Noisy neighbors to the north acting up again. o,0

[Gawdzilla Sama]

There are a handful of real indicators to tell if they're serious about attacking, but they're also good and denial & deception (D&D) techniques. IMO, if and when the big attack finally comes, it'll be preceded by a "routine" crisis and military standup. The Yom Kippur War was preceded by yet another (of many) Egyptian army exercises, with the Israelis telling themselves that an attack was, again, unlikely.

My guess is that there won't be much more for the time being, after the new ROK defense minister said that if Long Dong Il attacks again, they will do something to the effect of "bomb them into submission." I like that dude's style. Clarity and certainty are good qualities.

"Ian understands politics better than I do."

[Coito ergo sum]

There are a handful of real indicators to tell if they're serious about attacking, but they're also good and denial & deception (D&D) techniques. IMO, if and when the big attack finally comes, it'll be preceded by a "routine" crisis and military standup. The Yom Kippur War was preceded by yet another (of many) Egyptian army exercises, with the Israelis telling themselves that an attack was, again, unlikely.

My guess is that there won't be much more for the time being, after the new ROK defense minister said that if Long Dong Il attacks again, they will do something to the effect of "bomb them into submission." I like that dude's style. Clarity and certainty are good qualities.

"Ian understands politics better than I do."

That may well be. However, when dealing with the DPRK, it's best to use the George Costanza method and "do the opposite." It's like a Bizzarro Twilight Zone over there.

[Blondie]

The US has a moral obligation to standby their North Korean allies.

[Trolldor]

Y'all.

[Ian]

There are a handful of real indicators to tell if they're serious about attacking, but they're also good and denial & deception (D&D) techniques. IMO, if and when the big attack finally comes, it'll be preceded by a "routine" crisis and military standup. The Yom Kippur War was preceded by yet another (of many) Egyptian army exercises, with the Israelis telling themselves that an attack was, again, unlikely.

My guess is that there won't be much more for the time being, after the new ROK defense minister said that if Long Dong Il attacks again, they will do something to the effect of "bomb them into submission." I like that dude's style. Clarity and certainty are good qualities.

"Ian understands politics better than I do."

Yeah... by the way Coito, it's been more than a month since the midterm elections. Feel free to take that off your signature!

[Gawdzilla Sama]

There are a handful of real indicators to tell if they're serious about attacking, but they're also good and denial & deception (D&D) techniques. IMO, if and when the big attack finally comes, it'll be preceded by a "routine" crisis and military standup. The Yom Kippur War was preceded by yet another (of many) Egyptian army exercises, with the Israelis telling themselves that an attack was, again, unlikely.

My guess is that there won't be much more for the time being, after the new ROK defense minister said that if Long Dong Il attacks again, they will do something to the effect of "bomb them into submission." I like that dude's style. Clarity and certainty are good qualities.

"Ian understands politics better than I do."

Yeah... by the way Coito, it's been more than a month since the midterm elections. Feel free to take that off your signature!

I was thinking that you could brand it on his ass.

[Blondie]

There are a handful of real indicators to tell if they're serious about attacking, but they're also good and denial & deception (D&D) techniques. IMO, if and when the big attack finally comes, it'll be preceded by a "routine" crisis and military standup. The Yom Kippur War was preceded by yet another (of many) Egyptian army exercises, with the Israelis telling themselves that an attack was, again, unlikely.

My guess is that there won't be much more for the time being, after the new ROK defense minister said that if Long Dong Il attacks again, they will do something to the effect of "bomb them into submission." I like that dude's style. Clarity and certainty are good qualities.

"Ian understands politics better than I do."

Yeah... by the way Coito, it's been more than a month since the midterm elections. Feel free to take that off your signature!

I was thinking that you could brand it on his ass.

Brand that donkey fucking elephant on his ass while you're there too.

[Gawdzilla Sama]

[FBM]

There are a handful of real indicators to tell if they're serious about attacking, but they're also good and denial & deception (D&D) techniques. IMO, if and when the big attack finally comes, it'll be preceded by a "routine" crisis and military standup. The Yom Kippur War was preceded by yet another (of many) Egyptian army exercises, with the Israelis telling themselves that an attack was, again, unlikely.

Spy plane recon and satellites may give the earliest warning of an impending attack. The South had info before the last one, but ignored it.

If one thing is predictable about the North's behavior, it's that it's nearly impossible to predict with any accuracy.

[Trolldor]

Well, it was unpredictable under Kim.

It may be a little different under the new guy, unless you know something we don't.

[FBM]

Well, it was unpredictable under Kim.

It may be a little different under the new guy, unless you know something we don't.

Not really. Just don't see any reason to expect much to change. His grandad taught his dad who taught him. Tyranny in the family. He'll inherit the same military regime, which, if what the highest-ranking defector said is true, is determined to reunite by force.

[JimC]

Well, it was unpredictable under Kim.

It may be a little different under the new guy, unless you know something we don't.

Not really. Just don't see any reason to expect much to change. His grandad taught his dad who taught him. Tyranny in the family. He'll inherit the same military regime, which, if what the highest-ranking defector said is true, is determined to reunite by force.

If that is true, they are living in cloud-cuckoo land, surely...

[FBM]

Maybe it was just the hardline faction of the military. Surely they can't all be that deluded, eh?

[Coito ergo sum]

There are a handful of real indicators to tell if they're serious about attacking, but they're also good and denial & deception (D&D) techniques. IMO, if and when the big attack finally comes, it'll be preceded by a "routine" crisis and military standup. The Yom Kippur War was preceded by yet another (of many) Egyptian army exercises, with the Israelis telling themselves that an attack was, again, unlikely.

My guess is that there won't be much more for the time being, after the new ROK defense minister said that if Long Dong Il attacks again, they will do something to the effect of "bomb them into submission." I like that dude's style. Clarity and certainty are good qualities.

"Ian understands politics better than I do."

Yeah... by the way Coito, it's been more than a month since the midterm elections. Feel free to take that off your signature!

I recall I didn't put it up there immediately. I wanted to give you your full month. A bet is a bet.

[Gawdzilla Sama]

There are a handful of real indicators to tell if they're serious about attacking, but they're also good and denial & deception (D&D) techniques. IMO, if and when the big attack finally comes, it'll be preceded by a "routine" crisis and military standup. The Yom Kippur War was preceded by yet another (of many) Egyptian army exercises, with the Israelis telling themselves that an attack was, again, unlikely.

Spy plane recon and satellites may give the earliest warning of an impending attack. The South had info before the last one, but ignored it.

If one thing is predictable about the North's behavior, it's that it's nearly impossible to predict with any accuracy.

You never did tell me if you read those books I gave you the URLs for.