Har Har Har Global warming crap

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Seth
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Re: Har Har Har You're Now In A Flood Zone...

Post by Seth » Sat Aug 24, 2013 9:33 pm

piscator wrote:Flood insurance is socialized in America. Private sector insurers do not write flood policies, and they exclude flood damage in homeowner and commercial P&C policies. FEMA manages the National Flood Insurance Program, which is underwritten by US Federal tax dollars. Lenders often require Flood Insurance on new and existing property loans and mortgages.
Not quite right, private sector insurers DO write the policies (mine was written by Allstate) but they are regulated and underwritten by the NFIP.
Every so often, FEMA takes a regularly scheduled look at the historic hydrology they use to define flood plains and recomputes flood insurance rates for homeowners and businesses.
And they routinely fuck that up. There were two houses on my ranch. One of them was a POS 986 square foot house in the flood-fringe area that I lived in and the other was a large custom-designed house on top of a 35 foot high cliff that was clearly OUT of the flood plain. It took me five years to convince FEMA to send someone out to simply take a look and confirm this rather than forcing me to spend thousands of dollars on a flood elevation survey that no surveyor in the area was willing to perform...for reasons of liability. Allstate eventually sent out an inspector with a camera who stood on the bridge over the creek and took a picture of the house on top of the cliff and months later FEMA agreed to waive the flood-insurance requirement.
Well, due to the sea level increase and increased severity of storms and increased Flood Insurance claim payments in the last 36 years, America now has a lot of new flood plains and a lot of higher Base Flood Elevations and storm surge zones...
As well it should. One of FEMAs initiatives has been to "move" entire towns in the Mississippi flood plain to higher ground and prohibit reconstruction in the flood plain. That should have been done a century ago.
When Catherine Porthouse bought a home in 2010 in the bayous of Louisiana, she didn’t worry much about the possibility of flood damage. Her house, in the town of Des Allemands, is shielded by marshlands and a levee and had no history of problems. Flood insurance wasn’t required, but she purchased a policy just in case.

In March, Porthouse got a rude surprise. The Federal Emergency Management Agency announced at a town meeting that it had rewritten the state’s flood maps and added her house and hundreds of others to Louisiana’s flood zone. She was told she’ll have to raise her house 8 feet into the air and fill in the space beneath it. If she doesn’t, her yearly flood insurance bill will jump from $388 to $18,000. “I left in tears,” Porthouse says.
What sort of idiot parks their house at sea-level (or BELOW sea level as in the case of New Orleans) and cries about being told their house is prone to being flooded and that they will have to pay more for their stupidity?

She shouldn't have been allowed to build there in the first place, and moreover her home should be EXCLUDED from flood insurance of any kind, and if it gets flooded it should be condemned, torn down and anyone should be prohibited from rebuilding there, period.

Why everyone else has to pay to rebuild and rebuild and rebuild home in flood-prone areas like the Mississippi flood plain and delta is beyond me. If you want to take that risk, that's up to you, but the taxpayers shouldn't be required to bail you out.
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Re: Har Har Har You're Now In A Flood Zone...

Post by piscator » Sat Aug 24, 2013 9:59 pm

Seth wrote:
piscator wrote:Flood insurance is socialized in America. Private sector insurers do not write flood policies, and they exclude flood damage in homeowner and commercial P&C policies. FEMA manages the National Flood Insurance Program, which is underwritten by US Federal tax dollars. Lenders often require Flood Insurance on new and existing property loans and mortgages.
Not quite right, private sector insurers DO write the policies (mine was written by Allstate) but they are regulated and underwritten by the NFIP.
You might want to read your policy. Allstate just tacked National Flood Insurance on to your policy as a service. Probably added their costs plus a percentage for this too. Private insurers don't touch that shit with a 10-foot pole. The government does it.
Every so often, FEMA takes a regularly scheduled look at the historic hydrology they use to define flood plains and recomputes flood insurance rates for homeowners and businesses.
And they routinely fuck that up. There were two houses on my ranch. One of them was a POS 986 square foot house in the flood-fringe area that I lived in and the other was a large custom-designed house on top of a 35 foot high cliff that was clearly OUT of the flood plain. It took me five years to convince FEMA to send someone out to simply take a look and confirm this rather than forcing me to spend thousands of dollars on a flood elevation survey that no surveyor in the area was willing to perform...for reasons of liability. Allstate eventually sent out an inspector with a camera who stood on the bridge over the creek and took a picture of the house on top of the cliff and months later FEMA agreed to waive the flood-insurance requirement.
All you needed was a Flood Certification stamped by a Registered Land Surveyor showing the lowest part of the house was above BFE and thus, in Zone X.. It's a standard form. Surveyors do those every day in all 50 states. Pics by insurance agents don't mean shit. Closed loop level runs from FEMA benchmarks by professional land surveyors are the only thing that matters.

(And if it were Allstate doing it, you wouldn't have had to deal with FEMA in the first place. See above.)

Well, due to the sea level increase and increased severity of storms and increased Flood Insurance claim payments in the last 36 years, America now has a lot of new flood plains and a lot of higher Base Flood Elevations and storm surge zones...
As well it should. One of FEMAs initiatives has been to "move" entire towns in the Mississippi flood plain to higher ground and prohibit reconstruction in the flood plain. That should have been done a century ago.
It's an obvious waste of tax dollars to pay people to rebuild in flood zones. It was only porkbarrel politics that fostered it until about 20 years ago.


When Catherine Porthouse bought a home in 2010 in the bayous of Louisiana, she didn’t worry much about the possibility of flood damage. Her house, in the town of Des Allemands, is shielded by marshlands and a levee and had no history of problems. Flood insurance wasn’t required, but she purchased a policy just in case.

In March, Porthouse got a rude surprise. The Federal Emergency Management Agency announced at a town meeting that it had rewritten the state’s flood maps and added her house and hundreds of others to Louisiana’s flood zone. She was told she’ll have to raise her house 8 feet into the air and fill in the space beneath it. If she doesn’t, her yearly flood insurance bill will jump from $388 to $18,000. “I left in tears,” Porthouse says.
What sort of idiot parks their house at sea-level (or BELOW sea level as in the case of New Orleans) and cries about being told their house is prone to being flooded and that they will have to pay more for their stupidity?
It was Zone X when she bought it. Now it's not. Now she has to raise her house, or pay 46x higher NFI premiums, or move and try to sell her white elephant that can't get fiananced. This is going on in NYC and Boston too. People are shitting themselves.

She shouldn't have been allowed to build there in the first place, and moreover her home should be EXCLUDED from flood insurance of any kind, and if it gets flooded it should be condemned, torn down and anyone should be prohibited from rebuilding there, period.

Why everyone else has to pay to rebuild and rebuild and rebuild home in flood-prone areas like the Mississippi flood plain and delta is beyond me. If you want to take that risk, that's up to you, but the taxpayers shouldn't be required to bail you out.
This is not just in obvious flood plains. The new FIRMs are going to cost a lot of people a lot of $$ all across the country. FEMA's in the hole for billion$ because of the way the law reads inre hydrological recomputation and climate change. They're behind the wave of climate change, and if they were private, they'd be bankrupt.

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Re: Har Har Har You're Now In A Flood Zone...

Post by Seth » Sun Aug 25, 2013 7:22 am

piscator wrote:
Seth wrote:
piscator wrote:Flood insurance is socialized in America. Private sector insurers do not write flood policies, and they exclude flood damage in homeowner and commercial P&C policies. FEMA manages the National Flood Insurance Program, which is underwritten by US Federal tax dollars. Lenders often require Flood Insurance on new and existing property loans and mortgages.
Not quite right, private sector insurers DO write the policies (mine was written by Allstate) but they are regulated and underwritten by the NFIP.
You might want to read your policy. Allstate just tacked National Flood Insurance on to your policy as a service. Probably added their costs plus a percentage for this too. Private insurers don't touch that shit with a 10-foot pole. The government does it.
Funny, because the checks were written to Allstate.
Every so often, FEMA takes a regularly scheduled look at the historic hydrology they use to define flood plains and recomputes flood insurance rates for homeowners and businesses.
And they routinely fuck that up. There were two houses on my ranch. One of them was a POS 986 square foot house in the flood-fringe area that I lived in and the other was a large custom-designed house on top of a 35 foot high cliff that was clearly OUT of the flood plain. It took me five years to convince FEMA to send someone out to simply take a look and confirm this rather than forcing me to spend thousands of dollars on a flood elevation survey that no surveyor in the area was willing to perform...for reasons of liability. Allstate eventually sent out an inspector with a camera who stood on the bridge over the creek and took a picture of the house on top of the cliff and months later FEMA agreed to waive the flood-insurance requirement.

All you needed was a Flood Certification stamped by a Registered Land Surveyor showing the lowest part of the house was above BFE and thus, in Zone X.. It's a standard form. Surveyors do those every day in all 50 states. Pics by insurance agents don't mean shit. Closed loop level runs from FEMA benchmarks by professional land surveyors are the only thing that matters.
Nobody in Boulder County would do it. And a survey from the only firm I found in Denver who would agree to do it would have cost more than $3,000. I was lucky because the line of credit on the house that was the basis for the BANK requiring flood insurance was not a federally-insured mortgage, it was a secured note, and eventually, after Allstate sent out an inspector and much fucking about with bureaucrats the bank decided to waive the flood insurance requirement for that house.

If it had been a federally-secured (as 90 percent of mortgages are) mortgage I would have had to pay $3000 for an utterly unneeded and unnecessary survey. The error was on FEMA's part because they don't actually survey the topography to create the flood zone lines, they break up the floodplain into rectangular blocks which may include areas that are clearly (even according to their own maps, which showed the cliff) outside the flood plain but are captured within the same block as land that is in the flood plain. That was our problem. The house sits about 100 feet back from the edge of the cliff and is clearly shown on the official FEMA map as being outside the map's floodplain boundary, but it's within the administrative block that FEMA uses to identify where structures lie, so as far as FEMA was concerned it was in the flood plain even when its own maps, generated from aerial photography, clearly show the house as being well outside the actual flood plain.

It was bureaucratic bullshit that could have been solved by sending a FEMA inspector out to look with two eyes, but the Feds don't care how much it costs the landowner to comply with its bullshit regulations, so they simply refused to do so. As I said, it took an agent from Allstate filing a report with the bank to get them to waive the flood plain requirement.
(And if it were Allstate doing it, you wouldn't have had to deal with FEMA in the first place. See above.)
Well, I don't know what to tell you, I spoke with the people at the bank, at Allstate, and at the Denver FEMA office and it ended up being the Allstate agent who solved the problem.
Well, due to the sea level increase and increased severity of storms and increased Flood Insurance claim payments in the last 36 years, America now has a lot of new flood plains and a lot of higher Base Flood Elevations and storm surge zones...
As well it should. One of FEMAs initiatives has been to "move" entire towns in the Mississippi flood plain to higher ground and prohibit reconstruction in the flood plain. That should have been done a century ago.
It's an obvious waste of tax dollars to pay people to rebuild in flood zones. It was only porkbarrel politics that fostered it until about 20 years ago.
Yup.


When Catherine Porthouse bought a home in 2010 in the bayous of Louisiana, she didn’t worry much about the possibility of flood damage. Her house, in the town of Des Allemands, is shielded by marshlands and a levee and had no history of problems. Flood insurance wasn’t required, but she purchased a policy just in case.

In March, Porthouse got a rude surprise. The Federal Emergency Management Agency announced at a town meeting that it had rewritten the state’s flood maps and added her house and hundreds of others to Louisiana’s flood zone. She was told she’ll have to raise her house 8 feet into the air and fill in the space beneath it. If she doesn’t, her yearly flood insurance bill will jump from $388 to $18,000. “I left in tears,” Porthouse says.
What sort of idiot parks their house at sea-level (or BELOW sea level as in the case of New Orleans) and cries about being told their house is prone to being flooded and that they will have to pay more for their stupidity?
It was Zone X when she bought it. Now it's not.
Yeah? So what? My house small house in the floodplain was OUTSIDE the flood boundary for nearly 50 years. It was placed in Zone X by arbitrary line-drawing on a map. Nothing had changed topographically or hydrologically to justify the change, and the predicted flood level in Zone X is less than 12 inches anyway, and my house sits on a foundation that's 18 inches tall.

The argument of FEMA is that due to construction in the floodplain, changes to topography like roads and other structures, along with changes in predicted flood flows those structures on the margins may well be placed into a flood zone when they weren't before. That's how FEMA works. And there's a lot of people who think that FEMA fucks with the flood boundaries in order to include more people in the flood boundaries so that they can force more people to buy more and more expensive flood insurance, which justifies FEMA's flood programs.

This is another example of the government fiddling with the free market to the detriment of all taxpayers to benefit a select few who choose to live in areas prone to flooding.

If the government wasn't involved, insurance companies would set the market price and people wouldn't be allowed to build in floodplains because banks wouldn't issue mortgages.

But BECAUSE the government screws with the mortgage market by buying up almost every mortgage in America to "bail out" the big banks, once again because government faces financial liability, government assumes control of the individual's life and activities to limit the government's exposure. Same thing with government health care. When government pays the bill, government assumes it has the authority to tell you how to live your life so as to minimize it's potential liability exposure.

Fucking stupidity on the part of the lumpen proletariat.

Now she has to raise her house, or pay 46x higher NFI premiums, or move and try to sell her white elephant that can't get fiananced. This is going on in NYC and Boston too. People are shitting themselves.

She shouldn't have been allowed to build there in the first place, and moreover her home should be EXCLUDED from flood insurance of any kind, and if it gets flooded it should be condemned, torn down and anyone should be prohibited from rebuilding there, period.

Why everyone else has to pay to rebuild and rebuild and rebuild home in flood-prone areas like the Mississippi flood plain and delta is beyond me. If you want to take that risk, that's up to you, but the taxpayers shouldn't be required to bail you out.
This is not just in obvious flood plains. The new FIRMs are going to cost a lot of people a lot of $$ all across the country. FEMA's in the hole for billion$ because of the way the law reads inre hydrological recomputation and climate change. They're behind the wave of climate change, and if they were private, they'd be bankrupt.
Yup. The suspicion is that they fiddle with the FIRMs in order to include more people in the program to pay the due bill for things like Katrina and other hurricanes along the coast lines. The vast majority of federal disaster aid goes to something like 7 states on a regular basis: Florida, Louisana, Texas, Georgia, North & South Carolina, and Virginia, to pay for rebuilding in hurricane storm surge zones. And the rest of us have to pay for it.

Were I King, I'd say "if your property is destroyed by a hurricane, you cannot make a claim, period."
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Re: Har Har Har Global warming crap

Post by macdoc » Sun Aug 25, 2013 9:04 pm

deal with it....

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Re: Har Har Har You're Now In A Flood Zone...

Post by piscator » Mon Aug 26, 2013 8:26 pm

Seth wrote:
piscator wrote:
Seth wrote:
piscator wrote:Flood insurance is socialized in America. Private sector insurers do not write flood policies, and they exclude flood damage in homeowner and commercial P&C policies. FEMA manages the National Flood Insurance Program, which is underwritten by US Federal tax dollars. Lenders often require Flood Insurance on new and existing property loans and mortgages.
Not quite right, private sector insurers DO write the policies (mine was written by Allstate) but they are regulated and underwritten by the NFIP.
You might want to read your policy. Allstate just tacked National Flood Insurance on to your policy as a service. Probably added their costs plus a percentage for this too. Private insurers don't touch that shit with a 10-foot pole. The government does it.
Funny, because the checks were written to Allstate.
Every so often, FEMA takes a regularly scheduled look at the historic hydrology they use to define flood plains and recomputes flood insurance rates for homeowners and businesses.
And they routinely fuck that up. There were two houses on my ranch. One of them was a POS 986 square foot house in the flood-fringe area that I lived in and the other was a large custom-designed house on top of a 35 foot high cliff that was clearly OUT of the flood plain. It took me five years to convince FEMA to send someone out to simply take a look and confirm this rather than forcing me to spend thousands of dollars on a flood elevation survey that no surveyor in the area was willing to perform...for reasons of liability. Allstate eventually sent out an inspector with a camera who stood on the bridge over the creek and took a picture of the house on top of the cliff and months later FEMA agreed to waive the flood-insurance requirement.

All you needed was a Flood Certification stamped by a Registered Land Surveyor showing the lowest part of the house was above BFE and thus, in Zone X.. It's a standard form. Surveyors do those every day in all 50 states. Pics by insurance agents don't mean shit. Closed loop level runs from FEMA benchmarks by professional land surveyors are the only thing that matters.
Nobody in Boulder County would do it. And a survey from the only firm I found in Denver who would agree to do it would have cost more than $3,000. I was lucky because the line of credit on the house that was the basis for the BANK requiring flood insurance was not a federally-insured mortgage, it was a secured note, and eventually, after Allstate sent out an inspector and much fucking about with bureaucrats the bank decided to waive the flood insurance requirement for that house.

If it had been a federally-secured (as 90 percent of mortgages are) mortgage I would have had to pay $3000 for an utterly unneeded and unnecessary survey. The error was on FEMA's part because they don't actually survey the topography to create the flood zone lines, they break up the floodplain into rectangular blocks which may include areas that are clearly (even according to their own maps, which showed the cliff) outside the flood plain but are captured within the same block as land that is in the flood plain. That was our problem.

WTF was FEMA involved if this was between You, the bank, and Allstate? If the bank saw the dwelling to be financed was in a parcel in a shaded area of a FIRM, it would likely require flood insurance to protect its investment.
The shaded areas of FIRMs go by elevation, not the US rectangular survey system. Flood water goes by elevation, not the PLSS, and flood zones follow contour lines, not section lines.

The house sits about 100 feet back from the edge of the cliff and is clearly shown on the official FEMA map as being outside the map's floodplain boundary, but it's within the administrative block that FEMA uses to identify where structures lie, so as far as FEMA was concerned it was in the flood plain even when its own maps, generated from aerial photography, clearly show the house as being well outside the actual flood plain.
How could they determine that when the basis of their determination (their maps) show otherwise? FEMA doesn't use "Administrative blocks" to map flood risk. They use elevations. A risk is either above 500-year flood elevation, above 100-year flood elevation, or below 100-year flood elevation and in some sort of a flood plain. The other option is Zone D, undetermined (there is no Zone D below 11,000' in Boulder County, Co.)
If the property in the bank's question was marked in a floodplain, then all you need is an Elevation Certificate or a LOMA (letter of map adjustment) from a Colorado RLS. This is day in, day out surveying work. I've never heard of a LOMA costing over $600, and that's sky-high.
What you're telling me is analogous to you needing a simple tooth extraction with no complications, and you telling me that no dentist would do it for less than $3000. Something's not computing here...
And even were it all true and correct, the theoretical $3k seems merely a cost of doing business, no?



It was bureaucratic bullshit that could have been solved by sending a FEMA inspector out to look with two eyes, but the Feds don't care how much it costs the landowner to comply with its bullshit regulations, so they simply refused to do so. As I said, it took an agent from Allstate filing a report with the bank to get them to waive the flood plain requirement.
FEMA doesn't send inspectors to "eyeball" flood risks. It's all done by elevations. There are not certain human beings who can magically sense elevations above sea level. It's done with a surveyor's level and a certain technique. It doesn't matter if you live in a Gothic castle atop a Transylvanian mountain peak, they still need levels (or a GPS network and least squares) to determine elevation and hence, flood risk. Insurance agents aren't legally qualified to do this, and a bank may as well take the word of a dentist wrt its need to secure its $$ against flood damage.

Why are we talking about you and FEMA to start with? Isn't this between you, the bank, and Allstate?

(And if it were Allstate doing it, you wouldn't have had to deal with FEMA in the first place. See above.)
Well, I don't know what to tell you, I spoke with the people at the bank, at Allstate, and at the Denver FEMA office and it ended up being the Allstate agent who solved the problem.
What you're telling me is that Allstate agents are qualified to go out and certify to FEMA that a risk is above Base Flood Elevation. I know that's not true. Moreover, it's against the law to practice surveying without a license.
And why is FEMA involved here? I thought your insurance was with Allstate?



When Catherine Porthouse bought a home in 2010 in the bayous of Louisiana, she didn’t worry much about the possibility of flood damage. Her house, in the town of Des Allemands, is shielded by marshlands and a levee and had no history of problems. Flood insurance wasn’t required, but she purchased a policy just in case.

In March, Porthouse got a rude surprise. The Federal Emergency Management Agency announced at a town meeting that it had rewritten the state’s flood maps and added her house and hundreds of others to Louisiana’s flood zone. She was told she’ll have to raise her house 8 feet into the air and fill in the space beneath it. If she doesn’t, her yearly flood insurance bill will jump from $388 to $18,000. “I left in tears,” Porthouse says.
What sort of idiot parks their house at sea-level (or BELOW sea level as in the case of New Orleans) and cries about being told their house is prone to being flooded and that they will have to pay more for their stupidity?
It was Zone X when she bought it. Now it's not.
Yeah? So what? My house small house in the floodplain was OUTSIDE the flood boundary for nearly 50 years. It was placed in Zone X by arbitrary line-drawing on a map. Nothing had changed topographically or hydrologically to justify the change, and the predicted flood level in Zone X is less than 12 inches anyway, and my house sits on a foundation that's 18 inches tall.
Zone X is, at minimum, above the 100-year flood elevation (it's typically above the 500-year flood elevation). Flood elevations are expressed in distance above sea level. This is not an arbitrary designation arrived at by political compromise. It's an objective fact.
Now, the hydraulic variables of rain and snowfall amounts, and historic instances of flood insurance claims, and new hydraulic structures can and do change designated floodplains. Hence new FIRMs and the new provisions of Biggerts-Waters 2012.

https://msc.fema.gov/webapp/wcs/stores/ ... signations

The argument of FEMA is that due to construction in the floodplain, changes to topography like roads and other structures, along with changes in predicted flood flows those structures on the margins may well be placed into a flood zone when they weren't before. That's how FEMA works.
That's true. Water flows faster off paved parking lots, roads, and other engineered structures into storm sewer and natural drainage than it does off pasture and woods. A big part of the job of civil engineering involves the hydrology of managing increased flow moments and preventing these new faster water flows from trespassing onto other properties and creating torts.
There are also cumulative effects where urban sprawl outstrips a natural waterway's ability to carry off the water fast enough, resulting in widespread flash flooding. This is a concern for city and county engineers, hydrologists, and waterway authorities. And for FEMA, since one of their jobs is to help mitigate the results of this sort of thing, both before and after it happens.
And there's a lot of people who think that FEMA fucks with the flood boundaries in order to include more people in the flood boundaries so that they can force more people to buy more and more expensive flood insurance, which justifies FEMA's flood programs.
Well, there are a lot of people who think there's a magic person in the sky who fucks with people too. These ideas are, as yet, unsubstantiated.
This is another example of the government fiddling with the free market to the detriment of all taxpayers to benefit a select few who choose to live in areas prone to flooding.
A little early for that. You need some good evidence first.
If the government wasn't involved, insurance companies would set the market price and people wouldn't be allowed to build in floodplains because banks wouldn't issue mortgages.

But BECAUSE the government screws with the mortgage market by buying up almost every mortgage in America to "bail out" the big banks, once again because government faces financial liability, government assumes control of the individual's life and activities to limit the government's exposure. Same thing with government health care. When government pays the bill, government assumes it has the authority to tell you how to live your life so as to minimize it's potential liability exposure.

Fucking stupidity on the part of the lumpen proletariat.
Well, if it weren't the government doing it, it would be insurance companies doing it to protect their $$. That's what insurance companies do: collectivize risk to mitigate it and allow people's $$ to be protected. They also fold when things don't go their way.

Now she has to raise her house, or pay 46x higher NFI premiums, or move and try to sell her white elephant that can't get financed. This is going on in NYC and Boston too. People are shitting themselves.


She shouldn't have been allowed to build there in the first place, and moreover her home should be EXCLUDED from flood insurance of any kind, and if it gets flooded it should be condemned, torn down and anyone should be prohibited from rebuilding there, period.

Why everyone else has to pay to rebuild and rebuild and rebuild home in flood-prone areas like the Mississippi flood plain and delta is beyond me. If you want to take that risk, that's up to you, but the taxpayers shouldn't be required to bail you out.
1. She didn't build it. She bought it already legally built outside of the flood zone in compliance with local zoning.
2. "Promote the general welfare" is part of the US Constitution.
3. Policyholders are legally required to "bail out" other policyholders. Insurance=risk mitigation via collectivization. The only difference between the current flood insurance system and some libertarian-approved private solution is the signers of the contract to insure against damages. Instead of a contract between FEMA and you, it would be one between ACME Insurance and you protecting the bank's $$ and your cherrywood settee.

This is not just in obvious flood plains. The new FIRMs are going to cost a lot of people a lot of $$ all across the country. FEMA's in the hole for billion$ because of the way the law reads inre hydrological recomputation and climate change. They're behind the wave of climate change, and if they were private, they'd be bankrupt.
Yup. The suspicion is that they fiddle with the FIRMs in order to include more people in the program to pay the due bill for things like Katrina and other hurricanes along the coast lines. The vast majority of federal disaster aid goes to something like 7 states on a regular basis: Florida, Louisana, Texas, Georgia, North & South Carolina, and Virginia, to pay for rebuilding in hurricane storm surge zones. And the rest of us have to pay for it.

Were I King, I'd say "if your property is destroyed by a hurricane, you cannot make a claim, period."
Then the entire Gulf and East coasts would be uninsured, and business would halt, taking down the rest of the US economy. It's too big to fail, and you would be beheaded, another in a long line of headless jobless monarchs. You may as well just outlaw high winds and heavy rains.

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Re: Har Har Har You're Now In A Flood Zone...

Post by Seth » Mon Aug 26, 2013 9:47 pm

piscator wrote: WTF was FEMA involved if this was between You, the bank, and Allstate? If the bank saw the dwelling to be financed was in a parcel in a shaded area of a FIRM, it would likely require flood insurance to protect its investment.
Exactly. In this case the line of credit for the ranch.
The shaded areas of FIRMs go by elevation, not the US rectangular survey system. Flood water goes by elevation, not the PLSS, and flood zones follow contour lines, not section lines.
You would think... But even though the FIRM for my ranch showed the flood line properly, it did not show the house itself, even though the house is easily visible on aerial photos as being well north of the flood line which I sent to the insurance company and FEMA. But FEMA would not budge. They could neither send out an inspector nor would they look at published NGS maps, Boulder County flood plain maps which also showed the structure itself as well as the flood line, aerial photos or anything else. Their records put the address within the flood plain, because they base the structure location on the street address, and in this case the street address on the county GIS X-Y plot is technically about 10 feet inside the flood boundary while the house itself is a hundred feet or so further north. This was done because the street address is determined by the north/south position on the nearest public road and the house is actually 1/2 mile east of the road, accessed by a mile-long private lane. The specific address was assigned as it was because my house lies directly to the east of another house on a property between mine and the road and the GIS addressing system couldn't cope with two houses at the same street address, so they assigned us the next address south, which is technically within the flood plain according to the GIS grid.

But despite providing all the necessary evidence and documentation to make a determination FEMA just ignored everything and demanded an expensive survey. The bank, due to its underwriting rules, could not waive the flood insurance fee unless FEMA officially removed the structure from the list of "flood prone" addresses. As I said, eventually Allstate and the bank got together to come out and actually look at the house, which is quite obviously 40 feet above the flood plain, and the bank agreed to ignore the underwriting regulations in this case and waive the flood insurance requirement.

But as far as FEMA is concerned, the house is still in the floodplain, due to the rectangular coordinate system used by the county to allocate street addresses. That's what I meant, not location by section lines...although that is in fact the basis of the street address grid.

The house sits about 100 feet back from the edge of the cliff and is clearly shown on the official FEMA map as being outside the map's floodplain boundary, but it's within the administrative block that FEMA uses to identify where structures lie, so as far as FEMA was concerned it was in the flood plain even when its own maps, generated from aerial photography, clearly show the house as being well outside the actual flood plain.
If the property in the bank's question was marked in a floodplain, then all you need is an Elevation Certificate or a LOMA (letter of map adjustment) from a Colorado RLS. This is day in, day out surveying work. I've never heard of a LOMA costing over $600, and that's sky-high. What you're telling me is analogous to you needing a simple tooth extraction with no complications, and you telling me that no dentist would do it for less than $3000. Something's not computing here...
And even were it all true and correct, the theoretical $3k seems merely a cost of doing business, no?
Couldn't find a RLS willing to do an Elevation Certificate for a reasonable price. Don't know how to explain it, but that's the fact. And keep in mind that the flood insurance was about $135 per year, so it was hardly a good investment to spend three grand, particularly given the fact that I was planning to sell anyway. I objected to paying for unnecessary flood insurance merely because some FEMA bureaucrat is too hidebound and fucking stupid to look at an aerial photograph and a topographic USGS 7.5min quad, which ALSO shows the house on top of the cliff.
It was bureaucratic bullshit that could have been solved by sending a FEMA inspector out to look with two eyes, but the Feds don't care how much it costs the landowner to comply with its bullshit regulations, so they simply refused to do so. As I said, it took an agent from Allstate filing a report with the bank to get them to waive the flood plain requirement.
FEMA doesn't send inspectors to "eyeball" flood risks. It's all done by elevations. There are not certain human beings who can magically sense elevations above sea level. It's done with a surveyor's level and a certain technique. It doesn't matter if you live in a Gothic castle atop a Transylvanian mountain peak, they still need levels (or a GPS network and least squares) to determine elevation and hence, flood risk. Insurance agents aren't legally qualified to do this, and a bank may as well take the word of a dentist wrt its need to secure its $$ against flood damage.


Well, that's the point, it's stupid in this case because the "survey" had been done decades before and carefully reported on a USGS quad, not to mention on the official, surveyed county flood-plain maps which I also submitted. All the necessary documentation was there, all anybody at FEMA had to do was look at the documents and say, "Oh, of course, never mind."

Fucking FEMA bureaucracy was simply unwilling and unable to do anything but letter-of-the-regs pettifogging. Which is why FEMA shouldn't exist in the first place. Boulder County is better situated, equipped and knowledgable about flood plain issues than FEMA could ever be. FEMA surveys nothing. Their FIRMs are based on aerial photographs and USGS mapping info, both of which clearly show the house as outside the floodplain.
Why are we talking about you and FEMA to start with? Isn't this between you, the bank, and Allstate?
Because if not for FEMA the bank would not have required flood insurance to begin with, for which my mother unquestioningly paid for decades, amounting to more than $6000 in unnecessary payments to the feds. And banking regulations are what generally force banks to demand flood insurance because most mortgages are federally insured, and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac require it to indemnify the government.

It took an extraordinary effort by the bank and Allstate to get the bank's board of directors to waive the fee requirement. The whole reason for questioning it was because the value of the house on appraisal for sale to the first potential buyers was reduced by the appraiser because of the FIRM rating. Having the house out of the flood plain made it more valuable at sale.
Yeah? So what? My house small house in the floodplain was OUTSIDE the flood boundary for nearly 50 years. It was placed in Zone X by arbitrary line-drawing on a map. Nothing had changed topographically or hydrologically to justify the change, and the predicted flood level in Zone X is less than 12 inches anyway, and my house sits on a foundation that's 18 inches tall.
Zone X is, at minimum, above the 100-year flood elevation (it's typically above the 500-year flood elevation). Flood elevations are expressed in distance above sea level. This is not an arbitrary designation arrived at by political compromise. It's an objective fact.
Now, the hydraulic variables of rain and snowfall amounts, and historic instances of flood insurance claims, and new hydraulic structures can and do change designated floodplains. Hence new FIRMs and the new provisions of Biggerts-Waters 2012.

https://msc.fema.gov/webapp/wcs/stores/ ... signations
Er, my point is that it's none of the Fed's business to begin with.
And for FEMA, since one of their jobs is to help mitigate the results of this sort of thing, both before and after it happens.
Why? Where is there a constitutional mandate, or even authorization for FEMA to exist in the first place, much less take over flood-plain planning for the states. That's a violation of state's rights by my reckoning. The only reason FEMA claims jurisdiction to say who's in the flood plain and who's not is to justify the flood insurance scam to begin with.
And there's a lot of people who think that FEMA fucks with the flood boundaries in order to include more people in the flood boundaries so that they can force more people to buy more and more expensive flood insurance, which justifies FEMA's flood programs.
Well, there are a lot of people who think there's a magic person in the sky who fucks with people too. These ideas are, as yet, unsubstantiated.
Strawman fallacy. If not for the Feds insuring mortgages there would be no need for a government-run flood insurance program and therefore no need for FEMA to make flood plain maps in the first place, much less make determinations about the risks of flooding for specific structures. All that would be left to the states and to private industry. Mortgage holders would, where necessary, require a flood elevation survey prior to financing the mortgage and would base flood insurance rates to protect their investment based on an individualized analysis of the risks of that particular structure.

The flood insurance program is just another socialist scheme to socialize the inherent risks of building in flood-prone areas and the excuse used is that the government backs the mortgage, thus relieving the banks of their liability, and by making flood insurance mandatory for federally-backed loans, the taxpayers assume the burden of bailing out people who build, and rebuild, and rebuild in flood zones, particularly hurricane storm surge areas...and those of us who are smart and don't live in hurricane storm surge areas end up paying way more for "insurance" in order to cover the costs of rebuilding along the coasts after hurricane season.
This is another example of the government fiddling with the free market to the detriment of all taxpayers to benefit a select few who choose to live in areas prone to flooding.
A little early for that. You need some good evidence first.
The entire system is all the evidence anyone needs.
Well, if it weren't the government doing it, it would be insurance companies doing it to protect their $$. That's what insurance companies do: collectivize risk to mitigate it and allow people's $$ to be protected. They also fold when things don't go their way.
And that's exactly how it's SUPPOSED to work. You ask for a mortgage to build on the Outer Banks and the bank says, "Go fuck yourself you moron, that's a hurricane total-destruction zone and we're not throwing our money into the Atlantic."
Now she has to raise her house, or pay 46x higher NFI premiums, or move and try to sell her white elephant that can't get financed. This is going on in NYC and Boston too. People are shitting themselves.

She shouldn't have been allowed to build there in the first place, and moreover her home should be EXCLUDED from flood insurance of any kind, and if it gets flooded it should be condemned, torn down and anyone should be prohibited from rebuilding there, period.

Why everyone else has to pay to rebuild and rebuild and rebuild home in flood-prone areas like the Mississippi flood plain and delta is beyond me. If you want to take that risk, that's up to you, but the taxpayers shouldn't be required to bail you out.
1. She didn't build it. She bought it already legally built outside of the flood zone in compliance with local zoning.
Nitpicking. She bought it knowing where it was located and must be presumed to understand basic physics. And if the FEMA flood insurance program didn't exist it would be between her and the bank or buyer and some insurance company, as it should be.
2. "Promote the general welfare" is part of the US Constitution.
Her house isn't the "general welfare," it's her house. If she wants to live in a flood zone, fine. But why should everybody else have to pay for her stupidity?
3. Policyholders are legally required to "bail out" other policyholders.
Yes, but usually one has a choice whether one wants to be in the particular risk pool. Why should I be in the same risk pool as people who live on the Carolina coast? I live 7000 MSL for a fucking good reason. No hurricane storm surge.
Insurance=risk mitigation via collectivization.
Yeah, but I don't want to be part of that collective thanks.
The only difference between the current flood insurance system and some libertarian-approved private solution is the signers of the contract to insure against damages. Instead of a contract between FEMA and you, it would be one between ACME Insurance and you protecting the bank's $$ and your cherrywood settee.
Wrong. In a Libertarian society I would have a choice whether to participate or not, and I would be able to negotiate with both the bank and the insurance company to determine the actual risks and the appropriate premium based on the actual risk pool for that class of risk. And the bank could, should and would turn me down if I want to build in a flood-prone area.

This is not just in obvious flood plains. The new FIRMs are going to cost a lot of people a lot of $$ all across the country. FEMA's in the hole for billion$ because of the way the law reads inre hydrological recomputation and climate change. They're behind the wave of climate change, and if they were private, they'd be bankrupt.
Yup. The suspicion is that they fiddle with the FIRMs in order to include more people in the program to pay the due bill for things like Katrina and other hurricanes along the coast lines. The vast majority of federal disaster aid goes to something like 7 states on a regular basis: Florida, Louisana, Texas, Georgia, North & South Carolina, and Virginia, to pay for rebuilding in hurricane storm surge zones. And the rest of us have to pay for it.

Were I King, I'd say "if your property is destroyed by a hurricane, you cannot make a claim, period."
Then the entire Gulf and East coasts would be uninsured,
Yup.
and business would halt,
Or relocate out of the storm surge area. Or not build there to begin with based on the notion that everybody else will pay for damages that occur from a storm surge.
taking down the rest of the US economy.
Nah. Just correct it for a time till the idiots learn not to build in storm-surge zones. Or below sea-level, like fucking New Orleans. Sheesh, what stupidity. :fp:
It's too big to fail, and you would be beheaded, another in a long line of headless jobless monarchs. You may as well just outlaw high winds and heavy rains.
How about we just tell coastal folks that they have to take hurricane storm surge into account when proposing to build and either mitigate the risk or build somewhere else and leave the risk analysis and insurance coverage to the private sector?
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piscator
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Re: Har Har Har You're Now In A Flood Zone...

Post by piscator » Tue Aug 27, 2013 4:16 am

Seth wrote:
piscator wrote: WTF was FEMA involved if this was between You, the bank, and Allstate? If the bank saw the dwelling to be financed was in a parcel in a shaded area of a FIRM, it would likely require flood insurance to protect its investment.
Exactly. In this case the line of credit for the ranch.
The shaded areas of FIRMs go by elevation, not the US rectangular survey system. Flood water goes by elevation, not the PLSS, and flood zones follow contour lines, not section lines.
You would think... But even though the FIRM for my ranch showed the flood line properly, it did not show the house itself, even though the house is easily visible on aerial photos as being well north of the flood line which I sent to the insurance company and FEMA. But FEMA would not budge.They could neither send out an inspector nor would they look at published NGS maps, Boulder County flood plain maps which also showed the structure itself as well as the flood line, aerial photos or anything else. Their records put the address within the flood plain, because they base the structure location on the street address, and in this case the street address on the county GIS X-Y plot is technically about 10 feet inside the flood boundary while the house itself is a hundred feet or so further north. This was done because the street address is determined by the north/south position on the nearest public road and the house is actually 1/2 mile east of the road, accessed by a mile-long private lane. The specific address was assigned as it was because my house lies directly to the east of another house on a property between mine and the road and the GIS addressing system couldn't cope with two houses at the same street address, so they assigned us the next address south, which is technically within the flood plain according to the GIS grid.
Sounds like the Allstate bureaucracy screwed you around for years. You wrote checks to Allstate, why do you keep harping on FEMA? This is you, the bank, and Allstate. What does FEMA have to do with any of this?

But despite providing all the necessary evidence and documentation to make a determination FEMA just ignored everything and demanded an expensive survey.
Who? I thought you had flood insurance with Allstate? Why are you even talking to FEMA? As long as you are calling the Government, why not call the Social Security Administration or Medicare or the CIA?
Oh, I see. You had a supplementary flood damage policy through Allstate, and Allstate knew that the first $500,000 of a flood damage claim is paid by NFIP (FEMA), then Allstate's coverage kicks in. So Allstate was waiting on FEMA to send in a notice saying you were insured by NFIP.
In that case, all you needed was a $600 LOMA, or a $200 Elevation Certificate from a registered land surveyor. That's the FEMA protocol. They do it every day. You don't have to wrangle for 5 years. It takes maybe 2 weeks after your surveyor certifies your dwelling is not in the flood zone.
The dweebs at Allstate didn't know that? There's the problem. It was Allstate that dropped the ball and left you unprotected for years. If they're in the supplementary flood insurance business, they should know that.
The bank, due to its underwriting rules, could not waive the flood insurance fee unless FEMA officially removed the structure from the list of "flood prone" addresses. As I said, eventually Allstate and the bank got together to come out and actually look at the house, which is quite obviously 40 feet above the flood plain, and the bank agreed to ignore the underwriting regulations in this case and waive the flood insurance requirement.
Sounds like Allstate's taking you to the cleaners on flood insurance then. If you don't need flood coverage, they're just taking your $$ for something they know they're never going to have a claim on. Better for you to spend that premium $$ on an Ark than flood insurance for a <1 in 500 chance of a flood reaching your dwelling. Laches...and malfeasance. Hmmmm....
But as far as FEMA is concerned, the house is still in the floodplain, due to the rectangular coordinate system used by the county to allocate street addresses. That's what I meant, not location by section lines...although that is in fact the basis of the street address grid.
As far as FEMA is concerned, a risk either above the BFE, or below it. The only way they know anything about a particular parcel is by its elevation. The only way they know that is from a survey by a licensed surveyor. A surveyor is the only one on the planet qualified to determine a home's elevation. A judge can't overrule a surveyor in this case, and neither can FEMA.

The house sits about 100 feet back from the edge of the cliff and is clearly shown on the official FEMA map as being outside the map's floodplain boundary, but it's within the administrative block that FEMA uses to identify where structures lie, so as far as FEMA was concerned it was in the flood plain even when its own maps, generated from aerial photography, clearly show the house as being well outside the actual flood plain.

If the property in the bank's question was marked in a floodplain, then all you need is an Elevation Certificate or a LOMA (letter of map adjustment) from a Colorado RLS. This is day in, day out surveying work. I've never heard of a LOMA costing over $600, and that's sky-high. What you're telling me is analogous to you needing a simple tooth extraction with no complications, and you telling me that no dentist would do it for less than $3000. Something's not computing here...
And even were it all true and correct, the theoretical $3k seems merely a cost of doing business, no?
Couldn't find a RLS willing to do an Elevation Certificate for a reasonable price. Don't know how to explain it, but that's the fact.
Just what do you think a surveyor should charge for his time and expertise? Shouldn't that be his decision?


And keep in mind that the flood insurance was about $135 per year, so it was hardly a good investment to spend three grand, particularly given the fact that I was planning to sell anyway. I objected to paying for unnecessary flood insurance merely because some FEMA bureaucrat is too hidebound and fucking stupid to look at an aerial photograph and a topographic USGS 7.5min quad, which ALSO shows the house on top of the cliff.
Sounds like your problem was with the bank. Evidently they are the ones too hidebound and stupid to read a quad sheet or put a stereoscope on an orthophoto. Remember, they are the party that required the flood insurance. Not FEMA.
It was bureaucratic bullshit that could have been solved by sending a FEMA inspector out to look with two eyes, but the Feds don't care how much it costs the landowner to comply with its bullshit regulations, so they simply refused to do so. As I said, it took an agent from Allstate filing a report with the bank to get them to waive the flood plain requirement.
FEMA doesn't send inspectors to "eyeball" flood risks. It's all done by elevations. There are not certain human beings who can magically sense elevations above sea level. It's done with a surveyor's level and a certain technique. It doesn't matter if you live in a Gothic castle atop a Transylvanian mountain peak, they still need levels (or a GPS network and least squares) to determine elevation and hence, flood risk. Insurance agents aren't legally qualified to do this, and a bank may as well take the word of a dentist wrt its need to secure its $$ against flood damage.


Well, that's the point, it's stupid in this case because the "survey" had been done decades before and carefully reported on a USGS quad, not to mention on the official, surveyed county flood-plain maps which I also submitted. All the necessary documentation was there, all anybody at FEMA had to do was look at the documents and say, "Oh, of course, never mind."
Nope. That falls on the bank. The bank was the party who required flood insurance on a mortgage on a dwelling on a hilltop. Not FEMA, not Allstate, not you. Sounds like it took the bank 5 years to pull its head out of its ass - Not FEMA, not Allstate, not you.
Fucking FEMA bureaucracy was simply unwilling and unable to do anything but letter-of-the-regs pettifogging. Which is why FEMA shouldn't exist in the first place. Boulder County is better situated, equipped and knowledgable about flood plain issues than FEMA could ever be. FEMA surveys nothing. Their FIRMs are based on aerial photographs and USGS mapping info, both of which clearly show the house as outside the floodplain.
Then why was to bank requiring socialized flood insurance from FEMA? All FEMA needed was an Elev. Cert. or LOMA, and flood insurance was a done deal. They can't deny you unless there were a minimum of 2 previous NFI claims on the same dwelling.
Why are we talking about you and FEMA to start with? Isn't this between you, the bank, and Allstate?
Because if not for FEMA the bank would not have required flood insurance to begin with, for which my mother unquestioningly paid for decades, amounting to more than $6000 in unnecessary payments to the feds. And banking regulations are what generally force banks to demand flood insurance because most mortgages are federally insured, and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac require it to indemnify the government.
Savings accounts are Federally insured, the bank (or whoever they sell it to) assumes the risk of a mortgage. The Fed only steps in when too many banks fail and start taking the rest of the economy with them. A bank, like a newspaper or any other business, operates at its own risk. FDIC insures depositors against bank failure. FDIC does not insure a bank against its bad mortgage decisions. It may loan them $$ to bail them out in the case of a Subprime Crisis, but that's to save the country's currency system not to insure mortgages made by private lenders. Mortgage insurance is something a bank may require you to take out on their loan to you, but that's you personally covering the bank's risk in lending to you.
It took an extraordinary effort by the bank and Allstate to get the bank's board of directors to waive the fee requirement. The whole reason for questioning it was because the value of the house on appraisal for sale to the first potential buyers was reduced by the appraiser because of the FIRM rating. Having the house out of the flood plain made it more valuable at sale.
Sounds like that was worth the cost of a surveyor's certificate. So how is a $3000 survey unreasonable again? Sounds like a capital investment more than a measly survey.

Yeah? So what? My house small house in the floodplain was OUTSIDE the flood boundary for nearly 50 years. It was placed in Zone X by arbitrary line-drawing on a map. Nothing had changed topographically or hydrologically to justify the change, and the predicted flood level in Zone X is less than 12 inches anyway, and my house sits on a foundation that's 18 inches tall.
Zone X is, at minimum, above the 100-year flood elevation (it's typically above the 500-year flood elevation). Flood elevations are expressed in distance above sea level. This is not an arbitrary designation arrived at by political compromise. It's an objective fact.
Now, the hydraulic variables of rain and snowfall amounts, and historic instances of flood insurance claims, and new hydraulic structures can and do change designated floodplains. Hence new FIRMs and the new provisions of Biggerts-Waters 2012.

https://msc.fema.gov/webapp/wcs/stores/ ... signations
Er, my point is that it's none of the Fed's business to begin with.
Yeah it is. They have to clean up the cholera and feed displaced people when it floods. Congress also says they must "Promote the general welfare" through flood insurance. All part of "Civil Defense". Everyone sticks their hands out to the government whenever there's a disaster anyway.

And for FEMA, since one of their jobs is to help mitigate the results of this sort of thing, both before and after it happens.
Why? Where is there a constitutional mandate, or even authorization for FEMA to exist in the first place, much less take over flood-plain planning for the states. That's a violation of state's rights by my reckoning. The only reason FEMA claims jurisdiction to say who's in the flood plain and who's not is to justify the flood insurance scam to begin with.
It's not a scam. It's a civil defense and public health question. And when Ecuador and Angola send aid to the US after a big storm or earthquake, there should be a mechanism to distribute it, else a local warlord will take it for himself.
Oh, I forgot. The US isn't Somalia. Local warlords don't run things, and the US government has an insurance system to help mitigate flood losses. Sorry about that. More people like the IS of flood insurance than the OUGHT of theoretical Libertarianism.

And there's a lot of people who think that FEMA fucks with the flood boundaries in order to include more people in the flood boundaries so that they can force more people to buy more and more expensive flood insurance, which justifies FEMA's flood programs.
Well, there are a lot of people who think there's a magic person in the sky who fucks with people too. These ideas are, as yet, unsubstantiated.
Strawman fallacy. If not for the Feds insuring mortgages there would be no need for a government-run flood insurance program and therefore no need for FEMA to make flood plain maps in the first place, much less make determinations about the risks of flooding for specific structures. All that would be left to the states and to private industry. Mortgage holders would, where necessary, require a flood elevation survey prior to financing the mortgage and would base flood insurance rates to protect their investment based on an individualized analysis of the risks of that particular structure.
And you thought $3k for a survey was expensive? Well, without people paying property taxes, there wouldn't be enough government in Louisiana to provide flood insurance, so insurers might form pools and charge whatever they want. Then they'd go bust about 36 hours before the next Katrina makes landfall, because it's more profitable to do that instead of pay claims. See, there's not much of a court or law enforcement or insurance regulatory system without property taxes either... So, Haha, you're now a self-insurer and the bank's foreclosing because you don't have the resources to protect their risk! You should have known better than to buy property in La. or Fla, or coastal Mass. or any of those other places you can't get a loan to buy property in because there's only a sketchy insurance pool and not enough taxes to provide enforcement - it's way expensive in the long run.
The flood insurance program is just another socialist scheme to socialize the inherent risks of building in flood-prone areas and the excuse used is that the government backs the mortgage, thus relieving the banks of their liability, and by making flood insurance mandatory for federally-backed loans, the taxpayers assume the burden of bailing out people who build, and rebuild, and rebuild in flood zones, particularly hurricane storm surge areas...and those of us who are smart and don't live in hurricane storm surge areas end up paying way more for "insurance" in order to cover the costs of rebuilding along the coasts after hurricane season.
Under your plan, there's be a much smaller pool of policyholders socializing the risk and bailing out people who build and rebuild in flood zones. So it would be much, much more expensive.
This is another example of the government fiddling with the free market to the detriment of all taxpayers to benefit a select few who choose to live in areas prone to flooding.
A little early for that. You need some good evidence first.
The entire system is all the evidence anyone needs.
Not if they weigh the (expensive) alternatives.
Well, if it weren't the government doing it, it would be insurance companies doing it to protect their $$. That's what insurance companies do: collectivize risk to mitigate it and allow people's $$ to be protected. They also fold when things don't go their way.
And that's exactly how it's SUPPOSED to work. You ask for a mortgage to build on the Outer Banks and the bank says, "Go fuck yourself you moron, that's a hurricane total-destruction zone and we're not throwing our money into the Atlantic."
And so, the only people who could own real property in Houston or New Orleans or Miami are people who don't need a mortgage.
Hello class system! You're either one of the "Haves", or you're kissing that ass to curry favor...
But it wouldn't be long before they form syndicates to reduce risk for themselves. Welcome to 17th Century London!

IOW, we've already tried that. It creates a self-perpetuating system of inherited wealth that puts $$ to sleep and destroys currency systems. Vickers wrote a lot about it. Maybe you've seen Good Will hunting?

Now she has to raise her house, or pay 46x higher NFI premiums, or move and try to sell her white elephant that can't get financed. This is going on in NYC and Boston too. People are shitting themselves.

She shouldn't have been allowed to build there in the first place, and moreover her home should be EXCLUDED from flood insurance of any kind, and if it gets flooded it should be condemned, torn down and anyone should be prohibited from rebuilding there, period.
Why everyone else has to pay to rebuild and rebuild and rebuild home in flood-prone areas like the Mississippi flood plain and delta is beyond me. If you want to take that risk, that's up to you, but the taxpayers shouldn't be required to bail you out.
1. She didn't build it. She bought it already legally built outside of the flood zone in compliance with local zoning.
Nitpicking. She bought it knowing where it was located and must be presumed to understand basic physics. And if the FEMA flood insurance program didn't exist it would be between her and the bank or buyer and some insurance company, as it should be.
The physics were different before the climate changed and brought more rainfall and hence, more flooding and a higher floodplain.


2. "Promote the general welfare" is part of the US Constitution.
Her house isn't the "general welfare," it's her house. If she wants to live in a flood zone, fine. But why should everybody else have to pay for her stupidity?
3. Policyholders are legally required to "bail out" other policyholders.
Yes, but usually one has a choice whether one wants to be in the particular risk pool. Why should I be in the same risk pool as people who live on the Carolina coast? I live 7000 MSL for a fucking good reason. No hurricane storm surge.
And you only pay $135/yr for flood insurance too. Someone who lives in a coastal storm surge zone will pay 100x more. :bored:
Insurance=risk mitigation via collectivization.
Yeah, but I don't want to be part of that collective thanks.
Simple. Don't get a mortgage. Do I have to explain everything?


The only difference between the current flood insurance system and some libertarian-approved private solution is the signers of the contract to insure against damages. Instead of a contract between FEMA and you, it would be one between ACME Insurance and you protecting the bank's $$ and your cherrywood settee.
Wrong. In a Libertarian society I would have a choice whether to participate or not, and I would be able to negotiate with both the bank and the insurance company to determine the actual risks and the appropriate premium based on the actual risk pool for that class of risk. And the bank could, should and would turn me down if I want to build in a flood-prone area.
That would render 40% of the country uninhabitable. I guess a few generations of soup lines would clean out the deadwood.

This is not just in obvious flood plains. The new FIRMs are going to cost a lot of people a lot of $$ all across the country. FEMA's in the hole for billion$ because of the way the law reads inre hydrological recomputation and climate change. They're behind the wave of climate change, and if they were private, they'd be bankrupt.
Yup. The suspicion is that they fiddle with the FIRMs in order to include more people in the program to pay the due bill for things like Katrina and other hurricanes along the coast lines. The vast majority of federal disaster aid goes to something like 7 states on a regular basis: Florida, Louisana, Texas, Georgia, North & South Carolina, and Virginia, to pay for rebuilding in hurricane storm surge zones. And the rest of us have to pay for it.

Were I King, I'd say "if your property is destroyed by a hurricane, you cannot make a claim, period."
Then the entire Gulf and East coasts would be uninsured,
Yup.

...

How about we just tell coastal folks that they have to take hurricane storm surge into account when proposing to build and either mitigate the risk or build somewhere else and leave the risk analysis and insurance coverage to the private sector?[/quote]

How 'bout they tell you to kiss their ass? They'd rather be where they are, and I don't want to fund moving the nation's capital to Highpoint, Ks. Besides, the Red, and the Platte, and the Yellowstone all flood too. We'd have to pay to impound the shit out of them for drinking water anyway. I think your solution to move people off the N. American coasts would just be more expensive in the long run. How would the rest of us compensate them for their real property, and where would we raise cattle?

:yawn:

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Re: Har Har Har You're Now In A Flood Zone...

Post by Seth » Tue Aug 27, 2013 7:37 am

piscator wrote:Sounds like the Allstate bureaucracy screwed you around for years. You wrote checks to Allstate, why do you keep harping on FEMA? This is you, the bank, and Allstate. What does FEMA have to do with any of this?
FEMA fucked up the FIRM rating on the house. They make the stinking maps, not the bank or the insurance company.
But despite providing all the necessary evidence and documentation to make a determination FEMA just ignored everything and demanded an expensive survey.
Who? I thought you had flood insurance with Allstate? Why are you even talking to FEMA? As long as you are calling the Government, why not call the Social Security Administration or Medicare or the CIA?
Oh, I see. You had a supplementary flood damage policy through Allstate, and Allstate knew that the first $500,000 of a flood damage claim is paid by NFIP (FEMA), then Allstate's coverage kicks in. So Allstate was waiting on FEMA to send in a notice saying you were insured by NFIP.
In that case, all you needed was a $600 LOMA, or a $200 Elevation Certificate from a registered land surveyor. That's the FEMA protocol. They do it every day. You don't have to wrangle for 5 years. It takes maybe 2 weeks after your surveyor certifies your dwelling is not in the flood zone.
The dweebs at Allstate didn't know that? There's the problem. It was Allstate that dropped the ball and left you unprotected for years. If they're in the supplementary flood insurance business, they should know that.
That may be true, but except for the fact that FEMA fucked up the rating because it didn't care to look at where the house actually was, none of this would have been necessary.
The bank, due to its underwriting rules, could not waive the flood insurance fee unless FEMA officially removed the structure from the list of "flood prone" addresses. As I said, eventually Allstate and the bank got together to come out and actually look at the house, which is quite obviously 40 feet above the flood plain, and the bank agreed to ignore the underwriting regulations in this case and waive the flood insurance requirement.
Sounds like Allstate's taking you to the cleaners on flood insurance then. If you don't need flood coverage, they're just taking your $$ for something they know they're never going to have a claim on. Better for you to spend that premium $$ on an Ark than flood insurance for a <1 in 500 chance of a flood reaching your dwelling. Laches...and malfeasance. Hmmmm....
Allstate and the bank just followed the Fed's rules and the FEMA rating. Yes, I'd like to think that Allstate would have figured it out, but the fact is that my elderly mother just paid the bills based on what the bank and Allstate said she had to do, and they made their decision based on the FEMA FIRM map, which was patently incorrect. FEMA screwed it up from the get-go and nobody noticed it until I did after my mother died and I took over that end of the financial matters. Allstate and the bank's defense against laches or malfeasance is that they simply relied on the FEMA FIRM map which placed the address in the flood plain and so they had no choice or reason to believe the FEMA map was in error, and my 70 year old mother didn't question their decision or the FEMA map. The root error was caused by FEMA's incompetence.
But as far as FEMA is concerned, the house is still in the floodplain, due to the rectangular coordinate system used by the county to allocate street addresses. That's what I meant, not location by section lines...although that is in fact the basis of the street address grid.
As far as FEMA is concerned, a risk either above the BFE, or below it. The only way they know anything about a particular parcel is by its elevation. The only way they know that is from a survey by a licensed surveyor. A surveyor is the only one on the planet qualified to determine a home's elevation. A judge can't overrule a surveyor in this case, and neither can FEMA.
FIRM maps are not created by private surveyors, they are created by FEMA and government cartographers and engineers and they do it based on government-produced base maps from the USGS combined with aerial overflight data which shows changes to the floodway over time. They do NOT go out and resurvey every flood plain every 10 years, it's all done on a GIS database that relies on USGS topographical mapping. Then they determine the flood plain boundaries based on that data. Then they overlay the county addressing GIS (or the TIGER database, I'm not sure which) and automatically generate the list of addresses in the flood plain which is kept in a federal database. To determine whether flood insurance is required or not, the bank determines if a) the loan is federally insured; b) the address lies in the floodplain according to the federal FEMA database; and c) if their bank policies require flood insurance for FEMA-listed properties for non-federally-insured loans.

It's all done by entering the street address listed in the county GIS addressing system assigned to that house into the FEMA on-line database, which spits out a yes/no answer to the bank, which then says to my elderly mother, "sorry but you need to buy flood insurance to open this line of credit." Yes, the nickle should have dropped on someone, but neither Allstate nor the bank actually sent anyone out with that in mind, and the appraisers who did come out simply repeated the FEMA address information without looking at the location of the house and asking "how is a house 40 feet above the creek in the floodway?"

It wasn't until I found out that we were paying for flood insurance on the house that I began asking questions, and that took place after she died and I took over the financial work, which she left in the hands of her long-time accountant, who should have seen the problem because he HAD been to the house many times, but he died in a tragic rafting accident in Costa Rica shortly after she died, which threw everything into disarray because I had to find a new accountant to deal with the estate and ranch sale. He never went to the property so he didn't know. It was only when Allstate sent me a bill for flood insurance that I figured it out.

It was a comedy of errors, but a predictable one, but it was absolutely and entirely caused by FEMA, which didn't do a good job in the first determination and then refused to look at conclusive, USGS and county-surveyor created data that proved conclusively that the house lies OUTSIDE the flood boundary. It has nothing to do with the surveyed elevation, all you have to do is look at a USGS quad, on which the house is shown, overlay the FIRM flood boundary onto that map and see that the house is and has always been outside of the boundary. The problem was caused by FEMA making assumptions about the physical location of the structure based on its county GIS street address.
Just what do you think a surveyor should charge for his time and expertise? Shouldn't that be his decision?
Of course it should. But I should not be required by the federal government to pay for a completely unnecessary survey AT ALL, because it was THEIR initial error that caused the problem, which I easily proved using exactly the same base map that FEMA bases it's FIRM maps upon. All they had to do was look at the structure layer on the 7.5 min quad, which shows the actual location of the house, and then overlay the floodplain boundary, which makes it perfectly obvious that there's an error.

Why should I have to pay a dime to correct an obvious FEMA blunder that I proved to them with their own documents?
Then why was to bank requiring socialized flood insurance from FEMA? All FEMA needed was an Elev. Cert. or LOMA, and flood insurance was a done deal. They can't deny you unless there were a minimum of 2 previous NFI claims on the same dwelling.


Because everybody relied on the accuracy of the FIRM map and database, that's why.
Why are we talking about you and FEMA to start with? Isn't this between you, the bank, and Allstate?
Sounds like that was worth the cost of a surveyor's certificate. So how is a $3000 survey unreasonable again? Sounds like a capital investment more than a measly survey.
Because I'm not responsible for the FEMA blunder, FEMA is, but FEMA flatly refused to even review the evidence and documents submitted. The FEMA office drone just kept repeating the same thing whenever anyone, which included me, my accountant, the bank president and my Allstate agent called her asking for FEMA's error to be reviewed and corrected at FEMA's expense.
They have to clean up the cholera and feed displaced people when it floods.

No they don't. They CHOOSE to do so because federalizing flood response aggregates power to the federal government. It's part of the Progressive program to remove power and authority from the states and centralize it in Washington.
Congress also says they must "Promote the general welfare" through flood insurance. All part of "Civil Defense". Everyone sticks their hands out to the government whenever there's a disaster anyway.
That's because the Progressives have set it up that way by first extracting taxes from the public, skimming off at least 20 to 30 percent right off the top and then sending the rest back as disaster aid collected from states where no disaster has occurred in order to pay for repeat disasters that happen in seven of the 50 states most prone to massive flood damage.

Congress sets up such programs as a part of the overall Progressive agenda, and even non-Progressives get in on it because it gets them votes. It has nothing whatever to do with the "general welfare." FEMA does not even need to exist for Congress to "provide for the general welfare," all Congress has to do is appropriate block grants to the individual states, who have the actual constitutional authority and duty of dealing with disaster relief in their individual states. FEMA was created to usurp state power and authority and centralize control of disaster response in order to advance the Progressive Executive state. FEMA's ONLY function should be to maintain and disperse as necessary those disaster supplies which would be needed to respond to a major disaster, like a flood, or a plague, or a nuclear incident, or a biological attack. It should be only a quartermaster and nothing else. It should have no regulatory authority at all, and should be limited to transporting supplies as requested by the governors of the several states at their request and with the approval of Congress.

There is no legitimate constitutional basis for FEMA to be a regulatory agency of any kind.

It's not a scam. It's a civil defense and public health question.
So where is the constitutional mandate empowering the federal government to take authority as the executive regulatory authority for civil defense or public health? Last time I checked there was no constitutional provision authorizing the President or Congress to establish a central federal civil defense or public health department in the first place. Congress' authority is limited to "promoting the general welfare" which does NOT mean "provide for the general welfare." The entire purpose of the separation of powers doctrine and the sovereignty of the states is to prevent exactly what FEMA represents; the federalization of usurped state sovereign authority to PROVIDE for the general welfare.
And when Ecuador and Angola send aid to the US after a big storm or earthquake, there should be a mechanism to distribute it, else a local warlord will take it for himself.
When's the last time we got aid from anyone for a natural disaster, and how much was it? And sure, Congress has the authority to take and distribute those donations directly to the individual states involved without skimming 30 percent off the top to run one of the most inefficient and bloated bureaucracies in human history.
Oh, I forgot. The US isn't Somalia. Local warlords don't run things, and the US government has an insurance system to help mitigate flood losses.


Why? Why is it MY problem to pay for storm-surge damage in South Carolina? Shouldn't South Carolinians pay for that and let me pay for plowing snow?
Sorry about that. More people like the IS of flood insurance than the OUGHT of theoretical Libertarianism.
That's only because they have been deluded into believing that the flood insurance scam is a benefit to the majority. It's not, it's only a benefit to those areas which are destroyed by flooding time and again that don't want to simply not build in flood zones for their own personal economic gain.
And you thought $3k for a survey was expensive? Well, without people paying property taxes, there wouldn't be enough government in Louisiana to provide flood insurance, so insurers might form pools and charge whatever they want.


Yes, they certainly might. So what?
Then they'd go bust about 36 hours before the next Katrina makes landfall, because it's more profitable to do that instead of pay claims.
That's an initiation of fraud. If the company takes money to pay claims, then it has to put aside enough money to pay the claims before extracting any profit. It's precisely that failure that caused the housing meltdown. The banks didn't have enough capital reserves to cover the calls on the "derivatives" when housing prices crashed. Fraud, pure and simple. Every single one of those banks and investment companies involved should have been bankrupted and their assets distributed to the victims...not the other banks who bought pooled mortgages...but the actual homeowners. And everybody involved in the "mortgage-based securities" fraud should go to prison.
See, there's not much of a court or law enforcement or insurance regulatory system without property taxes either... So, Haha, you're now a self-insurer and the bank's foreclosing because you don't have the resources to protect their risk! You should have known better than to buy property in La. or Fla, or coastal Mass. or any of those other places you can't get a loan to buy property in because there's only a sketchy insurance pool and not enough taxes to provide enforcement - it's way expensive in the long run.
Precisely correct. If the free market for flood insurance in a particular area says that it's not profitable to offer insurance, then no insurance will be offered and the risk is placed squarely where it should be for those who choose to invest THEIR money in building in a flood-prone area. The banks can and should refuse to loan money for such construction because its too risky for the bank if it's too risky for the insurance company.

The upshot is, and should be, that you can't use OPM to build in a flood-prone area. You can use YOUR money to do so, with the understanding that nobody's going to bail you out if you get flooded out.

The public benefit of this Libertarian structure is that people are disincentivized to build in flood-prone areas, and those who choose to do so do so entirely at their own risk and are not allowed to shift the burden of their poor or greedy decision making off onto the general public.

That's exactly how it should be. "Sorry sir, but that's not a problem that the government is authorized to help you with, you're on your own." That phrase should be used by government officials at every level from the bottom up 99.99 percent of the time.
Under your plan, there's be a much smaller pool of policyholders socializing the risk and bailing out people who build and rebuild in flood zones. So it would be much, much more expensive.
Indeed. Hopefully PROHIBITIVELY expensive. That's the whole point of Libertarian free-market economics and social planning.
Not if they weigh the (expensive) alternatives.
This falsely presumes that the owner of a structure in a flood-prone area has some right to low-priced indemnification against his own stupidity at the expense of the rest of us. It's just another example of harmful government meddling in the free market for flood insurance that costs taxpayers trillions for no good reason whatsoever.
Well, if it weren't the government doing it, it would be insurance companies doing it to protect their $$. That's what insurance companies do: collectivize risk to mitigate it and allow people's $$ to be protected. They also fold when things don't go their way.
And that's exactly how it's SUPPOSED to work. You ask for a mortgage to build on the Outer Banks and the bank says, "Go fuck yourself you moron, that's a hurricane total-destruction zone and we're not throwing our money into the Atlantic."
And so, the only people who could own real property in Houston or New Orleans or Miami are people who don't need a mortgage.
Hopefully NOBODY will be rich enough or stupid enough to build in New Orleans, but if they are, it's THEIR dime, not ours. Who cares if anybody else lives there? If the only way they can live there is to leech off the rest of us to indemnify them against the obvious and ongoing threat of destruction by flooding, then they shouldn't fucking live there at all!
Hello class system! You're either one of the "Haves", or you're kissing that ass to curry favor...
But it wouldn't be long before they form syndicates to reduce risk for themselves. Welcome to 17th Century London!
I got no problem with two classes; those who can afford to take on the financial risk of repeated destruction by flooding in known flood hazard areas who voluntarily choose to do so without public assistance, and everybody else. There's no constitutional right to live in New Orleans or Miami if you do so only by forcibly extracting the labor and property of others to facilitate that residency. You want to live in Boca, fine, but don't expect ME to bail you out if you get blown into the ocean by a hurricane. That's all on you.
IOW, we've already tried that. It creates a self-perpetuating system of inherited wealth that puts $$ to sleep and destroys currency systems. Vickers wrote a lot about it. Maybe you've seen Good Will hunting?
Socialist horseshit. Why should the economic realities of flooding be any different from the economic realities of everything else. If you can't afford the financial risk of the destruction of your real property in a hurricane in Boca, then fucking don't live in Boca. Nobody guaranteed you the right to live where you want at the expense of other people.
The physics were different before the climate changed and brought more rainfall and hence, more flooding and a higher floodplain.
Sucks to be her. How is that my economic problem?
Yes, but usually one has a choice whether one wants to be in the particular risk pool. Why should I be in the same risk pool as people who live on the Carolina coast? I live 7000 MSL for a fucking good reason. No hurricane storm surge.
And you only pay $135/yr for flood insurance too. Someone who lives in a coastal storm surge zone will pay 100x more. :bored:
If it wasn't for FEMA's fuckup I would have been paying zero dollars and zero cents for the past umpteen years. Besides, the whole paradigm of insurance is that no one person pays in what it actually costs to compensate them for losses, which means that I'm paying for someone else's risky behavior against my will because of the federalization of the program. If people in Colorado didn't have to cover losses on the Eastern Seaboard literally every year, our flood insurance would be a tenth of what it is. We're forced into a risk pool that's entirely inappropriate for entirely political and Marxist reasons. (Sorry, I had to get that in at least once... :biggrin: )
Insurance=risk mitigation via collectivization.
Yeah, but I don't want to be part of that collective thanks.
Simple. Don't get a mortgage. Do I have to explain everything?
Better yet, don't let the federal government insure private mortgages and don't give it the power to require that anyone buy flood insurance. Leave it up to the applicants, the banks, and the engineers.
That would render 40% of the country uninhabitable.
Nonsense. It would just make people far more creative in flood-proofing their property. I wanted at one time to build a house on the ranch smack-dab in the middle of the 100 year flood-plain and less that 100 feet from the high-hazard floodway. Before I even bothered to look at federal, state or county regs, I planned how to move fill from one area to another to raise the floor level at least six feet above the 500-year flood levels, thereby creating a nice little pond and doing the intelligent, responsible thing by engineering my home so I wouldn't need flood insurance. Absent FEMA, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the negotiation would have been between me and the bank and the engineers. We would have worked together to ensure that the investment of the bank was protected to their satisfaction through engineering and that I could afford the necessary engineering to make the house flood-proof. A free-market transaction with no government involvement AT ALL. If I can't afford the technical requirements of meeting the bank's security interest, then I don't get to borrow their money and I can either spend my own money to build, or I can not build if I can't afford it.

Nobody's guaranteed that they can build a house wherever they want. Therefore I might have to move my planned house from the floodway to the top of the cliff where it will be absolutely safe from flooding, which will satisfy the bank's need for asset protection, all without any federal flood plain maps, FEMA, the county or anybody else getting involved.

Oh wait, that's exactly what we did, and we still got fucked by FEMA.
I guess a few generations of soup lines would clean out the deadwood.
"Hey buddy, you can eat your lunch down there by the river if you want, but it's raining hard upstream and we expect a flash-flood at any moment so you're on your own." What's wrong with that? Stupidity should be it's own reward. Darwin demands it.
How 'bout they tell you to kiss their ass? They'd rather be where they are, and I don't want to fund moving the nation's capital to Highpoint, Ks.
How about they can kiss my ass and pay for their own assumption of risk and not shift the burden to me or anyone else?
Besides, the Red, and the Platte, and the Yellowstone all flood too. We'd have to pay to impound the shit out of them for drinking water anyway. I think your solution to move people off the N. American coasts would just be more expensive in the long run. How would the rest of us compensate them for their real property, and where would we raise cattle?
You ever been to Kansas? Or Oklahoma? Or Colorado. Or Wyoming. Or South Dakota, or any of the states west of the Mississippi that are mostly empty, unused space? There's no space problem in the US, none at all. It's just that some people like where they live and don't want to leave, and are so greedy and unethical that they expect everyone else to maintain them in their preferred place of abode, quite literally come hell or high water.

Fuck them.

Natural attrition should do the trick. Simply cancel the program, make it a free-market system and as people get flooded out they move somewhere more sane because nobody will loan them money to rebuild in the storm-surge zone, nor should they. Over time the flood-prone cities are emptied out and abandoned, as they should be. Anybody who wants to stay is welcome to do so, like Detroit, but they are on their own, like Detroit. If you don't like what it becomes, don't live there.

And nobody gets compensated for anything. We're not dispossessing them of their property at all. We're just saying that we refuse to indemnify them against a known frequently-occuring risk, and if they get flooded out, well, it's up to them whether they return or move somewhere safer, but they still own the land and can do with it as they please. They just can't ask the rest of us to finance their preferred lifestyle and place of abode.
Last edited by Seth on Tue Aug 27, 2013 7:52 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Har Har Har Global warming crap

Post by piscator » Tue Aug 27, 2013 7:52 am

Seth wrote:
piscator wrote: piscator wrote:Sounds like the Allstate bureaucracy screwed you around for years. You wrote checks to Allstate, why do you keep harping on FEMA? This is you, the bank, and Allstate. What does FEMA have to do with any of this?
FEMA fucked up the FIRM rating on the house. They make the stinking maps, not the bank or the insurance company.


Let me get this straight before we go on:
1.In what zone does the FIRM say the property lies?
2. Why was this important?

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Re: Har Har Har Global warming crap

Post by piscator » Tue Aug 27, 2013 8:40 am

Seth wrote:
piscator wrote: piscator wrote:Sounds like the Allstate bureaucracy screwed you around for years. You wrote checks to Allstate, why do you keep harping on FEMA? This is you, the bank, and Allstate. What does FEMA have to do with any of this?
FEMA fucked up the FIRM rating on the house. They make the stinking maps, not the bank or the insurance company.

Someone somewhere along the line someone should have told you that you needed a LOMA to make the problem go away. Considering property values in parts of Boulder County and the cloud on the marketability and value of a property in a designated flood zone, $3k is not much $$ if you feel certain the lowest floor is above the 100-year flood elevation. It's very much to your economic benefit if that is so. An economic benefit you may not have had sans a flood rate map.


FEMA mandates a lender to have flood insurance on home mortgages and other loans on real property in a flood zone. This is how the nation discourages building in flood-prone areas - by making it expensive. With Biggerts-Waters, it's about to get even more discouraging because storm surge and flood damage claims are growing larger and more widespread as the earth's atmosphere heats up and becomes more energetic, and sea levels rise as oceans heat up and expand.

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Re: Har Har Har Global warming crap

Post by Thinking Aloud » Tue Aug 27, 2013 9:09 am

mistermack wrote:
Tero wrote:And you mistrust the nasa data?
The tables, with the formula in degrees C at the bottom give the Nasa graphs
http://www.giss.nasa.gov/
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/

The 7th graph in
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/
Gives the false "flat" 1996 and later graph widely shown in tabloid papers.

I gotta go to dinner after helping my son move.
Actually, the giss figures are the least trustworthy, out of the official sets. They consistently make choices designed to maximise the appearance of warming. I might trust their figures, but I'd look very hard at the context, and at what they choose not to mention. They have an agenda.

Anyway, I believe I originally quoted the British Met office, who quietly and sneakily announced the halt in warming, hoping nobody would notice. They also drastically reduced their forecast of future temperatures.
If people like the Met Office are acknowledging the seventeen plus year plateau, in spite of wanting to promote the AGW message, then I conclude that it's real, and it's official. If you think otherwise, could you explain to me what the Met Office are up to?
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/ ... ve-it.html
You keep saying this, but only referring to an article in the Daily Mail, whose reputation for accurately interpreting scientific data to the public is not well known. Where's the actual Met Office data, or even the 'quiet announcement' they're referring to? The graph in the DM article is credited to "Ben Weller" and doesn't look particularly official, and there is no link from the article to any Met Office source, nor even a date to indicate when the MO quietly released this data.

How does this square with the latest Met Office release on the subject in January here (which the press also reported as "global warming has stopped", when it shows nothing of the sort) and the further details here?

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Re: Har Har Har Global warming crap

Post by Clinton Huxley » Tue Aug 27, 2013 9:55 am

There's no reason to assume that the Daily Hate's climate change coverage is any more accurate than its health coverage and its health coverage has a whole govt website, NHSChoices, dedicated full time to bunking its health stories. Also notes that David Rose, who pens a lot of climate change denial stuff for the Daily Hate has a history of quote mining and dubious practice.
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Re: Har Har Har Global warming crap

Post by Tero » Tue Aug 27, 2013 12:44 pm

It's just so unfair the Gubment letting those people live in the flood plain. Tear all those houses down and put the people in FEMA trailers. We tax payers can afford that.

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Re: Har Har Har Global warming crap

Post by piscator » Tue Aug 27, 2013 7:15 pm

Tero wrote:It's just so unfair the Gubment letting those people live in the flood plain. Tear all those houses down and put the people in FEMA trailers. We tax payers can afford that.

That's a gross oversimplification. Worthless.

A better one would be that Seth just doesn't cotton to the idea that the Federal government should do anything worthwhile save for national defense, that any other good things like flood insurance should fall on state government and private enterprise. This determination is mostly aesthetic, since the practical difference is who his checks are styled to, and he assumes private sector efficiencies will keep things profitable at the same prices he's used to paying for given services.

One can assume that under Libertarian social engineering, a lightly regulated private flood insurance solution would take up the slack in Mississippi and Arkansas. Who needs cheap cotton and soybeans anyway?

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Re: Har Har Har Global warming crap

Post by Seth » Tue Aug 27, 2013 9:06 pm

piscator wrote:
Seth wrote:
piscator wrote: piscator wrote:Sounds like the Allstate bureaucracy screwed you around for years. You wrote checks to Allstate, why do you keep harping on FEMA? This is you, the bank, and Allstate. What does FEMA have to do with any of this?
FEMA fucked up the FIRM rating on the house. They make the stinking maps, not the bank or the insurance company.


Let me get this straight before we go on:
1.In what zone does the FIRM say the property lies?
2. Why was this important?
As I recall, in the high-hazard zone. Used to be called the floodway. It's been a long time since I looked at the map.

I'm pointing out that FEMA shouldn't exist, that it's a useless, expensive federal bureaucracy that does nothing that the states themselves cannot do better, more efficiently and more economically OTHER THAN having large reserves of various emergency response supplies and equipment. As I said, the response to "global warming" in the case of flooding, if there is actually any such effect is the responsibility of each state to respond to, not the federal government. FEMA should be a warehousing/quartermaster organization that, by way of example, stocks air-transportable (and air-droppable) shipping containers full of medical supplies and antibiotics that can be delivered in hours to anywhere in the nation by military aircraft in the event of a disease outbreak.

But it should have absolutely NO regulatory authority at all. That is the province of the governor and legislature of the states, who make the preparations and decisions and then call upon FEMA and the federal government to provide supplies and perhaps military troops, who are under the command of the governor of the state, not the DOD, during that disaster.

The decision what to do with Miami if global warming cause sea level rise or increased hurricane activity belongs to the governor and legislature of Florida, not the federal government. If disaster assistance is needed, the Congress can authorize block grants of money to the state, but it cannot (and I believe is constitutionally barred) from interfering with the state's authority to direct response.

This usurpation of state authority was seen during Katrina, when FEMA bureaucrats overstepped their authority and took command of the relief efforts, which didn't help, it hindered search and rescue efforts by locals. In one case a group of local sheriff's deputies and volunteers with airboats and other watercraft who were very familiar with the area sought to begin immediate life-saving search and rescue but were denied permission to enter the disaster zone by FEMA bureaucrats.

In another, a FEMA bureaucrat refused to allow a tanker full of fuel into the zone to deliver emergency fuel to a hospital to keep their emergency generators running. The local Sheriff showed up to escort the tanker and the FEMA bureaucrat, citing FEMA "regulations" tried to turn away the Sheriff. The Sheriff promptly arrested the bureaucrat and tossed him in jail and escorted the fuel to the hospital.

FEMA disaster management is most often a disaster itself and we don't need it to do more than stockpile and deliver supplies.
"Seth is Grandmaster Zen Troll who trains his victims to troll themselves every time they think of him" Robert_S

"All that is required for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing." Edmund Burke

"Those who support denying anyone the right to keep and bear arms for personal defense are fully complicit in every crime that might have been prevented had the victim been effectively armed." Seth

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