L'Emmerdeur wrote: ↑Sun Feb 24, 2019 4:07 am
Forty Two wrote: ↑Thu Feb 21, 2019 2:18 pm
If you're talking about something else, like doing something to change vote counts, voter fraud, that kind of thing, I'm all with you - that's almost an act of war. If there is some foreign donation of money to a political campaign, then sure, that's a big problem. I agree with you there. But, the "manipulation" referred to is publishing, writing, speaking, saying things.
As if that would have no effect. Or maybe it's something that should just be accepted, because after all the right candidate benefitted.
To me, it doesn't matter if "the right" or "the left" candidate benefited. Some things must be accepted, including foreign individual's right to express their opinion on domestic elections, and even say nasty things. And, by the way, the intelligence reports say that several candidates benefited, not just one.
If we are referring to speaking, writing, publishing, etc., almost every non-American on this forum attempted to interfere witha the election when they published their views on this forum.
L'Emmerdeur wrote: ↑Sun Feb 24, 2019 4:07 am
Forty Two wrote: ↑Thu Feb 21, 2019 2:18 pm
But, let's say in August of 2020, President Obrador sees that his country would be better off without Trump, and with the leading Democratic Candidate. Let's say, Beto O'Rourke. They like Beto. Beto said he would tear down the walls between the US and mexico and at least as a matter of physical barriers, open the border. They like that. So, the Mexican government decides to buy Facebook ads saying how terrible walls are and how they are evil and immoral, and that Mexico supports no walls, and Mexico wants the American government to do the same, so don't vote for wall-proponents.
Russia did not follow that playbook though. Yes, Russian propaganda outlets were definitely pro-Trump and anti-Clinton,
They were both, according to the intelligence report(s) you rely on.
L'Emmerdeur wrote: ↑Sun Feb 24, 2019 4:07 am
but as for buying ads in US media online or otherwise, I don't recall any noticeable official presence by the Russian government: no overt and upfront campaign.expressing support such as you describe. Your attempted parallel fails here.
No, it doesn't because the fact that there was no noticeable official presence of the Russian government makes the case against Russia weaker than the one I painted against Mexico.
L'Emmerdeur wrote: ↑Sun Feb 24, 2019 4:07 am
In addition, I know you probably still refuse to believe that the hacking was carried out by Russian intelligence agencies but that is in fact what the evidence shows, according to the US intelligence community.
You can jump up and down shouting 'no evidence! no evidence!!' but they didn't arrive at the conclusion that they did based on fairy tales. What it comes down to is that you personally find the publicly available evidence unconvincing.
Neither one of us has actually seen any of the available evidence, since it wasn't published. Also, the notion that US intelligence agencies don't (a) get it wrong, and (b) sometimes get it wrong on purpose, is naive. Further, the described/published reasons to conclude that Russia tried to hack include the statement that Russia was trying to do the same thing to both major parties, and lobbying groups and other prominent organizations related to the upcoming campaigns starting way back in 2015. They weren't just trying to hack one side's stuff, says the intelligence report. They claim that Guccifer was a Russian intelligence asset, but the evidence is weak.
However, hacking - if it occurred - is illegal, and can rise to the level of an act of war. The thing about the hacking, though, is that what Russia was doing isn't any different than what the US, UK, France, Germany, China, etc. all do. The US is very likely the country with the most access to hacked materials.
L'Emmerdeur wrote: ↑Sun Feb 24, 2019 4:07 am
The hacking was a criminal act, and Russians have been indicted for it. You don't mention any illegal acts on the part of Mexico, apparently because of your continued insistence that the Russians had nothing to do with the hacking, but as long as you ignore this aspect of interference, it's another failure of your attempted parallel.
The hacking was a criminal act, and they should be indicted for it and convicted if proven.
Now, the hacking itself, however, does not make it wrong that we know about that emails. In the line of the Pentagon Papers, the theft is the crime. The distribution and the fact that the public becomes aware of it is not. Learning about stolen truth is a good thing for elections, not a bad thing. Like, if the Russians hacked Trump's computers and found out he was selling state secrets to the highest bidder. The Russian hackers committed a crime, but if wikileaks or the NY Times got the material dropped on their doorstep, then distributing the material is in the national interest, and even if it wasn't - even if it was, say, information exposing that the US intelligence community was staging things down in Venezuela - then the publishing of the material is still good, even if the theft is bad.
L'Emmerdeur wrote: ↑Sun Feb 24, 2019 4:07 am
Forty Two wrote: ↑Thu Feb 21, 2019 2:18 pm
Has Beto done something wrong?
According to this false, idealized parallel in which Mexico's involvement was completely upfront and legal and there is not even a hint that Beto's campaign was involved with Mexico's effort, no, Beto did nothing wrong.
O.k., good - then at least we are in agreement on most of the Russian "meddling" allegations - that they were not illegal or meddling.
On the hacking allegations, i think we are in agreement that the actions of hacking are illegal and should be prosecuted. Let's see what the proof is, which should be available in a public trial, in my view. And, if, indeed, the Russian government was involved, then that's a big problem diplomatically.
However, the real lesson to be learned from this, in my view, is that both major parties need to be more careful about what they're doing. The reason anyone cared about what was in the email exchanges that were released by Wikileaks is that it revealed shady things. The email releases only hurt Clinton because of what the emails revealed, which was not endearing - it was not information that made anyone think it would be a good idea to vote for Clinton. And, if similar information were released about Trump, I would say the same thing. Good that we know it.
L'Emmerdeur wrote: ↑Sun Feb 24, 2019 4:07 am
Forty Two wrote: ↑Thu Feb 21, 2019 2:18 pm
What should the American government do about it? I would say that they can send the diplomats over and tell Mexico to cool it. We could impose sanctions on them. But we wouldn't go to war over it, would we? We wouldn't really do much more of anything, would we? Isn't that what we did with Russia?
And, what if Beto got a call from a former Mexican prosecutor. The former prosecutor says to Beto's rep, "hey, you know, we have lots of dirt on Trump - we can get you proof Trump cheated on his taxes, and is actually cheating on Melania now." Beto's rep says "Fuck yeah! If it's true, I like it!" And, a Beto rep meets with the former Mexican prosecutor and a couple of other folks "linked" to the Mexican government. The information is true, and Beto is informed of how the info is obtained and he uses it in the campaign.
Should Beto go to jail? Has he or someone in his campaign done something immoral? illegal?
Given that Beto's campaign didn't pay for the intelligence, which is undeniably of considerable value, it's a campaign contribution. Accepting a campaign contribution from a foreign national is a crime under
U.S. Title 52 § 30121.
That's not how the law is interpreted. It is not correct that someone bringing candidate X dirt on candidate Y is a campaign contribution, except where candidate Y pays one or more dollars for the information?
Think of how such an interpretation of the law, which has never been adopted by any court, by the way -- think of what that would mean. If Democrat X's campaign got a call from Isabella Nachez, a maid Mar-a-Lago, with information that she is an undocumented worker and that she and 20 others are illegally employed there, and that Trump personally knows about it, and doesn't care -- that would be an illegal foreign donation? How much would Democrat X have to pay for it before it wasn't? And, then how would they send a campaign rep down there to talk to Mar-a-Lago workers and get their stories? They'd have to pay each worker for their story? How much?
Here's a good analysis -
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/vol ... 9f28ad8972
L'Emmerdeur wrote: ↑Sun Feb 24, 2019 4:07 am
Forty Two wrote: ↑Thu Feb 21, 2019 2:18 pm
For me, I would say quite equivocally, under the scenario presented - no. In fact, Mexico has done a service to America there, getting information out that is relevant - Trump broke the law and lied on his taxes, and he's cheating on Melania now - says something about him.
But, was Beto, in your view, obligated to keep the information secret, and only report it to the FBI?
Beto or his representative should have reported the contact to the FBI when it first occurred, rather than encouraging the Mexican to deliver the intelligence. Once the campaign has agreed to accept the intelligence and taken delivery, it has violated U.S. Title 52 § 30121.
I disagree. I do not think that there would be any violation of the law under that scenario. Beto doesn't know the information was gained illegally. There is nothing "illegal" about negative information about people. And, information - people talking - is not a "thing of value" within the meaning of the statute (at least there is no court ruling to that effect - no criminal prosecution ever to that effect. And, if you think that "information" and "dirt" on candidates is something new, then I have to respectfully disagree.
L'Emmerdeur wrote: ↑Sun Feb 24, 2019 4:07 am
Forty Two wrote: ↑Thu Feb 21, 2019 2:18 pm
And, would the Mexicans possibly have committed a crime? What crime? Was something they did "immoral?" Under what system of morality?
Again, refer to U.S. Title 52 § 30121.
In Bluman v. FEC, the federal district court in D.C. upheld the ban against a constitutional challenge, in a decision that was later affirmed by the U.S. Supreme Court. The district court emphasized the narrow scope of the statute, saying that it “does not restrain foreign nationals from speaking out about issues or spending money to advocate their views about issues” but only prevents them from “providing money for a candidate or political party or spending money in order to expressly advocate for or against the election of a candidate.”
And, note, complaints were filed with the FEC by Common Cause and other groups - the FEC did not determine that any campaign finance violation occurred or any illegal contribution occurred.
Note, “contribution” under the law includes “any gift, subscription, loan, advance, or deposit of money or anything of value made by any person for the purpose of influencing any election for Federal office . . .” 52 U.S.C. § 30101(8)(a).
Now - I get your view of it. The language of the law is written very broadly with the "thing of value" inserted after "contribution or donation." However, I do not believe a court will interpret the law to include mere dirt and negative information as a "thing" equivalent to a "contribution" or "donation" or a "gift, subscription, loan, advance, or deposit of money....." -- under ejusdem generis, a list of things followed by an open ended "other things...." is read to close the loop at things that are "of the same kind."
Also, first amendment/freedom of speech comes into play when you're talking about making it illegal for, as I noted, an undocumented worker to sit down with a Bernie Sanders campaign worker and laying out his or her story of abuse and oppression while working on Trump projects. And, your broad interpretation of the statute would encompass exactly that person.
Good response L'Emmerdeur. By juxtaposing my posts on this with yours, we have illustrated the two sides on this issue of receiving information from foreign sources.
“When I was in college, I took a terrorism class. ... The thing that was interesting in the class was every time the professor said ‘Al Qaeda’ his shoulders went up, But you know, it is that you don’t say ‘America’ with an intensity, you don’t say ‘England’ with the intensity. You don’t say ‘the army’ with the intensity,” she continued. “... But you say these names [Al Qaeda] because you want that word to carry weight. You want it to be something.” - Ilhan Omar