All Things Kamala: Is It Over Yet?

[L'Emmerdeur]

They are stupid, if the veep really wanted them dead, SEAL team 6 would do it and gang violence would be framed for it.

According to the current Supreme Court's theory, if Biden did it in his official capacity as commander in chief he would be immune from prosecution. I don't know if they'd extend their views on royal prerogative to the vice president. Would depend on the political party of the office-holder I expect.

[Tero]

Professor, the Nostradamus of elections, predicts Kamala.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=QVNG1ko0XuY

[Tero]

.@MorningConsult just dropped a huge amount of polling. Let's go through it.
National: Harris 49/46

VA: Harris 52/42
MN: Harris 51/44
WI: Harris 49/46
PA: Harris 49/46
MI: Harris 49/46
GA: 48/48
NV: 48/48
NC: 48/48
AZ: Trump 49/47
FL: Trump 49/47
TX: Trump 52/43

message board guy copied it for easier reading

[Tero]

Yaaawn. TikTok and all social media are ready for something different
https://www.threads.net/@kamalahq/post/ ... jUsxO_letw

[Tero]

Yeah, people are disgusted with corporate media. Mostly us. MAGA only needs Fox.

[macdoc]

anyone watching?? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-09-11/ ... /104328002 don't like her quaver but getting better. So far the dumpf has kept it together with his pat answers.

Okay he's started with the "I have the biggest rallies" nonsense. Rallies is clearly a sore spot. uhoh he's arguing with the moderator. Looked bad.

[Tero]

Voters in PA still confused. Thinking Trump will do something for them. Or at least stop Haitians from eating pets.

“But,” he adds, “he is still capable of connecting with the ‘left behind’ to a level few others can match, a talent which ensures a devoted and enduring support base in a country where one in three workers say they live paycheck to paycheck.”

Darroch argues that the Democratic campaign is at risk of making two hugely important errors. Urging Harris to be “laser-focused” on voters in the key swing states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin won by Biden in 2020, Darroch warns that they may drift back to Trump unless Harris is able to offer “some crisply worded, specific, targeted policies to bring jobs and hope back to these blighted neighbourhoods”.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/202 ... ambassador

[Tero]

Old fart Will supports Kamala
https://www.threads.net/@republicansaga ... EXvTA-F_7g
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Will

[Tero]

13 more electors now for Kamala. Virginia.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/p ... te-changes

Giving Kamala 4 tossups plus one from our state gives jer 270. Just.

[Tero]

Trafalgar group is giving PA to Trump by two points. But:

. Why I don’t trust polls from Rasmussen Reports and the Trafalgar Group
(Lots of this is borrowed from chapter 5.)

I have a few criteria for establishing whether or not I should trust a political pollster. If they do any of the following things, I view their numbers as untrustworthy and worth a thorough review before deciding if I should include a poll in my models:

Generate fake data for any survey ever

Regularly ask extremely biased questions that prime respondents to answer in a certain way

Refuse to release methodological details about how the firm gathers and processes their interviews

Use a methodology that would generate substantially biased readings of public opinion (eg, using an unweighted internet convenience sample, or weighting data toward partisan benchmarks based on vibes)

Publicly share messages that are biased toward one party or ideology

Routinely release numbers that are biased toward one party or point of view above and beyond the range of statistically plausible results

If any pollster violates any one of these conditions, I put them on a list for further review. That review entails an analysis of all the polls the firm has ever released, a deeper study of their methodology — including how they get their data, how they process it, and whether results for demographics subsets look plausible — and, when pollsters are willing to cooperate, in-depth interviews with their methodologists and leadership. If this review fails to show the pollster is receptive to criticism and willing to update its methods, depending on the degree of infraction, I will not use their data. Even then, if a pollster meets any three of the red flags above, it’s wise to at least down-weight their data, if not ignore it completely.
This is somewhat of an unorthodox view among polling analysts today, especially the loudest voices. Nate Silver’s philosophy, for example, is to use nearly all available polls and “trust the process” of his aggregation and adjustment algorithms to produce well-calibrated predictions of future elections.

https://gelliottmorris.substack.com/p/t ... ical-cases

[macdoc]

Former Six-Term GOP Congressman Throws His Support Behind Harris
‘SICK PUPPY’

David Thompson
Published Sep. 18, 2024 9:49PM EDT
Former U.S. Congressman Bob Inglis

Vice President Kamala Harris has won the support of another former Republican, who denounced the madness of Donald Trump and said he will be voting for her on Nov. 5. Former six-term South Carolina Congressman Bob Inglis said of the former president: “Donald Trump is a clear and present danger to the republic. He’s disqualified based on character and rationality, so I’ll be voting for Kamala Harris.” Inglis gave his views in an interview with the Charleston City Paper. He represented Greenville’s 4th congressional district from 1993-99, and again from 2005-11. Inglis assailed Trump’s character, branding him a narcissist who is “completely consumed with himself.” He added: “I feel sorry for him. He’s really quite a sick puppy. He needs some help. He’s been unfaithful to three wives. Why would we, at the altar with him as the fourth, think that he’s going to be faithful to us? Talk about irrationality.” Fed up with the right-wing echo chamber promoted by the likes of Fox News and others, Inglis, 64, says he was forced to take action and become executive director of RepublicEN.org, a conservative non-profit that purports to prefer rational facts over spin. Other recovering GOP heavyweights who are now supporting Harris include Liz Cheney, her dad Dick Cheney, Alberto Gonzales and more than 200 presidential campaign staffers for George W. Bush, John McCain and Mitt Romney.

are they finally waking up ??

[Brian Peacock]

No, they're all radical socialist communist extremist immigrant-loving dog-munching anti-Americans.

[Tero]

My parents were also convinced that not only aren't tons of Republicans endorsing Harris, but actually all the Democrats are supporting Trump and hate Harris.
Where he got this one from, I don't know. The most I could guess is that "RFK Jr and Tulsi Gabbard back Trump" was spun into "all Democratic support for Harris is crumbling and all Democrats will back Trump now."

https://www.threads.net/@techydad/post/ ... ve_JJE5STA

[Svartalf]

Former Six-Term GOP Congressman Throws His Support Behind Harris
‘SICK PUPPY’

David Thompson
Published Sep. 18, 2024 9:49PM EDT
Former U.S. Congressman Bob Inglis

Vice President Kamala Harris has won the support of another former Republican, who denounced the madness of Donald Trump and said he will be voting for her on Nov. 5. Former six-term South Carolina Congressman Bob Inglis said of the former president: “Donald Trump is a clear and present danger to the republic. He’s disqualified based on character and rationality, so I’ll be voting for Kamala Harris.” Inglis gave his views in an interview with the Charleston City Paper. He represented Greenville’s 4th congressional district from 1993-99, and again from 2005-11. Inglis assailed Trump’s character, branding him a narcissist who is “completely consumed with himself.” He added: “I feel sorry for him. He’s really quite a sick puppy. He needs some help. He’s been unfaithful to three wives. Why would we, at the altar with him as the fourth, think that he’s going to be faithful to us? Talk about irrationality.” Fed up with the right-wing echo chamber promoted by the likes of Fox News and others, Inglis, 64, says he was forced to take action and become executive director of RepublicEN.org, a conservative non-profit that purports to prefer rational facts over spin. Other recovering GOP heavyweights who are now supporting Harris include Liz Cheney, her dad Dick Cheney, Alberto Gonzales and more than 200 presidential campaign staffers for George W. Bush, John McCain and Mitt Romney.

are they finally waking up ??

NO, they are vile traitors.

[Tero]

Polling becomes news, again.