Ian wrote:What evidence, Ian, would you accept that would change your mind about the value of this leak?
Well, let me be clear about my position: the concept of Wikileaks is a good one, and I hope that this website (or such a website) is always available to potential whistle-blowers. I don't believe in secrecy for secrecy's sake. In theory, I am very very much pro-Wikileaks. [/quote]So who decides what is important? We have had various governments handling it, with varying degrees of success for years.
Ian wrote:The problem from my perspective has been its operations. Everyone in the world already known that the US government leaks information like a sieve and always will. But Wikileaks isn't just publishing items that could be construed as whistle-blowing, they're publishing absolutely everything, including a great number of documents that only have the potential for harm, such as the so-called "targets list".
I see immense possibility for good there. If only highlighting that if Joe Public can now get at all that info, there is a good chance that forces of evil have had access to it before.
Ian wrote: In other words, attempted transparency only for transparency's sake. This is just gratuitous, and could result in great collateral damage.
The authorities have shown time and time again that corruption rules too often. This should reign some of that in. How much, I don't know...
Ian wrote: Assange likes to say he's just a journalist. Well, should the media be exempt from all responsibilities and negligence? The press was kind enough to hold off on breaking the Cuban Missile Crisis story for a couple days until Kennedy could announce it himself, thank Zeus.
Not anymore, Ian. The world changed. Wikileaks has shown many old fools that their cloak of secrecy is useless.
Maybe they will stop hiding secrets in such a careless way. Wouldn't that be a benefit? (to YOU, I mean)
Ian wrote: Assange supporters like to say "Well, it's about free speech." I don't think free speech was in any great danger before. I also don't think that there's such a thing as 100% free speech anywhere; surely you've heard of the Supreme Court case which struck down the "shouting 'fire!' in a crowded theater" logic.
Funny how that expression is so often misused. It was shouting fire
falsely in a crowded theater, and the example came up over the government trying to protect it's ability to form slave-armies.
Those who spoke against the draft have been everyone from peaceniks to military officers. It should most CERTAINLY have been protected by free speech.
I don't even dare to look up what came of the case.
Ian wrote:Anyway, I see the State Dept. leaks as producing much more harm than good. Wikileaks could've sifted through the documents and only published those which might be controversial, but they didn't. Because that is their policy,
Great! I would rather choose for myself what is important, rather than leave it up to 'journalists'.
Ian wrote: the following things are happening:
1) Less information will be shared between analysts and between governments. Steps have already been taken to limit who gets to read what. More leaks might happen, but PFC Manning wouldn't be able to duplicate what he did if he were released right now.
Possibly true, but I hope the world doesn't start thinking so.
I think one of the large benefits of this leak will be to show how incompetently the documents were protected in the first place.
Not that such protection is really available anyway.
Ian wrote:
2) Related to 1, fewer leaks will be coming Wikileaks' way. What if some abuse of power is happening somewhere right now, and a potential whistleblower doesn't have access to hearing about it?
3) Also related to 1, there is a weakened ability to track and counter threats. 9/11, for example, was not a failure of information collection, but rather of coordination. The blowback from Wikileaks, I'm afraid, could set us back to pre-9/11 standards of information sharing.
4) An immediate cooling of diplomatic relations around the world, including many relations not involving the US at all. This is not semantic theory. I wish I could talk about what I've been reading in classified message traffic lately; suffice to say, there is some real diplomatic fallout happening around the world. Some of it harms the US, some of it helps the US, and some of it harms others.
5) A longer-term cooling of diplomacy everywhere. I'm talking about ambassadors and statesmen afraid to be candid with each other. One would have to be an incorrigible anarchist to think that this would produce more good than harm.
What about a corrigible anarchist?
I think they SHOULD be afraid of everything they say being exposed. That is the world we live in now. Tell me, Ian, if you had sufficient resources, do you think you could get photos of some very private person masturbating in their locked room?
The world is not a place for privacy anymore. The quicker that reality is realized, the better.
Ian wrote:
So what evidence would I accept to make me think that the State Dept. dump will produce more good than harm? Hard to say... some of the cables have mentioned Pakistan and China taking a weak road on securing nuclear materials and missile exports from North Korea (respectively). Maybe if these leaks cause them to reverse their policies, that would be a start.
I am pleased to see that you can see both sides. I think the governments will have to acknowledge, now more than ever, that their actions can and will be scrutinized in a much wider way now. I think there is plenty of good to come from that.