Hitman: Blood Money Mafia - A Dance With The Devil

[Linus]

Linus, you jumped right on the rc wagon. How sure are you that rc is Agent 47? Does anyone else stick out?

I indicated to gib yesterday that I thought contra would flip scum blocker and suggested rc to the follow up question about who I thought was agent 47. I'd assign the highest subjective probability to rc being scum, but certainly less than 50%. If I go with all flavor clues, rc is a very reasonable choice. If I ignore flavor clues (and assume rc views as town), I think I still have rc as top suspect, followed by dpmz and irre.

ETA: "rc views as town" --> "agent 47 views as town"

[gib]

irre how about doing a townie making a possible last day count routine?

every game day is a possible last day.

OK. But if it requires me to be poring over the guest list and numbers, then I'm a bit behind because I didn't pay attention to that yesterday at all. My big idea of a mass out wasn't supposed to come to this

nah, apart from the bit linus said i should reread i cba to do much of that either - if you're town let's have some fun

[oblivion]

hey how many posts did linus make before putting his vote on r.c?

[irretating]

irre how about doing a townie making a possible last day count routine?

every game day is a possible last day.

OK. But if it requires me to be poring over the guest list and numbers, then I'm a bit behind because I didn't pay attention to that yesterday at all. My big idea of a mass out wasn't supposed to come to this

nah, apart from the bit linus said i should reread i cba to do much of that either - if you're town let's have some fun

OK what you got in mind? I'll play let's follow gib today

[ksen]

hey how many posts did linus make before putting his vote on r.c?

His vote on rc was his 8th post of the day.

[oblivion]

hey how many posts did linus make before putting his vote on r.c?

His vote on rc was his 8th post of the day.

given what he said about his probabilities, does it seem odd that he'd wait for someone to fos r.c?

think I was the first focused fos. may have missed one.

[ksen]

How's this for a crazy idea - irre, Linus, MZ, and rc all post your role pms.

Anyone willing to do that for a town win?

[ksen]

hey how many posts did linus make before putting his vote on r.c?

His vote on rc was his 8th post of the day.

given what he said about his probabilities, does it seem odd that he'd wait for someone to fos r.c?

think I was the first focused fos. may have missed one.

Well, Zig and I were talking about voting irre right out of the box in night chat but during this day you did have the first focused fos. And now that you mention it it does seem weird that Linus would wait around for that if he had always been that sure of rc.

[amok]

hey how many posts did linus make before putting his vote on r.c?

His vote on rc was his 8th post of the day.

Yeah, but I wouldn't make too much of that. Re-reading the last part of Day 4 there were quite a few mentions of the possibility that Zigmen as Seer (alignment) might not have been able to see Agent 47. But RC is the one who brought it up this Day. I don't know. Could be clever Scum, could be good Town play.

[amok]

How's this for a crazy idea - irre, Linus, MZ, and rc all post your role pms.

Anyone willing to do that for a town win?

What about me?

[Linus]

hey how many posts did linus make before putting his vote on r.c?

His vote on rc was his 8th post of the day.

given what he said about his probabilities, does it seem odd that he'd wait for someone to fos r.c?

think I was the first focused fos. may have missed one.

Well, Zig and I were talking about voting irre right out of the box in night chat but during this day you did have the first focused fos. And now that you mention it it does seem weird that Linus would wait around for that if he had always been that sure of rc.

What do you mean by "that sure"?

[ksen]

How's this for a crazy idea - irre, Linus, MZ, and rc all post your role pms.

Anyone willing to do that for a town win?

What about me?

I thought about including you but everyone seems pretty sure you are town. But if it makes you feel better if they all get godkilled for posting town pms then we can go ahead and lynch you!

[ksen]

What do you mean by "that sure"?

http://rationalia.com/forum/viewtopic.p ... 09#p934809

[Linus]

What do you mean by "that sure"?

http://rationalia.com/forum/viewtopic.p ... 09#p934809

"That sure" = "certainly less than 50%" ?

[gib]

irre how about doing a townie making a possible last day count routine?

every game day is a possible last day.

OK. But if it requires me to be poring over the guest list and numbers, then I'm a bit behind because I didn't pay attention to that yesterday at all. My big idea of a mass out wasn't supposed to come to this

nah, apart from the bit linus said i should reread i cba to do much of that either - if you're town let's have some fun

OK what you got in mind? I'll play let's follow gib today

ok. drop all your assumptions and reread day 1 page 6 through to p8 like linus suggested. Forget all the flavor shit, forget whatever lists you have. Tell me who you think is scum based on reactions to linus's seer idea.