all the evidence I need to prove that there's a relationship between education/intelligence and voter preference. I WILL stick with exit polls to verify my preconceived notions, thank you very much. I dare you to refute them. There are LOTS of people providing exceptions, but that's the rule. I think you're just pissy because the truth hurts. Some might call it an inconvenient truth...

EDIT: Besides, you pretty much conceded this point two months ago, when you discussed how it was back in the Reagan era when the more educated voters voted Republican, and how the tide may finally be turning now: http://rationalia.com/forum/viewtopic.p ... e#p1239521
I don't know how soon that tide is going to come in though. Obama's still got a landslide lead among voters with graduate degrees or higher. Maybe 2016 will see a major shift from the dynamic we've seen the last decade or two.

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Re: 2012 US Election -- Round 2

Post by Drewish » Tue Oct 16, 2012 4:06 pm

Ian wrote:Coito - You keep mentioning Voter ID laws, as if that trumps so many things. It's like the blind man describing the elephant by feeling its ass. Confirmation bias yet again.

Look at the goddamn map. And then look at it again. And then read about how people voted the last time a Presidential election was held. That's all the evidence I need to prove that there's a relationship between education/intelligence and voter preference. I WILL stick with exit polls to verify my preconceived notions, thank you very much. I dare you to refute them. There are LOTS of people providing exceptions, but that's the rule. I think you're just pissy because the truth hurts. Some might call it an inconvenient truth...
http://www.theatlanticcities.com/politi ... tive/1162/

The social values associated with being 'conservative' are completely associated with lack of education, relgiousity, and poverty. However, the economic views of whether the government does enough for the poor are much more strongly affiliated with poverty than whether or not one is 'conservative.' That means your above statement is true for social issues, but it is not the case for economic issues.

Or to put it more bluntly, the gay hating, jingoistic, warmongering dipshits you are ARE the poor and uneducated. So stop fucking giving them money you stupid god damn liberals!
Nobody expects me...

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Re: 2012 US Election -- Round 2

Post by Coito ergo sum » Tue Oct 16, 2012 4:08 pm

Ian wrote:Coito - You keep mentioning Voter ID laws, as if that trumps so many things.
I didn't say it trumped anything. It certainly is a logical point, though. If Republicans are overall stupider, statistically, then voter ID laws would, it would seem to follow, disparately impact Republicans, unless they are stupid in general but nevertheless better able than their smarter Democrat compatriots at navigating the complex world of identification.
Ian wrote: It's like the blind man describing the elephant by feeling its ass. Confirmation bias yet again.
No, it just logically follows, assuming, of course, that smarter people do have an easier time of navigating the puzzling world of voter identification. Maybe you think I'm going out on a limb in assuming that.
Ian wrote:
Look at the goddamn map. And then look at it again.
You prove my point. You apparently do not see the flaw in the "look at the map" bullshit. Look - let's say New York is above-average in education and IQ. Right? So, that state is majority Democrat. You conclude based on that that Democrats must be smarter. That is an unwarranted conclusion. It is certainly POSSIBLE -- and you'll have to admit this -- that the smarter New Yorkers tend to vote Republican, and the dumber New Yorkers tend to vote Democrat. Show me the evidence that among New York voters, the ones that vote Democrat tend to be smarter, and then you'd have a point.

Clearly, the more affluent New Yorkers tend to vote Republican, as do the New Yorkers living outside of New York City. Underprivileged blacks,hispanics, and other minorities, who tend to be lower educated, and to perform worse on IQ tests and other metrics, tend to vote Democrat.

You can't just look at a map and say "oh, blue states are smarter" therefore Democrats are smarter. That doesn't necessarily follow. It may be the case, yes. But, we need to see who the smart blue staters vote for.
Ian wrote:
And then read about how people voted the last time a Presidential election was held. That's all the evidence I need to prove that there's a relationship between education/intelligence and voter preference. I WILL stick with exit polls to verify my preconceived notions, thank you very much. I dare you to refute them. There are LOTS of people providing exceptions, but that's the rule. I think you're just pissy because the truth hurts. Some might call it an inconvenient truth...
You need to present your evidence, I think, in terms of citation, link etc. Something that you're basing it on that I can look at in order to refute. I'm not going to go looking for whatever it is that you rely upon. Stick to whatever you want, but present it. Just writing about it is not enough.

The truth doesn't hurt. The truth is what I'm after. Unfortunately for you, you haven't yet grasped where your argument fails, and mainly that's because you so badly yearn to be among the elite "smarter than thou" class that you will "stick with" whatever gives you surface confirmation. That way you can chuckle like an MSNBC commentator at the great unwashed who just don't get it.

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Re: 2012 US Election -- Round 2

Post by Ian » Tue Oct 16, 2012 4:42 pm

Coito - first, see my edit above.

Then let's talk about your disdain for New York. You'll have to provide some better evidence that it is the more educated and affluent who vote Republican there. Inner city neighborhoods and rural areas are a wash: both have lower levels of education than the state overall, and both vote on opposite ends of the spectrum. And to keep things in perspective, we'd also have to talk about Mississippi and Oklahoma compared to New York. So you're contending that the more intelligent people in blue states are the minorities who vote Republican? You were with NY. I think that's nonsense, and you offered no proof for it. Your notion also ignores the dynamic within red states. Consider North Carolina: why has it gone from solid red to a battleground state? Because of all the people moving to the Research Triangle, that's why. Why has Virginia become a battleground? Because of the rapidly-growing DC suburbs, chock-full of very highly educated people. Your notion also doesn't explain why Vermont, with a greater percentage of rural voters than any other state in the union, is highly Democratic.

You've got to look at the overall levels. Statistics are what they are. I've mentioned some data, but if you really want it in your face then how about this:
Trigger Warning!!!1! :
Undergraduate Degreepercentage of population 25 years old and over with Bachelor Degree or more:
Rank / State / % Bachelor Degree
United States 27.9%
District of Columbia 48.5%
1 Massachusetts 38.2%
2 Colorado 35.9%
3 Maryland 35.7%
4 Connecticut 35.6%
5 New Jersey 34.5%
6 Virginia 34.0%
7 Vermont 33.1%
8 New York 32.4%
9 New Hampshire 32.0%
10 Minnesota 31.5%
11 Washington 31.0%
12 Illinois 30.6%
13 Rhode Island 30.5%
14 California 29.9%
15 Hawaii 29.6%
16 Kansas 29.5%
17 Oregon 29.2%
18 Delaware 28.7%
19 Utah 28.5%
20 Georgia 27.5%
21 Montana 27.4%
22 Nebraska 27.4%
23 Maine 26.9%
24 Alaska 26.6%
25 North Carolina 26.5%
26 Pennsylvania 26.4%
27 North Dakota 25.8%
28 Wisconsin 25.7%
29 Arizona 25.6%
30 Texas 25.5%
31 Florida 25.3%
32 New Mexico 25.3%
33 Missouri 25.2%
34 Iowa 25.1%
35 South Dakota 25.1%
36 Michigan 24.6%
37 South Carolina 24.3%
38 Ohio 24.1%
39 Idaho 23.9%
40 Wyoming 23.8%
41 Tennessee 23.0%
42 Oklahoma 22.7%
43 Indiana 22.5%
44 Alabama 22.0%
45 Nevada 21.8%
46 Louisiana 21.4%
47 Kentucky 21.0%
48 Mississippi 19.6%
49 Arkansas 18.9%
50 West Virginia 17.3%

Graduate Degree
percentage of population 25 years old and over with an Advanced Degree (Master's, Doctorate, etc) or more:
Rank / State / % Advanced Degree
United States 10.3%
District of Columbia 28.0%
1 Massachusetts 16.4%
2 Maryland 16.0%
3 Connecticut 15.5%
4 Virginia 14.1%
5 New York 14.0%
6 Vermont 13.3%
7 New Jersey 12.9%
8 Colorado 12.7%
9 Illinois 11.7%
10 Rhode Island 11.7%
11 Delaware 11.4%
12 New Hampshire 11.2%
13 Washington 11.1%
14 California 10.7%
15 New Mexico 10.4%
16 Oregon 10.4%
17 Minnesota 10.3%
18 Kansas 10.2%
19 Pennsylvania 10.2%
20 Georgia 9.9%
21 Hawaii 9.9%
22 Maine 9.6%
23 Missouri 9.5%
24 Michigan 9.4%
25 Arizona 9.3%
26 Utah 9.1%
27 Alaska 9.0%
28 Florida 9.0%
29 Nebraska 8.8%
30 North Carolina 8.8%
31 Ohio 8.8%
32 Kentucky 8.5%
33 Texas 8.5%
34 South Carolina 8.4%
35 Wisconsin 8.4%
36 Montana 8.3%
37 Indiana 8.1%
38 Tennessee 7.9%
39 Wyoming 7.9%
40 Alabama 7.7%
41 Nevada 7.6%
42 Idaho 7.5%
43 Iowa 7.4%
44 Oklahoma 7.4%
45 South Dakota 7.3%
46 Mississippi 7.1%
47 Louisiana 6.9%
48 North Dakota 6.7%
49 West Virginia 6.7%
50 Arkansas 6.1%
http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/ ... nment.html
http://www.statemaster.com/graph/edu_be ... ated-index
No doubt you can see where the blue states are and where the red states are. It's not a perfect correlation, but it's clearly there.
Check out the top ten and bottom ten of each list.

Coito, you're grasping at straws, tossing out weird theories about how it must be the more successful people in blue states like NY who vote Republican without offering any proof besides your hunch, which doesn't hold up in comparison to how that dynamic would work with red states. And I'm sure you don't like my arrogance in bringing this subject up again, so you'll challenge me. But the reality remains that generally speaking, the dumber a person is the more likely they are to vote Republican nowadays, and vice versa. Refuting it makes you feel more comfortable as an educated person who votes Republican, and that's a perfectly normal reaction to uncomfortable facts. You can call me biased too if you like, but I have those charts on my side, I have the electoral map on my side, and you do not.

Perhaps we could also talk about who the voters who consider themselves "highly religious" and "highly secular" are voting for. It's a far greater landslide than the education level one...

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Re: 2012 US Election -- Round 2

Post by Drewish » Tue Oct 16, 2012 5:01 pm

Nobody expects me...

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Re: 2012 US Election -- Round 2

Post by Ian » Tue Oct 16, 2012 5:06 pm

I look forward to a day when we can have a true Independent in the White House. I don't know how soon that will be: right now, being an Independent in Washington is like saying you'd like to be excluded (from good committee seats, from funding, etc.) and risk your own employment.

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Re: 2012 US Election -- Round 2

Post by Gerald McGrew » Tue Oct 16, 2012 5:14 pm

Show me the liberal equivalent of Conservapedia, and you'll have a point. Otherwise....
If you don't like being called "stupid", then stop saying stupid things.

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Re: 2012 US Election -- Round 2

Post by Coito ergo sum » Tue Oct 16, 2012 5:23 pm

Ian wrote:Coito - first, see my edit above.

Then let's talk about your disdain for New York.
I don't have a disdain for New York. I was using it as an example.
Ian wrote: You'll have to provide some better evidence that it is the more educated and affluent who vote Republican there.
No. You need to present evidence that the more educated and intelligent vote Democrat. I've seen none yet. I don't think Republicans are smarter. I think they're about the same. You've made the claim Democrats are smarter, more educated and more intelligent. Prove it. Prove it based on New York voters, or Massachusetts voters. Pointing to the state as being blue is not enough, for reasons I explained.
Ian wrote: Inner city neighborhoods and rural areas are a wash: both have lower levels of education than the state overall, and both vote on opposite ends of the spectrum. And to keep things in perspective, we'd also have to talk about Mississippi and Oklahoma compared to New York.
I'm happy with looking at every state. I'm still waiting for your evidence that it's the smarter people in Massachusetts and/or New York and/or other blue states that vote Democrat, and not Republican.
Ian wrote: So you're contending that the more intelligent people in blue states are the minorities who vote Republican? You were with NY. I think that's nonsense, and you offered no proof for it.
I never made that contention.
Ian wrote: Your notion also ignores the dynamic within red states. Consider North Carolina: why has it gone from solid red to a battleground state? Because of all the people moving to the Research Triangle, that's why. Why has Virginia become a battleground? Because of the rapidly-growing DC suburbs, chock-full of very highly educated people. Your notion also doesn't explain why Vermont, with a greater percentage of rural voters than any other state in the union, is highly Democratic.
Sounds wonderful, but you'll have to present evidence that the smarter people vote Democrat. It may well be that the expanding urban and minority populations are resulting in a shift Democrat. We'll have to see what the numbers show, when you post them, or link to them.
Ian wrote:

You've got to look at the overall levels. Statistics are what they are. I've mentioned some data, but if you really want it in your face then how about this:
Trigger Warning!!!1! :
Undergraduate Degreepercentage of population 25 years old and over with Bachelor Degree or more:
Rank / State / % Bachelor Degree
United States 27.9%
District of Columbia 48.5%
1 Massachusetts 38.2%
2 Colorado 35.9%
3 Maryland 35.7%
4 Connecticut 35.6%
5 New Jersey 34.5%
6 Virginia 34.0%
7 Vermont 33.1%
8 New York 32.4%
9 New Hampshire 32.0%
10 Minnesota 31.5%
11 Washington 31.0%
12 Illinois 30.6%
13 Rhode Island 30.5%
14 California 29.9%
15 Hawaii 29.6%
16 Kansas 29.5%
17 Oregon 29.2%
18 Delaware 28.7%
19 Utah 28.5%
20 Georgia 27.5%
21 Montana 27.4%
22 Nebraska 27.4%
23 Maine 26.9%
24 Alaska 26.6%
25 North Carolina 26.5%
26 Pennsylvania 26.4%
27 North Dakota 25.8%
28 Wisconsin 25.7%
29 Arizona 25.6%
30 Texas 25.5%
31 Florida 25.3%
32 New Mexico 25.3%
33 Missouri 25.2%
34 Iowa 25.1%
35 South Dakota 25.1%
36 Michigan 24.6%
37 South Carolina 24.3%
38 Ohio 24.1%
39 Idaho 23.9%
40 Wyoming 23.8%
41 Tennessee 23.0%
42 Oklahoma 22.7%
43 Indiana 22.5%
44 Alabama 22.0%
45 Nevada 21.8%
46 Louisiana 21.4%
47 Kentucky 21.0%
48 Mississippi 19.6%
49 Arkansas 18.9%
50 West Virginia 17.3%

Graduate Degree
percentage of population 25 years old and over with an Advanced Degree (Master's, Doctorate, etc) or more:
Rank / State / % Advanced Degree
United States 10.3%
District of Columbia 28.0%
1 Massachusetts 16.4%
2 Maryland 16.0%
3 Connecticut 15.5%
4 Virginia 14.1%
5 New York 14.0%
6 Vermont 13.3%
7 New Jersey 12.9%
8 Colorado 12.7%
9 Illinois 11.7%
10 Rhode Island 11.7%
11 Delaware 11.4%
12 New Hampshire 11.2%
13 Washington 11.1%
14 California 10.7%
15 New Mexico 10.4%
16 Oregon 10.4%
17 Minnesota 10.3%
18 Kansas 10.2%
19 Pennsylvania 10.2%
20 Georgia 9.9%
21 Hawaii 9.9%
22 Maine 9.6%
23 Missouri 9.5%
24 Michigan 9.4%
25 Arizona 9.3%
26 Utah 9.1%
27 Alaska 9.0%
28 Florida 9.0%
29 Nebraska 8.8%
30 North Carolina 8.8%
31 Ohio 8.8%
32 Kentucky 8.5%
33 Texas 8.5%
34 South Carolina 8.4%
35 Wisconsin 8.4%
36 Montana 8.3%
37 Indiana 8.1%
38 Tennessee 7.9%
39 Wyoming 7.9%
40 Alabama 7.7%
41 Nevada 7.6%
42 Idaho 7.5%
43 Iowa 7.4%
44 Oklahoma 7.4%
45 South Dakota 7.3%
46 Mississippi 7.1%
47 Louisiana 6.9%
48 North Dakota 6.7%
49 West Virginia 6.7%
50 Arkansas 6.1%
http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/ ... nment.html
http://www.statemaster.com/graph/edu_be ... ated-index
No doubt you can see where the blue states are and where the red states are. It's not a perfect correlation, but it's clearly there.
Check out the top ten and bottom ten of each list.
You are still missing it, aren't you? Look -- the color of the state does not tell us who in the State are Republicans and Democrats. Look at the Demographics in Mississippi and tell me there isn't a non-IQ related reason why it's a red state?

All you're doing is offering a supposition, Ian. If you're a Democrat, and thereby very likely to be smarter than the average Republican, you should be able to see how the information you just posted tells a grand total of "fuck all" about whether Democrats or Republicans are smarter or dumber.
Ian wrote:
Coito, you're grasping at straws, tossing out weird theories about how it must be the more successful people in blue states like NY who vote Republican without offering any proof besides your hunch, which doesn't hold up in comparison to how that dynamic would work with red states.
No, I'm not grasping at straws since I'm not making the assertion. I illustrated for you why the color of a state does not get you to your conclusion. You keep pretending that because New York is blue, that means New York Democrats are smarter than New York Republicans. That does not follow -- at all. It is an unwarranted conclusion. It is illogical. If it is, nevertheless, "good enough for you" then you represent one data point against your position.
Ian wrote: And I'm sure you don't like my arrogance in bringing this subject up again, so you'll challenge me.
No, it's just an unsubstantiated conclusion generally offered, in my experience, by people who aren't very bright themselves. I give you personally more credit than the average person who brings this garbage up. But, if you really don't see how you haven't presented a shred of evidence that supports your claim...
Ian wrote: But the reality remains that generally speaking, the dumber a person is the more likely they are to vote Republican nowadays, and vice versa.
You have presented no evidence, the above list notwithstanding. It doesn't prove that the more intelligent people vote Democrat, or vice versa. It just doesn't.
Ian wrote: Refuting it makes you feel more comfortable as an educated person who votes Republican, and that's a perfectly normal reaction to uncomfortable facts. You can call me biased too if you like, but I have those charts on my side, I have the electoral map on my side, and you do not.
If you think those charts show that more intelligent people vote Democrat, then you're not thinking clearly. And, the electoral map does not show what you say it shows. Again, just because New York is blue and New Yorkers are overall smarter and more educated on average than Mississippians (which is a red state) does not mean that Democrat voters are more educated than Republican voters on average. You have to be able to see the distinction there.
Ian wrote:
Perhaps we could also talk about who the voters who consider themselves "highly religious" and "highly secular" are voting for. It's a far greater landslide than the education level one...
Let's take one at a time. I'm waiting for evidence on your first claim.

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Gerald McGrew
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Re: 2012 US Election -- Round 2

Post by Gerald McGrew » Tue Oct 16, 2012 5:58 pm

I've already provided a link to a study that shows liberals tend to be more intelligent. Now, if you want to argue that liberals tend to vote Republican, we can go there.
If you don't like being called "stupid", then stop saying stupid things.

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