

rasetsu wrote:I despise when back of the envelope calculations of "probability" which build on our ignorance and misapplication of the law of the excluded middle are used to assert the absolute rarity of life.
Blind groper wrote:rasetsu wrote:I despise when back of the envelope calculations of "probability" which build on our ignorance and misapplication of the law of the excluded middle are used to assert the absolute rarity of life.
Lane quotes Fermi who really has to be taken seriously.
The SETI program has scanned our entire galaxy looking for radio signals that might carry intelligent information. Admittedly the galaxy is a big place, and that scan is 'once over lightly'. Still, it is the absence of any sign of intelligent life that is what is obvious. It appears that such life may be rare.

Crumple wrote:
This is true. I suspect intelligence once it arises will quickly destroy itself and only exists as a rare and transient phenomana.
Blind groper wrote:Crumple wrote:
This is true. I suspect intelligence once it arises will quickly destroy itself and only exists as a rare and transient phenomana.
That is one of many possible answers to the Fermi Paradox. It might even be true. Lane presents another possible answer, in saying that the move from procaryote to eucaryote cell is a rare and special event, which may have happened only on rare occasions, and only on a few planets.

Blind groper wrote:rasetsu wrote:I despise when back of the envelope calculations of "probability" which build on our ignorance and misapplication of the law of the excluded middle are used to assert the absolute rarity of life.
Lane quotes Fermi who really has to be taken seriously.
The SETI program has scanned our entire galaxy looking for radio signals that might carry intelligent information. Admittedly the galaxy is a big place, and that scan is 'once over lightly'. Still, it is the absence of any sign of intelligent life that is what is obvious. It appears that such life may be rare.
MiM wrote: the Fermi paradox really has a number of assumptions hidden into it. One is that stellar colonisation is technologically viable.
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