Scot Dutchy wrote: ↑Fri May 29, 2020 9:34 pm
Brian Peacock wrote: ↑Fri May 29, 2020 4:11 pm
Scot Dutchy wrote:Brian Peacock wrote: ↑Fri May 29, 2020 7:01 am
1 in 5 million is 0.2 in 1 million. At the moment The Netherlands coronavirus deaths stand around c.340 per million or, if we multiply it to match the chances of winning the Lotto, 1700 in 5 million.
Maths eh?
So Scot, why don't you want to talk about the spike in the mortality rate?
According to whose figures?
Your the one talking about the spike. How about the spike in 2018? There was no virus around then.
This is the perfect self-defeating argument.
You are comparing a one time lotto with a cumulative total.
You were the one who compared catching the virus to winning the Lotto.
The lotto is on the 10th of every month so how many cases are there on that day? You cant tell. You only have cumulative totals. How cases are there? What was the genuine amount and not totals? How many are cured? It is so inaccurate.
Now you're moving the goalposts because that blind assertion about the lotto was shown to be just that.
Don't pretend I'm asserting that the figures are 100% absolutely accurate in every regard, nor that this presumed 100% absolutely accurate information is the only basis on which to make rational policy decisions in the interest of public health. Societies have to make decisions like this on the basis of the information they have, and crowing on about how it isn't the full or true picture sounds like nihilistic excuses for inaction in circumstances where inaction results in not preventing preventable deaths. If you had the responsibility for the health of the public what would you do - let the virus go unchecked in order to generate base data by which to compare subsequent decisions?
So, being as you're now the authority on data gathering tell us what the errorbars in the data are - just how wrong are the numbers - and if your answer is that it's impossible to tell then you'll have also removed the ground from under your own argument and left yourself with nothing but, "Because, that's why," instead.