Pappa wrote:It's become quite noticable over the past 10 years or so in the UK that the majority of the lowest paid jobs have been taken by migrant workers who are willing to accept minimum wage for shit jobs which the natives are unwilling to do. I am fairly sure that this has also enabled employers to keep the pay for these jobs significantly lower than it would need to be if not for migrant workers. I almost said "artificially low" but that would imply there was something wrong with the way we allow migrant workers to live and work here. Capitalism requires cheap labour, and the international movement of labour produces that in spades. An unfortunate side-effect is that people are then left to choose between very low wages or no job at all. Either option gives them a very poor standard of living and there are few oportunities to improve your skill-set in that situation. Drudgery for no recompense isn't much of a choice. The migrant worker will stereotypically have a much greater financial incentive to work for low pay (a better choice), and they surely can't be faulted for taking the oportunity when they see it.
Some things to think about, regarding the future...
The costs of money and labor are factors that are going to confound a lot of economic models in the coming decades. For the last few centuries, particularly throughout the economic growth of the 20th Century, labor was relatively cheap and reliable, since there were always more and more younger workers to replace the older ones. But that's going to change a
lot as the 21st Century progresses. Demographics is one area of study for which trends are relatively easy to predict. One of the dominant trends affecting absolutely everything in this century will be the plateauing of world population sometime several decades from now; by the end of the century, the world will likely have a rather level (or possibly even declining) population.
The shift from growing populations to older and stable or even declining populations will cause some serious pain as economies first struggle with how to adjust to it. Several advanced countries are already starting to experience serious challenges. Whereas a developing's nation's demographic profile might look like a pyramid, and an advanced country should look more like a fat obelisk, Japan will be the first major economy to have its demographic chart look like a narrow kite: lots of old people around the top, and a tapering effect to a smaller generation at the bottom. Europe, particularly the eastern parts, will also face demographic crises of coping with declining and aging populations and coupled with shrinking productive workforces. In the cases of Japan and Russia, they're going to have many millions fewer people at mid-century than they do now.
These problems won't hit the US quite as acutely as they will elsewhere in the advanced world, but the US will be facing a similar major crisis over the next five to twenty years as the swell of baby boomers start to retire. As they do, they'll be cashing in on homes and equities to live off their values, and they'll also not only be leaving vacanies in the workforce for the slightly smaller generations that follow them, they'll also be retired and in demand of services (health care, to cite one gigantic example) to take care of them. And as a bloc of voters, they'll be intensely interested in making sure that Social Security will remain strong enough to see to their needs. By the late 2020s, the US economy will be squeezed badly by its demographics. Unemployment will not only be extremely low, but wages will be high since the price of labor will be at a premium; unfortunately, those wages will be drained badly by high taxes, high interest rates or high inflation, or (most likely) a combination of all.
As the baby boomers gradually die off the US crisis will fade a bit, but the underlying 21st Century problem of a stabilizing population and smaller workforce will not somehow go into reverse. One big solution to this crisis of labor will be the influx of immigrants from the developing world. It might seem bizarre now, with Americans griping about 11 million border jumpers and Europeans resentful of muslim migrants that haven't been mixing well in their new countries, but two decades from now the developed nations will be competing with each other to attract new immigrants. In this, the US has the same great advantages it has always had; plenty of living space and a more flexible background culture; the US is, after all, the great "melting pot" for immigrants seeking to make a new life. Nevertheless, this solution will in time likely give rise to a host of other problems.