piscator wrote:Yet another day passes in which twice as many people vote for Hillary than Trump...
bThis is true; however, not unexpected, as the states in question are largely blue states. Thus, when you have a closed primary, there is no crossover of Democrats who would support Trump voting in the Republican Primary. Maryland, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, and New York were all closed primaries, meaning independents and Democrats were not permitted to cast votes for GOP candidates.
Now, it's definitely an uphill battle for Trump to invade traditional northeast blue blood states. However, it's an even steeper uphill battle for someone like Cruz. He was coming in third in most of the northeast states - the blue states hate Ted Cruz.
So, we have Trump sweeping through evangelical states that were thought to be right in Cruz's wheelhouse, and Trump also doing well in the northeast states.
If anyone is capable of winning over independents and some democrats, it's not Cruz, that's for sure. What democrats in blue states are going to vote for the Texan, "anti-New York values" religious dominionist? The answer is none. What democrats in blue states MAY vote for Trump -- blue collar factor workers, police officers, firefighters, emergency workers, their friends and families - hard working, middle class democrats, who aren't all that pro-Progressive Leftist wing -- i.e., the conservative democrats, of which there are a fair number.
Also, a pundit on MSNBC suggested yesterday that Trump's willingness to street-fight, so to speak, to do anything, and really slog it out, may mean that he can land some haymakers on Hillary that will stick. She has weaknesses. If you listen to the Bernie democrats, they often loathe Hillary, and they don't view her as the "second best candidate." She is often viewed as unacceptable. Those people may stay home, or may vote for Trump to say "fuck you."
Hillary doesn't have the mystique of untouchability. And, her sex is not going to shield her now. Nobody can say "they wouldn't say that about a man" after the way media portrayed Trump over the last 10 months. The media will never hit Hillary as hard as they hit Trump, and Trump has 10 months of cartoons mocking his appearance, people commenting on his skin, his hair, his physique, his hands (implying his cock is small) - they've called him a loser, a fraud, a failure, a failed businessman, a joke, a buffoon, and worse. If Hillary tries to say "this is misogyny, they would never treat me this way if were a man" -- her campaign will be laughed out of the room.
If her campaign tries to say that people against her are sexists -- that too will backfire. People aren't going to take it. No, Hillary, it's not that you're a woman -- it's that you are a liar and cheat. And, here's the proof that you're a liar and a cheat. And, if they try to say Trump will be a loose cannon war monger, Trump will be able to fire back that Hillary is more pro-war than most conservative Republicans, she's a neocon, and there are Democrats to refer to that agree.
Out of the current Republican field, the only one capable of beating Hillary is Trump. I am not saying he is guaranteed to beat her. He isn't, and it's an uphill battle. But, he certainly has more of a chance than Cruz, who would be worse against Hillary than Romney was against Obama.
“When I was in college, I took a terrorism class. ... The thing that was interesting in the class was every time the professor said ‘Al Qaeda’ his shoulders went up, But you know, it is that you don’t say ‘America’ with an intensity, you don’t say ‘England’ with the intensity. You don’t say ‘the army’ with the intensity,” she continued. “... But you say these names [Al Qaeda] because you want that word to carry weight. You want it to be something.” - Ilhan Omar
