How many old people can the world support?

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How many old people can the world support?

Post by Atheist-Lite » Sun Oct 24, 2010 10:20 am

Throughout the industrial world there is a population growing old. This takes resources and is often a massive drain on friends, relatives and public authorities potentialy productive time. Is there a maximum percentage of old (I mean very old) people which a industrial society can sustain? What happens when this limit is passed? Does the productive capacity of the society go into decline and the society move towards collapse?
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Re: How many old people can the world support?

Post by Hermit » Mon Oct 25, 2010 3:31 pm

The maximum percentage of old people which a industrial society can sustain is not writ in stone. If superannuation and other pension funds turn out to be inadequate due to incompetent management or sheer lack of foresight, elderly citizens will simply drop off the back of the sled at a greater rate (due to the lack of wherewithal that is needed to keep them alive until their organs shut down for biological reasons) than in the (financially) best case scenario.

I hope you are aware that the average life expectancy increase over decades and centuries is largely due to a decrease in infant deaths and to a lesser extent a safer work environment. The top decile of people by age has not really bumped that average up at all. Now, as a few centuries ago, your chances of reaching your centenary are minuscule, even if you only look at people who have already reached the age of 65 or 70.
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Re: How many old people can the world support?

Post by Gawdzilla Sama » Mon Oct 25, 2010 3:34 pm

Kill more people before they breed and you'll have fewer old people. And fewer middle aged people. And fewer young people. So it's a win-win for Team Dietl.
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Re: How many old people can the world support?

Post by Feck » Mon Oct 25, 2010 3:41 pm

If we want birth rates to decrease then statistically our population is going to 'age' . Constantly increased the population just to pay for the upkeep of the older generation is not sustainable .
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Re: How many old people can the world support?

Post by maiforpeace » Mon Oct 25, 2010 3:46 pm

Feck wrote:If we want birth rates to decrease then statistically our population is going to 'age' . Constantly increased the population just to pay for the upkeep of the older generation is not sustainable .
The aging population is more productive and works longer than their earlier counterparts did so that should account for something.
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Re: How many old people can the world support?

Post by Gawdzilla Sama » Mon Oct 25, 2010 3:48 pm

This is about France, isn't it?
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Re: How many old people can the world support?

Post by Rum » Mon Oct 25, 2010 3:49 pm

Interestingly, the main force for decreasing birth rates is said by many to be the desire to be better off. It tends to be the 'middle classes' who see the financial benefits of small families and all that goes with it. The argument goes however that if you decrease overall population via this route, you will actually end up with more demand for the goods and services that the 'well off' countries take for granted as normal and which do so much to damage the planet.

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Re: How many old people can the world support?

Post by maiforpeace » Mon Oct 25, 2010 3:52 pm

Gawdzilla wrote:This is about France, isn't it?
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Re: How many old people can the world support?

Post by Gawdzilla Sama » Mon Oct 25, 2010 3:57 pm

maiforpeace wrote:
Gawdzilla wrote:This is about France, isn't it?
Non monsieur.
Their current flail over the retirement age had me wondering.

Do carry on, chaps!
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Re: How many old people can the world support?

Post by charlou » Mon Oct 25, 2010 4:04 pm

The opening part of Jacob Bronowski's 'Ascent of Man' series has a scene where an elder of a nomadic tribe is left on one side of a river to die while his clan crosses and moves on to better pastures .. always the struggle for survival ... Great series .. recommend it if you can get hold of it.
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Re: How many old people can the world support?

Post by Gawdzilla Sama » Mon Oct 25, 2010 4:10 pm

Charlou wrote:The opening part of Jacob Bronowski's 'Ascent of Man' series has a scene where an elder of a nomadic tribe is left on one side of a river to die while his clan crosses and moves on to better pastures .. always the struggle for survival ... Great series .. recommend it if you can get hold of it.
The Plains Indians used to leave frail elders under a bush when they migrated. It was, supposedly, the elder's call when she/he could no longer keep up with the tribe.
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Re: How many old people can the world support?

Post by Feck » Mon Oct 25, 2010 4:11 pm

African hunting dogs look after their elders ,even to the point of feeding them like pups with pre- chewed meat .Seems the amount of food expended to look after the elderly is paid back by the old ones in experience and child care ......

so dump your kids at grannies house and get out there and hunt . (or in my neighbour hood dump the kids with granny and get out there shoplifting or streetwalking to pay for the drugs ).
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Re: How many old people can the world support?

Post by Xamonas Chegwé » Mon Oct 25, 2010 4:36 pm

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Re: How many old people can the world support?

Post by kiki5711 » Mon Oct 25, 2010 5:35 pm

NOOOOO! Do not dump your kids at grammas!!! TAke care of them yourself, just like your momma had to do!!! Now is gramma's turn to actually get a life. :tf: :tf:

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Re: How many old people can the world support?

Post by Atheist-Lite » Mon Oct 25, 2010 5:42 pm

I just think there is a major problem coming with a massive and growing number of people in their 60s, 70s, 80s who lets be frank are past it and they will require supporting by a ever a decreasing pool of younger people, because of a declining birth rates throughout the industrialised world. You can't keep importing people from the second and third world to supply the shortfall, although this is happening right now, since they have their own societies to deal with. I think there must be a inflection point in this coming where things must change, and rapidly, to resolve what is a building impasse?
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