US Election 2020

[Tero]

The robot.

[Scot Dutchy]

Look Trump just needs 100,000 idiots.

[Scot Dutchy]

And they dont have to be real people.

[Brian Peacock]

73,000 actually.

[rainbow]

Biden prepares for the live debate with Antifa Weapon.

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/10/18 ... p-vs-biden

[Tero]

Biden polling less than Hillary in battleground states, BUT there is no Jill Stein third party candidate, so he is getting over 50%.

But there are also nine states where Biden’s margin over Trump is smaller than Clinton’s was at this point in the campaign. In Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, for example, Biden’s margin over Trump is about 2 to 4 points smaller than Clinton’s was. But he’s also at or very close to 50 percent in each of those states, which wasn’t the case for Clinton. Still, it’s notable that Biden’s margins tend to be lower than Clinton’s in many Rust Belt battleground states. That could be due to Trump’s resiliency in the region, but also perhaps a shift in the pollster methodologies: In 2016, many polls in these states underestimated Trump’s support in part because they didn’t weight by education, an important consideration as white voters without a college degree broke strongly for the president.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/bi ... -her-peak/

[Tero]

biden hillary 1.jpg (30.36 KiB) Viewed 1299 times

[Brian Peacock]

Psephology is a pseudo-science.

[Tero]

oct 19 poll.jpg (59.03 KiB) Viewed 1292 times

Polling. If you ignore the white states with leaning indicated, you get 279/120. So the more reliable polling states give Biden the 270. If you give Trump all he can possibly get out of this map, he gets 170.

This is a likely outcome of the election: Trump gets about 200. 220 at most, leaving Biden over 300. In 2016 Trump got 304.

[rainbow]

Biden polling less than Hillary in battleground states, BUT there is no Jill Stein third party candidate, so he is getting over 50%.

But there are also nine states where Biden’s margin over Trump is smaller than Clinton’s was at this point in the campaign. In Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, for example, Biden’s margin over Trump is about 2 to 4 points smaller than Clinton’s was. But he’s also at or very close to 50 percent in each of those states, which wasn’t the case for Clinton. Still, it’s notable that Biden’s margins tend to be lower than Clinton’s in many Rust Belt battleground states. That could be due to Trump’s resiliency in the region, but also perhaps a shift in the pollster methodologies: In 2016, many polls in these states underestimated Trump’s support in part because they didn’t weight by education, an important consideration as white voters without a college degree broke strongly for the president.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/bi ... -her-peak/

It was at about this point before the elections that the FBI announced it was investigating Hillary's emails, giving Trump a boost.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/201 ... estigation

What will somebody discover under a bush, that might suddenly turn the tide?

[Tero]

Trump people will use courts to
1 ignore as many mailed votes as possible
obviously not Colorado where there is no in person voting
2 ignore all votes coming in by mail after election, even if postmarked correctly

It is with that second group they will have some success

[Sean Hayden]

The only surprise is that it will be called on election night. People are showing up.

....please let that be true!

[Tero]

When Biden takes over, naming the 500 people every president appoints will be much easier than ever before. Not a single Trump appointee can be kept.
Ratcliffe is. Trumpster
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/ratcli ... mpaign.amp

https://www.politico.com/amp/news/2020/ ... ssion=true

[macdoc]

zing

Reagan's son: We have grifters in the White House

Ron Reagan, son of former President Ronald Reagan and former first lady Nancy Reagan, tells CNN's Ana Cabrera that his father would "be horrified" by the Republican Party of today. He added that the Trump children are profiting off of their father's presidency as "grifters.

https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/202 ... nr-vpx.cnn

[Brian Peacock]

What? Ronald Reagan named his son Ronald Reagan?