The UK - better together!

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Re: The UK - better together!

Post by ronmcd » Thu Dec 13, 2012 4:01 pm

mistermack wrote:Your windbag woman is on the telly now, and she's as full of shit as you are.
If only all commenters on this issue were as obviously knowledgeable as you ... who is the "windbag woman"? Sounds like the Scottish Labour leader to me.
mistermack wrote:You didn't answer the question. The only question that means anything. And that is, will Scotland become a member state without a unanimous vote? You were asked, and asked, and asked again. And you don't answer.
You just gas gas gas.
But the gas will run out. You do know that?
Did you ask me that question? Unanimous vote? Who knows, the process is not known, there is actually NO LAW which covers what would happen despite what you claim. Barroso didnt even claim that. He is making it up. But even if he really thinks Scotland will be chucked out, somehow, it wont happen. There is no precendent, and no law. The negotiations will indeed involve the other members, thats what the EU is, each member negotiating on the basis of the good of the EU and their own country. And it is NOT in their interests to throw Scotland out. If they did, as the QC in my previous quote explained, the Court of Justice would get involved. Put simply -that wont happen. It will be agreed within the EU.

If anyone seriously thinks the EU will expel the 5 million Scots and other EU citizens, after we have been so for 40 years, you're living in a fantasy world. It. Will. Not. Happen. :hilarious:

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Re: The UK - better together!

Post by mistermack » Thu Dec 13, 2012 4:31 pm

You say you don't know. Amongst all that BS. You don't act like it.

Well, there IS an existing law that says a unanimous vote is required for any state to become a member.
The UK is a member. Scotland is not a member. It's part of an existing member.
If it wants to become a member state, it requires a unanimous vote. That's the existing law, and it's bleedin obvious.

That's why the president said it. And HE said it was obvious, too. It's obvious to me, it's obvious to the (unbiased) president.
The only people that it's not obvious to are wishful thinkers, and those wishing to deceive the Scottish voters.

The scot nats say it will be done by "negotiation". Yeh, get every state to agree. If one objects, you're fucked.
That's what I call a unanimous vote, personally.
Scotland won't be "thrown out". Unless it throws itself out, by going through with independence without a unanimous agreement, written into law. In that case, it will be out, till it gets in.
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Re: The UK - better together!

Post by Red Celt » Thu Dec 13, 2012 5:41 pm

mistermack wrote:The UK is a member. Scotland is not a member. It's part of an existing member.
That existing member is the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. Without Scotland, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland no longer exists. If the union is broken up (according to your shitty logic) the rest of the UK (by whatever name it opts for) will also need to re-apply to join the EU.

You can say that the UK is an existing member all you like. Without Scotland, you won't have a UK.

I mean... this has already been explained to you, so I may as well have just pissed in the wind than typed it out again. But fuck it... ever the optimist. Even amongst the clueless.
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Re: The UK - better together!

Post by ronmcd » Thu Dec 13, 2012 5:52 pm

mistermack wrote: Scotland won't be "thrown out". Unless it throws itself out, by going through with independence without a unanimous agreement, written into law. In that case, it will be out, till it gets in.
And there it is. We agree! Scotland will not at any point be out of EU. (unless we vote for it, which could happen. Or Cameron takes us out ... which might well happen)

This whole thing is utter and complete bullshit, and is NOT about Scotland and it's certainty of being a EU member if independent. It is all about Spain, Catalonia, and assorted countries dealing with their own "separatist" movements where there is not an agreed process between the "separatists" and those calling them "separatists". But the weight of the UK political establishment is naturally keen to use that political reality in Europe to monger as much fear as possible here! :clap: Good job, but it wont be what decides the referendum. The fearmongering will burn itself out, and people will look at the real issues as the vote gets closer:

- who do people in Scotland want deciding economic, military, energy, social policy? Westminister, or Holyrood.

It will be that simple.

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Re: The UK - better together!

Post by ronmcd » Thu Dec 13, 2012 6:04 pm

Red Celt wrote:
mistermack wrote:The UK is a member. Scotland is not a member. It's part of an existing member.
That existing member is the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. Without Scotland, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland no longer exists. If the union is broken up (according to your shitty logic) the rest of the UK (by whatever name it opts for) will also need to re-apply to join the EU.

You can say that the UK is an existing member all you like. Without Scotland, you won't have a UK.

I mean... this has already been explained to you, so I may as well have just pissed in the wind than typed it out again. But fuck it... ever the optimist. Even amongst the clueless.
It's an issue that is being ignored for sure. It's also why Scotland is different from Catalonia, and the Scottish govt try to make the point all the time they are two different situations. Scotland is not a territory owned by the UK. The UK is a union of two "Kingdoms", and it is - in theory at least - a union of equals.

We wont be seceding from the UK ... we will be dissolving the UK :whistle:

A past quote from Alex Salmond on this topic, answering Labour at Holyrood, citing someone more experienced with such legal matters than us, or even Mistermack!
Perhaps I can help him by citing some authorities. Lord Mackenzie-Stuart, the only Scottish judge to have been President of the European Court of Justice, was asked to address the point about Scotland and the rest of the United Kingdom in the event of independence. He said:

“Independence would leave Scotland and something called ‘the rest’ in the same legal boat. If Scotland had to reapply, so would the rest. I am puzzled at the suggestion that there would be a difference in the status of Scotland and the rest of the United Kingdom in terms of Community law if the Act of Union was dissolved.


I think that we can reasonably say that the late Lord Mackenzie-Stuart was an authority on such matters, but I have no knowledge that he was ever friendly towards the SNP’s position. However, he looked at precisely that question and his argument was very clear from that quotation. Incidentally, “I am puzzled” is legal speak for “I don’t understand the argument that’s being put forward.” The point that he put forward very clearly is that Scotland and the rest of the UK would be in exactly the same legal position.

I will turn to what that legal position might be. I will quote Eamonn Gallagher, who is a former director-general of the European Commission and ambassador to the United Nations in New York. He said:

Scotland and the rest of the UK would be equally entitled to continue the existing full membership of the EU.”

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Re: The UK - better together!

Post by klr » Thu Dec 13, 2012 6:11 pm

From the BBC article:
...
Mr Barroso also said that, if Scotland became independent, the rest of the UK would not have to negotiate a new position, because of the "principle of the continuity of the state".
...
Emphasis mine, in quadricate.
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Re: The UK - better together!

Post by ronmcd » Thu Dec 13, 2012 6:12 pm

Deputy First Minister's statement on EU today ... makes mention of the very thing we were talking about. Dissolving the union, NOT seceding from the union.

I am pleased to have the opportunity to make a statement on an independent Scotland’s continuing membership of the European Union and to respond to recent statements by the President of the European Commission, Jose Manuel Barroso.
Firstly, let me be clear that the Scottish Government believes that Scotland should continue to be a member of the EU; a view that does not appear to be shared by a UK government that is displaying ever increasing signs of Euro-scepticism. Indeed, in my view, it is the overtly hostile stance of the UK government – or at least significant parts of it – that presents the real risk to Scotland’s continuing membership of the EU.
This government believes that Scotland does benefit from EU membership and that the EU benefits – enormously – from having Scotland as a member. It is also our view that Scotland’s interests would be better represented in the EU by an independent Scottish Government, with a seat at the top table, able to speak up for our national interest without having to seek the prior permission of UK ministers; and a government able to work closely and constructively with partners across these islands, and across the EU, to advance our shared interests.
Presiding Officer, that is our ambition for Scotland’s future in Europe. It is positive and constructive – with Scotland’s and Europe’s best interests at its heart - and it stands in sharp contrast to the stance of the UK government.
Let me turn now to the recent statements of the President of the European Commission.
As head of the Commission, Mr Barroso’s opinion on this matter should be – and will be by this Government - treated seriously and with respect.
That is why I have written to him seeking an early opportunity to discuss the particular process by which Scotland would become independent and the implications of that for our continued EU membership.
However, in doing so, it is important that I also set out the following points.
Firstly, the European Commission, however important, is not the final arbiter of these matters. Mr Barroso’s statements do not constitute a ‘ruling’, as some have suggested. Nor does the Commission even claim to be specifically addressing the particular situation of Scotland.
Indeed, the President of the Commission himself made clear, in his letter to the House of Lords Committee, that ‘the European Commission has expressed its views in general…’
Second, there is absolutely no provision in the EU Treaties for the dis-application of those Treaties or the removal of EU citizenship from a country and its people when they exercise their democratic right to self-determination. And it would be extraordinary if anyone in this chamber - or indeed anyone else committed to the principle of democracy - was to suggest that there should be.
Indeed, Mr Barroso said in response to a question on 10 November 2012, ‘There are no provisions in the Treaties that refer to the secession from a member state.’
Therefore, what I want to outline to the President – and indeed hear his views on – is the specific process by which Scotland would become independent and the way in which we would seek to ensure that our intention to remain within the EU is achieved.
Firstly, let me deal with the process of independence. As a result of the Edinburgh Agreement that process is democratic, agreed and consensual and the result will be respected and implemented by both the Scottish and UK governments.
Following a ‘yes’ vote in 2014, a process of negotiation will take place with the UK government on the transfer of powers to an independent Scottish Parliament. As I said last week, it would be the intention of the Scottish Government to invite representatives of the other parties and of civic Scotland to contribute to that process. It is a process that we would intend to have completed in time for the next Scottish election in 2016. However, in the period between autumn 2014 and May 2016, Scotland would still be in the UK and, therefore, by definition, still within the EU.
In parallel to negotiations with the UK government, it would be our intention to negotiate the terms of an independent Scotland’s continuing membership of the EU.
And here I should point out that the need for negotiations with the EU was made clear by the Scottish Government in Choosing Scotland’s Future in 2007, in Your Scotland, Your Voice in 2009 and in Your Scotland, Your Referendum in 2012. And it is worth remembering that these are matters that are likely to be about political negotiation more than they will be about legal process.
Let me also pause here to reflect on the position of the UK in such negotiations. It would be interesting to hear those who argue that an independent Scotland would have to reapply for EU membership explain in some detail why that same argument wouldn’t also be true of the rest of the UK, given that the democratic process we are engaged in would lead to the dissolution of the UK in its current political form. However, since I do not believe that we would be in a formal re-application situation, I will not dwell on that point.
However, what will undoubtedly be the case is that negotiation on terms of continuing membership will be highly relevant to the rest of the UK which will require to determine, for example, its own number of seats in the European Parliament and its revised financial contribution.
So, I believe Scotland and the rest of the UK would have a shared interest in concluding such negotiations smoothly and quickly.
And I believe that such a sensible process of negotiation will result in Scotland’s continuing membership of the EU on terms that are reasonable. And by that I mean, for example, that just like Sweden, we would not join the Euro until and unless it was in Scotland’s interests to do so and we had satisfied the conditions for doing so. And, just like Ireland, we would not enter Schengen but would instead look to co-operate with Ireland and the rest of the UK in the Common Travel Area. Both of these positions are practical and justifiable and would, I am sure, be supported by all parties here in Scotland. And, given their approach in other circumstances, the evidence suggests they would be understood by our European partners.
I will cite two reasons for my view and, in so doing, I am very deliberately relying, not simply on arguments of law or process, but on arguments of common sense, reality and mutual self-interest.
Firstly, the EU is an organisation that welcomes new members. It wants others to join – it most certainly would not want to see existing parts of its territory leave.
Let me quote, again, the words of Mr Barroso, this time on 11 September – ‘I see no country leaving and I see many countries wanting to join.’
The EU is also an inherently flexible organisation – it adapts, as indeed it should, to the changing circumstances of its member states. To demonstrate that, we just have to look at how quickly and smoothly the former East Germany was integrated into the EU following re-unification. Indeed it’s instructive to read the press release issued by the Commission about East Germany in 1990. It said, ‘The community institutions have all done their utmost to bring about the integration of what was the German Democratic Republic as smoothly as possible and within the timescale allowed by the unification process.’
There was no direct precedent for what happened with East Germany – just as there is no precedent for what might happen in Scotland – but the EU found a solution that is consistent with the principle of sincere co-operation that lies at the heart of the EU Treaties. They adapted and they did it on the basis of common sense and accommodation of internal decisions taken by one of its member states.
My second reason for believing that Scotland would continue in membership of the EU is that it is overwhelmingly in the EU’s interests for us to do so.
And by that I don’t just mean that to go through the complicated process of putting Scotland outside the EU, just for us to be readmitted later, would be – as Graham Avery, an Honorary DG of the Commission, said – 'not feasible'.
I mean that Scotland’s vast assets – fishing, oil and gas, renewables; our value as an export market to other member states; our education system enjoyed by thousands of EU students every year; and our status as home to tens of thousands of EU citizens, mean that the economic, social and political interests of the EU would be best served by Scotland remaining in continuous membership.
Let us just look at some of that in more detail. We have around 90% of the EU's oil and gas reserves. We accounted for around two-thirds of EU crude oil and a fifth of EU natural gas production in 2009. An independent Scotland would be the largest producer of oil and the second largest producer of gas in the EU.
In 2010/11, there were more than 16,000 EU students enrolled at Scottish HEIs and 150,000 EU citizens living here by virtue of the freedom of movement that comes with us as being part of the EU.
We are an integral member of the EU and it is not credible to argue that the other nations of the EU would not want to retain access to the vast array of resources and opportunities that Scotland brings to the EU table.
Indeed, if the opposition parties have Scotland’s best interests at heart then – notwithstanding their opposition to independence – they will accept that, in the event of a ‘yes’ vote, the process I have outlined today would be in the best interests of Scotland, the UK and the EU.
Presiding Officer,
As I said earlier, I have sought the opportunity to discuss the matter with Mr Barroso in the near future.
I will be happy to update parliament again following that discussion.

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Re: The UK - better together!

Post by ronmcd » Thu Dec 13, 2012 6:16 pm

klr wrote:From the BBC article:
...
Mr Barroso also said that, if Scotland became independent, the rest of the UK would not have to negotiate a new position, because of the "principle of the continuity of the state".
...
Emphasis mine, in quadricate.
Indeed, and thats why he is wrong :D The UK would NOT be continuing, it would NOT be the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. Barroso would be correct if Cornwall decided to secede from UK, as it would not legally change what the UK is - a union of two "kingdoms", Scotland and England.

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Re: The UK - better together!

Post by Jason » Thu Dec 13, 2012 7:25 pm

Yes. Good.. let the anger flow through you.

I'm still very amused at how the 'better together' people are showing themselves more and more fearful of what an independent Scotland would mean for England. (Amusement stems from the fact that they're trying to parley that fear into an argument that'll reach the Scottish people who'll do nothing but benefit from independence and should have declared independence 20 years or more ago.)

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Re: The UK - better together!

Post by klr » Thu Dec 13, 2012 8:12 pm

ronmcd wrote:
klr wrote:From the BBC article:
...
Mr Barroso also said that, if Scotland became independent, the rest of the UK would not have to negotiate a new position, because of the "principle of the continuity of the state".
...
Emphasis mine, in quadricate.
Indeed, and thats why he is wrong :D The UK would NOT be continuing, it would NOT be the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. Barroso would be correct if Cornwall decided to secede from UK, as it would not legally change what the UK is - a union of two "kingdoms", Scotland and England.
When the majority of Ireland gained independence in 1922, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland was eventually recast as the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. As far as I know, no treaties or suchlike made with the first version became null and void when it morphed (and shrunk) into the second version. Even if the whole of Ireland had seceded, it wouldn't have made any difference IMHO. And so it would be with Scottish independence, even if some fine details of EU finances and voting, etc., might need to be revised. I think your argument places far too much importance on the meaning of a name. In this scenario, realpolitik will definitely favour a continuation of the status quo with what's left of the UK, regardless of what it might be called. Scotland? Not important enough to deserve anywhere near the same consideration, just as with the Irish Free State 90 years ago.
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Re: The UK - better together!

Post by Red Celt » Thu Dec 13, 2012 9:07 pm

klr wrote:When the majority of Ireland gained independence in 1922, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland was eventually recast as the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. As far as I know, no treaties or suchlike made with the first version became null and void when it morphed (and shrunk) into the second version. Even if the whole of Ireland had seceded, it wouldn't have made any difference IMHO. And so it would be with Scottish independence, even if some fine details of EU finances and voting, etc., might need to be revised. I think your argument places far too much importance on the meaning of a name. In this scenario, realpolitik will definitely favour a continuation of the status quo with what's left of the UK, regardless of what it might be called. Scotland? Not important enough to deserve anywhere near the same consideration, just as with the Irish Free State 90 years ago.
The union that makes the United Kingdom united... is between England and Scotland. Wales is a principality and Ireland (now just Northern Ireland) is just A.N.Other... and it is pure distance that makes Northern Ireland something other than a B.O.T. (British Overseas Territory). So, without Scotland, the rest of the old-style UK will no longer by the UK. And it is more than just a name. Westminster would be stripped of all Scottish MPs and Lords. The parliament that currently exists would have to be re-formed with fewer ministers. At the moment, it wouldn't change the balance of power, but imagine if a potential dismantling of the UK after 2014 meant that a different party had the majority.

England, Wales and Northern Ireland would have different boundary issues... a more-restricted fishing area, fewer cattle... I mean, damn, there would be a whole lot of renegotiating to do when it comes to the EU, because EW&NI would have less to bargain with (or for). Oh, and they'd temporarily be a nuclear-free zone, until they'd found a new submarine-friendly base for the replacement of the current arsenal (with fewer tax-payers to pay for that monstrosity).

If England and Scotland go different political ways... dream the biggest dream that everything will carry on regardless... in the EU, or in any other club that EW&NI belong to.
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Re: The UK - better together!

Post by klr » Thu Dec 13, 2012 9:21 pm

Red Celt wrote:
klr wrote:When the majority of Ireland gained independence in 1922, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland was eventually recast as the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. As far as I know, no treaties or suchlike made with the first version became null and void when it morphed (and shrunk) into the second version. Even if the whole of Ireland had seceded, it wouldn't have made any difference IMHO. And so it would be with Scottish independence, even if some fine details of EU finances and voting, etc., might need to be revised. I think your argument places far too much importance on the meaning of a name. In this scenario, realpolitik will definitely favour a continuation of the status quo with what's left of the UK, regardless of what it might be called. Scotland? Not important enough to deserve anywhere near the same consideration, just as with the Irish Free State 90 years ago.
The union that makes the United Kingdom united... is between England and Scotland. Wales is a principality and Ireland (now just Northern Ireland) is just A.N.Other... and it is pure distance that makes Northern Ireland something other than a B.O.T. (British Overseas Territory). So, without Scotland, the rest of the old-style UK will no longer by the UK. And it is more than just a name. Westminster would be stripped of all Scottish MPs and Lords. The parliament that currently exists would have to be re-formed with fewer ministers. At the moment, it wouldn't change the balance of power, but imagine if a potential dismantling of the UK after 2014 meant that a different party had the majority.

England, Wales and Northern Ireland would have different boundary issues... a more-restricted fishing area, fewer cattle... I mean, damn, there would be a whole lot of renegotiating to do when it comes to the EU, because EW&NI would have less to bargain with (or for). Oh, and they'd temporarily be a nuclear-free zone, until they'd found a new submarine-friendly base for the replacement of the current arsenal (with fewer tax-payers to pay for that monstrosity).

If England and Scotland go different political ways... dream the biggest dream that everything will carry on regardless... in the EU, or in any other club that EW&NI belong to.
It's worth repeating: Russia, even without the rest of the Soviet Union, is still a permanent member of the U.N. Security Council, complete with veto. I don't know what % of the USSR population lived in Russia around the time the USSR fell apart, but it was a lot lower than that of England, Wales & NI as part of the current UK. It took time - years in fact - for Russia to get all the nuclear weapons back, at least those that were not disposed of. It's economy was in dire straits for a good while as well.

So the UK parliament would have to be restructured? So what. It would be an internal matter for what remained of the UK - none of an independent Scotland's business to be honest. It would have no effect on diplomatic or similar relations with any other country or international body. As for adjustments to international agreements, etc.: Well, that goes without saying where there's money involved. But they'd remain in place if it's just a basic accounting question. The only realistic threat to EU membership from what remained of the UK would come from within, to judge by current posturing by certain groups. The rest of Europe does not want to lose the UK. If you continue think otherwise, I can only throw my hands up. If I were in your position, I'd be thinking as realistically as I could. Wishful thinking has a nasty habit of coming back to bite you in the unmentionables.
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Re: The UK - better together!

Post by Svartalf » Thu Dec 13, 2012 9:32 pm

klr wrote:From the BBC article:
...
Mr Barroso also said that, if Scotland became independent, the rest of the UK would not have to negotiate a new position, because of the "principle of the continuity of the state".
...
Emphasis mine, in quadricate.
The UK... the status of Sscotland is much less assured, as, unlike the London based UK, it doesn't have 'continuity' on its side.
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Re: The UK - better together!

Post by Red Celt » Thu Dec 13, 2012 9:52 pm

klr wrote:It would be an internal matter for what remained of the UK - none of an independent Scotland's business to be honest.
klr wrote:The rest of Europe does not want to lose the UK.
None of Europe's business... to be honest. :santa:
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Re: The UK - better together!

Post by mistermack » Thu Dec 13, 2012 10:16 pm

There is a perfectly clear precedent for a state that has massive boundary changes remaining as was.
And that's Germany adding East Germany. The original state continued without a break. And all totally legal and proper.

There is no precedent for any state becoming a member state without a vote. Simple as that.
The rule is you have to have a unanimous vote.

Quite right, Scotland won't be chucked out. But it won't automatically be in, either.
If it can't get voted in, it will be in limbo, a lame-duck part of the UK. Possibly for years.

Not exactly the lie that Salmond has been pedling.
Barroso was perfectly clear on what had to happen. He won't have just said the first thing that came into his head. That statement would be the current advice that he's receiving from his law officers.
It's a veiled warning to Salmond to start telling the truth, or he will be made to look even more stupid.
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