The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post Reply
User avatar
Tyrannical
Posts: 6468
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 4:59 am
Contact:

Re: The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post by Tyrannical » Fri Aug 09, 2013 8:21 am

Pappa wrote:
Tyrannical wrote:Having a big prison population also helps reduce crime, though I think the current population is far too small. When it's safe to walk at night alone in Detroit, then I'd say the prison population is just right.
That may not be true. It's possible that a large prison population might lead to an increase in crime. A large prison population could act as a better crime school than a small population. If that were the case, when criminals leave prison they'd be better at being criminals and possibly commit more crime.
Who said anything about leave? Prisoners should not be released until a board is convinced they will not re-offend.
A rational skeptic should be able to discuss and debate anything, no matter how much they may personally disagree with that point of view. Discussing a subject is not agreeing with it, but understanding it.

User avatar
Warren Dew
Posts: 3781
Joined: Thu Aug 19, 2010 1:41 pm
Location: Somerville, MA, USA
Contact:

Re: The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post by Warren Dew » Fri Aug 09, 2013 7:27 pm

Tyrannical wrote:Having a big prison population also helps reduce crime, though I think the current population is far too small. When it's safe to walk at night alone in Detroit, then I'd say the prison population is just right.
Just consider Detroit part of the prison system.

User avatar
Svartalf
Offensive Grail Keeper
Posts: 41185
Joined: Wed Feb 24, 2010 12:42 pm
Location: Paris France
Contact:

Re: The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post by Svartalf » Fri Aug 09, 2013 7:50 pm

Tyrannical wrote:
Pappa wrote:
Tyrannical wrote:Having a big prison population also helps reduce crime, though I think the current population is far too small. When it's safe to walk at night alone in Detroit, then I'd say the prison population is just right.
That may not be true. It's possible that a large prison population might lead to an increase in crime. A large prison population could act as a better crime school than a small population. If that were the case, when criminals leave prison they'd be better at being criminals and possibly commit more crime.
Who said anything about leave? Prisoners should not be released until a board is convinced they will not re-offend.
Habeas corpus and all that... the principle of a prison sentence is that, except for the most terrible crimes, it is a temporary measure, with the understanding that most prisoners will get out of there sooner or later, maybe later for killers, but fairly soon for thieves, conmen, and other reckless drivers. Your proposal of liberation subject to a board is inconstitutional, especially since an administrative (executive) body would be alloaved to overrule a judicial decision.
Embrace the Darkness, it needs a hug

PC stands for "Patronizing Cocksucker" Randy Ping

User avatar
Warren Dew
Posts: 3781
Joined: Thu Aug 19, 2010 1:41 pm
Location: Somerville, MA, USA
Contact:

Re: The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post by Warren Dew » Fri Aug 09, 2013 8:20 pm

Svartalf wrote:
Tyrannical wrote:
Pappa wrote:
Tyrannical wrote:Having a big prison population also helps reduce crime, though I think the current population is far too small. When it's safe to walk at night alone in Detroit, then I'd say the prison population is just right.
That may not be true. It's possible that a large prison population might lead to an increase in crime. A large prison population could act as a better crime school than a small population. If that were the case, when criminals leave prison they'd be better at being criminals and possibly commit more crime.
Who said anything about leave? Prisoners should not be released until a board is convinced they will not re-offend.
Habeas corpus and all that... the principle of a prison sentence is that, except for the most terrible crimes, it is a temporary measure, with the understanding that most prisoners will get out of there sooner or later, maybe later for killers, but fairly soon for thieves, conmen, and other reckless drivers. Your proposal of liberation subject to a board is inconstitutional, especially since an administrative (executive) body would be alloaved to overrule a judicial decision.
Isn't that exactly what's going to happen to Breivik, though?

Me, I prefer "three strikes" type laws, but the principle isn't all that different.

User avatar
Blind groper
Posts: 3997
Joined: Sun Mar 25, 2012 3:10 am
About me: From New Zealand
Contact:

Re: The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post by Blind groper » Fri Aug 09, 2013 8:47 pm

As I pointed out, Canada, the Netherlands, and Germany introduced reduced prison sentences, and all three still a reduction in crime rates. The idea that keeping people in prison longer will reduce crime significantly may be shown to be incorrect.

I think that improvements in technology will continue to reduce crime rates. Just think what the improvements in security cameras will do. We already see police security cameras being set up in many areas. With cameras becoming both cheaper, and having more sophisticated electronics attached, giving a more 'intelligent' response, we may see massive further reductions in crime. Mainly because private security cameras will become very common.

What criminal will engage in criminal activity when he is almost certainly being recorded, and a report automatically sent to police?

Seth
GrandMaster Zen Troll
Posts: 22077
Joined: Fri Jan 28, 2011 1:02 am
Contact:

Re: The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post by Seth » Sat Aug 10, 2013 12:32 am

Warren Dew wrote:
Tyrannical wrote:Having a big prison population also helps reduce crime, though I think the current population is far too small. When it's safe to walk at night alone in Detroit, then I'd say the prison population is just right.
Just consider Detroit part of the prison system.
Oh hell yes! Let's go all "Escape from New York" on Detroit's ass.
"Seth is Grandmaster Zen Troll who trains his victims to troll themselves every time they think of him" Robert_S

"All that is required for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing." Edmund Burke

"Those who support denying anyone the right to keep and bear arms for personal defense are fully complicit in every crime that might have been prevented had the victim been effectively armed." Seth

© 2013/2014/2015/2016 Seth, all rights reserved. No reuse, republication, duplication, or derivative work is authorized.

Seth
GrandMaster Zen Troll
Posts: 22077
Joined: Fri Jan 28, 2011 1:02 am
Contact:

Re: The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post by Seth » Sat Aug 10, 2013 12:34 am

Svartalf wrote:
Tyrannical wrote:
Pappa wrote:
Tyrannical wrote:Having a big prison population also helps reduce crime, though I think the current population is far too small. When it's safe to walk at night alone in Detroit, then I'd say the prison population is just right.
That may not be true. It's possible that a large prison population might lead to an increase in crime. A large prison population could act as a better crime school than a small population. If that were the case, when criminals leave prison they'd be better at being criminals and possibly commit more crime.
Who said anything about leave? Prisoners should not be released until a board is convinced they will not re-offend.
Habeas corpus and all that... the principle of a prison sentence is that, except for the most terrible crimes, it is a temporary measure, with the understanding that most prisoners will get out of there sooner or later, maybe later for killers, but fairly soon for thieves, conmen, and other reckless drivers. Your proposal of liberation subject to a board is inconstitutional, especially since an administrative (executive) body would be alloaved to overrule a judicial decision.
Well there's your problem right there. Easy to solve, just make many more crimes capital crimes...like dropping gum on the sidewalk.

China does it, why don't we? After all, Communism is good, right?

Anyway, the best solution to violent crime is to let the victims deal with it in the moment, which eliminates ongoing incarceration costs and saves the taxpayers a bundle in court costs.
"Seth is Grandmaster Zen Troll who trains his victims to troll themselves every time they think of him" Robert_S

"All that is required for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing." Edmund Burke

"Those who support denying anyone the right to keep and bear arms for personal defense are fully complicit in every crime that might have been prevented had the victim been effectively armed." Seth

© 2013/2014/2015/2016 Seth, all rights reserved. No reuse, republication, duplication, or derivative work is authorized.

User avatar
Blind groper
Posts: 3997
Joined: Sun Mar 25, 2012 3:10 am
About me: From New Zealand
Contact:

Re: The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post by Blind groper » Sat Aug 10, 2013 1:44 am

To Seth

The best way of dealing with crime is to carry out a multinational study of all the different ways various peoples have dealt with crime in the past, and quantify the results. Then proceed to use those techniques which are proven to reduce further offending.

Of course, this requires people to dump their preconceptions and prejudices, which is very difficult for the vast bulk of people.

Seth
GrandMaster Zen Troll
Posts: 22077
Joined: Fri Jan 28, 2011 1:02 am
Contact:

Re: The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post by Seth » Sat Aug 10, 2013 1:52 am

Blind groper wrote:To Seth

The best way of dealing with crime is to carry out a multinational study of all the different ways various peoples have dealt with crime in the past, and quantify the results. Then proceed to use those techniques which are proven to reduce further offending.

Of course, this requires people to dump their preconceptions and prejudices, which is very difficult for the vast bulk of people.
Oh yeah, another study is going to eliminate crime...right. :blah:

I'll stick to keeping anyone from making me a victim of violent crime when and where legally authorized to do so.

You can do all the studies you want. Perhaps if you stack up all the reports and hold them in front of you they'll stop a bullet...or an anti-tank round at this point.

Good luck with that.
"Seth is Grandmaster Zen Troll who trains his victims to troll themselves every time they think of him" Robert_S

"All that is required for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing." Edmund Burke

"Those who support denying anyone the right to keep and bear arms for personal defense are fully complicit in every crime that might have been prevented had the victim been effectively armed." Seth

© 2013/2014/2015/2016 Seth, all rights reserved. No reuse, republication, duplication, or derivative work is authorized.

User avatar
Blind groper
Posts: 3997
Joined: Sun Mar 25, 2012 3:10 am
About me: From New Zealand
Contact:

Re: The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post by Blind groper » Sat Aug 10, 2013 4:13 am

The studies have already been done. The problem is idiotic politicians who ignore the results.

For example : we know already that there is a massive reduction in criminal offending simply from maturity. Get a young punk and lock him up. Release him before age 30 and he will most definitely offend again. Wait till he is (say) 32, and the reoffending is much less likely.

Train prisoners to give them saleable skills, and help them into jobs upon release, and the odds of reoffending drop.

There are a lot of bits of knowledge like this gleaned from hundreds of studies. Mostly those idiot politicians ignore the results.

For you guys in the USA, the biggest way of reducing offending is simply to decriminalise the recreational use of drugs like marijuana.

Seth
GrandMaster Zen Troll
Posts: 22077
Joined: Fri Jan 28, 2011 1:02 am
Contact:

Re: The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post by Seth » Sat Aug 10, 2013 7:40 am

Blind groper wrote:The studies have already been done. The problem is idiotic politicians who ignore the results.

For example : we know already that there is a massive reduction in criminal offending simply from maturity. Get a young punk and lock him up. Release him before age 30 and he will most definitely offend again. Wait till he is (say) 32, and the reoffending is much less likely.

Train prisoners to give them saleable skills, and help them into jobs upon release, and the odds of reoffending drop.

There are a lot of bits of knowledge like this gleaned from hundreds of studies. Mostly those idiot politicians ignore the results.

For you guys in the USA, the biggest way of reducing offending is simply to decriminalise the recreational use of drugs like marijuana.
Strangely, I agree with everything you just wrote.... go figure... :dunno:
"Seth is Grandmaster Zen Troll who trains his victims to troll themselves every time they think of him" Robert_S

"All that is required for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing." Edmund Burke

"Those who support denying anyone the right to keep and bear arms for personal defense are fully complicit in every crime that might have been prevented had the victim been effectively armed." Seth

© 2013/2014/2015/2016 Seth, all rights reserved. No reuse, republication, duplication, or derivative work is authorized.

User avatar
Collector1337
Posts: 1259
Joined: Thu Apr 04, 2013 10:24 am
About me: I am a satire of your stereotype about me.
Location: US Mother Fucking A
Contact:

Re: The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post by Collector1337 » Sat Aug 10, 2013 3:33 pm

Really... we should decriminalize all drugs and let the "problem" sort itself out.
"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize."

"None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free."

User avatar
Warren Dew
Posts: 3781
Joined: Thu Aug 19, 2010 1:41 pm
Location: Somerville, MA, USA
Contact:

Re: The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post by Warren Dew » Sat Aug 10, 2013 4:28 pm

Blind groper wrote:For example : we know already that there is a massive reduction in criminal offending simply from maturity. Get a young punk and lock him up. Release him before age 30 and he will most definitely offend again. Wait till he is (say) 32, and the reoffending is much less likely.
This might actually make practical sense. However, it might also raise equal protection concerns to give younger people longer sentences based on their age.

User avatar
mistermack
Posts: 15093
Joined: Sat Apr 10, 2010 10:57 am
About me: Never rong.
Contact:

Re: The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post by mistermack » Sat Aug 10, 2013 5:15 pm

If I was in power, I would be issuing orders right now, for a system to be developed where convicts never meet another convict.
If it has to be solitary, then it has to be. Prison isn't there for their benefit, it's for ours.
Make every cell big enough for exercise, and kit it out with a keyboard and screen, so that inmates can access a special prison internet.
And have a system of volunteers when members of the public can provide some bit of company, if the prisoners opt for it.

The only exception that I would allow, would be for those serving the very longest sentences, who are going to never get out, or will be very old when they do.

As far as human rights of prisoners go, they lose those when they get convicted of serious crimes.
If it makes prison a worse experience, good.
While there is a market for shit, there will be assholes to supply it.

User avatar
Audley Strange
"I blame the victim"
Posts: 7485
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2011 5:00 pm
Contact:

Re: The Curious Case of the Fall in Crime.

Post by Audley Strange » Sat Aug 10, 2013 10:03 pm

Seth wrote:
Audley Strange wrote:Nope not guns. Mobile phones. Is that just too obvious?
I'd say guns AND mobile phones.
Sure in the U.S. you may be correct. However you had guns before mobile phones and that didn't make it drop quite as much as they did did it? Also you can't really use that as an argument for the decrease in crime in Europe.

I don't want to take away your guns. If anything I'd encourage you over there to have more. Just, stay there eh?
"What started as a legitimate effort by the townspeople of Salem to identify, capture and kill those who did Satan's bidding quickly deteriorated into a witch hunt" Army Man

Post Reply

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 35 guests